Down some early like last season. Will figure out posted record soon. Account balances have taken a small hit; came off an 8-week break to win 3 straight days but have lost in 4 of the last 5 since.
Fridaze
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Biggest mismatch I see appears to be the first listed game; oddsmakers seem to agree. Sanchez was nothing special this spring and has very limited experience. He can apparently bring the heat--judging by his K numbers--but all the other stats appear to indicate that he hasn't really learned how to pitch yet (G-Men crappy pen will work at least 3, no doubt). Worst of all for Sanchez, he's a lefty. At the AS break last season, the Brewers had a .780 winning pct. against lefties at home, reflecting both their domination of lefties and their domination at home. Charlie V. had a solid spring and was good last season when given a chance to start. Runline looks safe and beckons me. 72% moneyline makes it about a 58% runline proposition.
Not expecting much from Sampson but 'Stros did good work vs lefties last year so might make this interesting. Can't back Sampson.
Owings-Redman is beyond me. Over save for the fact that the D'Backs struggled vs lefties last season.
Olsen was so-so this spring while Morris was about as bad as it gets. If that was reversed I might try the Pirates here. Over possibilities as Pitt did better work vs L last year...mind you, so did Fla.
Very attractive price on the Phillies near even-money. Kendrick has a horrid spring otherwise I'm on it. Still tempting but Fogg was much better this spring. At home vs righties is where the Reds did the best in '07. Phillies 51%.
Maine-Hudson had me Mets tempted so I actually took the 2 minutes to do a 'cap for that one. Get about 52% on the Braves so no value with the lines. Maine had an outstanding spring and is at the prime age for a breakthrough season. Hudson's solid spring and great work against the Nats in the opener is a turn-off. Braves O looks to be more potent this year, too, even without the gold-glover in Center. Might be the best game from a viewer standpoint. Both SP's with solid numbers vs opponent. Under the 8.5 were it not for 2 top offenses involved...bullpens will still need 12-21 outs.
Perez-Looper is beyond me. Cards sucked vs L in '07 before coming on late against them (were 11-10 at home vs L thru August). Looper was solid until a mid-season injury, came back quite cold until heating up some--he's had a pretty bad spring and Cards are too pricey here against this unbeaten team. Perez was so-so this spring and used to really be able to pitch at one time. Tempting. +131.
Kuroda finished his fairly decent spring by pitching 4 hitless innings against the Bosox. For $10mil+ per year he'd better bring something with him. Apparently has a gazillion different pitches. Might be some value early on...guess that depends on if he wins or not. Germano was solid this spring but had a meaningless 0-1 record. Germano started hot in '07 but was terrible second half. Padres offense suffers even more than the Dodgers'. Just got a 58% on LAD. Worthwhile +110. Small edge pitching and hitting.
Will shave and then do A.L.
Nothing grabs me.
Fridaze
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Biggest mismatch I see appears to be the first listed game; oddsmakers seem to agree. Sanchez was nothing special this spring and has very limited experience. He can apparently bring the heat--judging by his K numbers--but all the other stats appear to indicate that he hasn't really learned how to pitch yet (G-Men crappy pen will work at least 3, no doubt). Worst of all for Sanchez, he's a lefty. At the AS break last season, the Brewers had a .780 winning pct. against lefties at home, reflecting both their domination of lefties and their domination at home. Charlie V. had a solid spring and was good last season when given a chance to start. Runline looks safe and beckons me. 72% moneyline makes it about a 58% runline proposition.
Not expecting much from Sampson but 'Stros did good work vs lefties last year so might make this interesting. Can't back Sampson.
Owings-Redman is beyond me. Over save for the fact that the D'Backs struggled vs lefties last season.
Olsen was so-so this spring while Morris was about as bad as it gets. If that was reversed I might try the Pirates here. Over possibilities as Pitt did better work vs L last year...mind you, so did Fla.
Very attractive price on the Phillies near even-money. Kendrick has a horrid spring otherwise I'm on it. Still tempting but Fogg was much better this spring. At home vs righties is where the Reds did the best in '07. Phillies 51%.
Maine-Hudson had me Mets tempted so I actually took the 2 minutes to do a 'cap for that one. Get about 52% on the Braves so no value with the lines. Maine had an outstanding spring and is at the prime age for a breakthrough season. Hudson's solid spring and great work against the Nats in the opener is a turn-off. Braves O looks to be more potent this year, too, even without the gold-glover in Center. Might be the best game from a viewer standpoint. Both SP's with solid numbers vs opponent. Under the 8.5 were it not for 2 top offenses involved...bullpens will still need 12-21 outs.
Perez-Looper is beyond me. Cards sucked vs L in '07 before coming on late against them (were 11-10 at home vs L thru August). Looper was solid until a mid-season injury, came back quite cold until heating up some--he's had a pretty bad spring and Cards are too pricey here against this unbeaten team. Perez was so-so this spring and used to really be able to pitch at one time. Tempting. +131.
Kuroda finished his fairly decent spring by pitching 4 hitless innings against the Bosox. For $10mil+ per year he'd better bring something with him. Apparently has a gazillion different pitches. Might be some value early on...guess that depends on if he wins or not. Germano was solid this spring but had a meaningless 0-1 record. Germano started hot in '07 but was terrible second half. Padres offense suffers even more than the Dodgers'. Just got a 58% on LAD. Worthwhile +110. Small edge pitching and hitting.
Will shave and then do A.L.
Nothing grabs me.
