Friday... Back to Basics

[SmashMouth]

Ytd 17-22:nooo:
In the hole 2140!!!
Bankroll 2860
If I can go on a run in the wrong direction, I can definitely get this turned around. I took a couple of shots so far this season that got me in the hole, but at only 5 games below 500 there is no way I should be down this far.. I bet against streaks way to much this year so far, and that stops. I'm going back to basics good pitchers, good bullpens, and riding streaks. I'm going to treat this as a new start, and I'm going to cap as if I'm even, not Down 2 + grand. We'll see how this works.


Braves (Maddux) -140
2.5 units
Maddux will teach the new dog some old tricks.

 

[SmashMouth]

Indians(Sabathia) -210
1 unit
Ride the tribe

Mets(Estes) -180
I hope Piazza plays.. Valentine is known to rest him on Fridays.
1 unit

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

gl, you may want to watch out for those high ML, no value in my opinion

 

[SmashMouth]

I here you. Since I have gotten off to the bad start though I have stayed away from some great matchups, just because I was afrai of the big #.

 

[Big_Mack]

Mets and Indians look good.. Beckett is a unknown factor that might shut down the Braves, plus Sheffield left last nights game limping down the tunnel... I'd check out Sheffields condition before I put a lot on the Braves... Most of the time they have trouble with the Marlins anyway..... I hope you are right about the Braves pick, I am just trying to give you the little info that I do know.. G/L ...

 

[SmashMouth]

Brewers(Sheets) +160
1.5 units

 

[SmashMouth]

Royals/Indiians total 9.5
Sabathia and Suppan
I'm going over 1.5 units
Last play of the day..:thefinger

 

[dr. freeze]

i disagree.....value is value if its a winner only.....if you play a high ML at -180 and you think they win 2 outta 3 times, that is value....

there is no value if you play +160 if they win 1 outta 3 times....you gotta try to assign your own values and then play accordingly......

keep chugging away smashmouth and stay patient....things will turn around....

 

[Big_Mack]

I hope you run the table.. G/L ... :toast:

 

[SmashMouth]

Thanks guys. I will keep going this is too enjoyable to stop!! If I lose the initial bankroll, I will have to cut into my horse money, or next years basketball dough. Have a great weekend everybody.

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Cleveland is a solid play in my opinion!

Looking at that game now

 

[Bandit HVG]

this week is so horrible for me too, lets hang on, and kick it

 

[SmashMouth]

The river boat gambler lives..

The river boat gambler lives..

Twins(Radke) -220
Radke owns this team. The Tigers are in turmoil. They will win soon but not today. Redman is a batting practice pitcher at best.
The Twins hit lefties well. Redmand in 2000 gave up168 hits in 151 innings. last year he gave up 68 hits in 58 innings.
So far this year he is picking up write where he left off. I tried to find the sack to bet Detroit at + 190, but this game seems to be a mismatch. this looks like a good place for a 4 unit play.

I realyze losing this play will make my deficit insurmountable but it looks to good to pass up.

 

[SmashMouth]

Good day so far!!

Good day so far!!

4-1 so far waiting on Brewers
+ 700 so far

 

[Big_Mack]

Way to go Smash Mouth :toast:

 

[SmashMouth]

4-2 today + 550 I'll take it!!

 

[Bandit HVG]

WTG, I'M BACK TOO