...don't know if I'll get back to post anything else for the later games, but I played this in the early one.... I said this in a couple of other threads, but might as well put it here too....
So. Miss is very good against the pass...the Eagles gave up just 4.4 yppp this season (to teams that average 5.8 yppp on offense). In fact, the Eagles allowed just 3.0 yppp to good passing teams Illinois (6.8 yppp on offense this season) , Alabama (6.8 yppp), and Cincinnati (6.9 yppp), the only teams they faced that averaged more than 6.2 yppp on the season, and they held all 3 of those teams to 3.9 yppp or less.
Also, trends say: Southern Miss qualifies in a 69-32-5 ATS bowl underdog trend and a 35-11-1 ATS bowl underdog trend in which the underdog is actually 32-15 straight up and covers by an average of 11 ? points. Although Oklahoma State played well down the stretch with 3 straight spread wins and an upset of Oklahoma in their finale, teams that covered the spread in their final 3 regular season games are actually bad bets in bowl games and the Cowboys qualify in a negative 14-41 ATS angle that is based on that premise. Also, teams that end the season with a win as an underdog of 7 points or more are just 2-12 ATS when favored in their bowl game.
I think that the Eagles will rally around Nix and play with a lot of emotion today.... They might just get the outright win because Ok St. played a more meaningful game to end the season as they dismantled their in-state rivals.... I don't think that Ok. St. will have a repeat performance today because I don't see them getting fired up to play in a meaningless bowl game against a Conf. USA foe.... Plus I love the fact that everyone and their brother is on Ok. St. today.... They didn't build those castles in the desert out of winners, you know?
...as for the Under, So. Miss is 10-0-1 Under in their games this season by my records.
So. Miss +10 (+105) SIA
So. Miss ML +345 Pinn
Under 48.5 SIA
GL fellas....
So. Miss is very good against the pass...the Eagles gave up just 4.4 yppp this season (to teams that average 5.8 yppp on offense). In fact, the Eagles allowed just 3.0 yppp to good passing teams Illinois (6.8 yppp on offense this season) , Alabama (6.8 yppp), and Cincinnati (6.9 yppp), the only teams they faced that averaged more than 6.2 yppp on the season, and they held all 3 of those teams to 3.9 yppp or less.
Also, trends say: Southern Miss qualifies in a 69-32-5 ATS bowl underdog trend and a 35-11-1 ATS bowl underdog trend in which the underdog is actually 32-15 straight up and covers by an average of 11 ? points. Although Oklahoma State played well down the stretch with 3 straight spread wins and an upset of Oklahoma in their finale, teams that covered the spread in their final 3 regular season games are actually bad bets in bowl games and the Cowboys qualify in a negative 14-41 ATS angle that is based on that premise. Also, teams that end the season with a win as an underdog of 7 points or more are just 2-12 ATS when favored in their bowl game.
I think that the Eagles will rally around Nix and play with a lot of emotion today.... They might just get the outright win because Ok St. played a more meaningful game to end the season as they dismantled their in-state rivals.... I don't think that Ok. St. will have a repeat performance today because I don't see them getting fired up to play in a meaningless bowl game against a Conf. USA foe.... Plus I love the fact that everyone and their brother is on Ok. St. today.... They didn't build those castles in the desert out of winners, you know?
...as for the Under, So. Miss is 10-0-1 Under in their games this season by my records.
So. Miss +10 (+105) SIA
So. Miss ML +345 Pinn
Under 48.5 SIA
GL fellas....
