Friday Night Lights

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Friday Night Lights

Forget about the so-called "dog days" of summer, because there is plenty to play for this weekend around Major League Baseball. Three series within the National League own playoff implications inside the tight Wild Card Race, while an AL East battle has plenty of intrigue.

Cardinals at Phillies (7:05 PM EST)

The pitching matchup may not raise eyebrows, as J.A. Happ opposes journeyman Joel Piniero. However, both of these hurlers have flown under the radar this season. Happ has been more than impressive, sporting a perfect 7-0 mark, with an ERA of 2.68. The Phillies southpaw has also gone deep into games, pitching past the seventh inning in five consecutive outings. Interestingly, Happ's numbers are better on the road (4-0, 1.57 ERA) than at home (3-0, 4.04 ERA), while the 'under' has hit for the lefty in four straight starts. The Cardinals are hitting a league-worst .225 against left-handed pitching.

Piniero owns a solid ERA of 3.09, despite an 8-9 mark. The right-hander has been nearly flawless as of late, with the Redbirds winning his last three starts. Piniero's ERA is 1.57 in this current stretch, while walking only one batter in his last six outings. The 'under' has been Piniero's strong suit this season, nailing it in 12 of 17 starts, including six of nine on the road.

The Phillies took the two earlier meetings at Busch Stadium, scoring 16 runs in the pair of victories. The Cards have finished 'under' the total in six of their past seven games. Las Vegas Sports Consultants has installed the Phillies as a $1.40 favorite, with the total set at 9.

Rays at Blue Jays (7:10 PM EST)

Every time Roy Halladay takes the mound for Toronto, we all wonder if it will be his last start in a Jays uniform, as the Rays head to the Rogers Centre. Halladay continues to be the main subject of trade rumors prior to the deadline at the end of July.



Halladay, considered the front-runner for the Cy Young Award winner in the AL, has won 11 of 14 decisions, coming off a complete-game victory over the Red Sox. The Toronto ace has lost twice to Tampa Bay this season, despite both outings being quality ones. The Jays are 1-4 in Halladay's last five starts against AL East opponents, but own a 7-3 mark in his ten home outings.

Matt Garza has slipped recently, compiling a 6.06 ERA in his last three starts. However, the 'under' has been hit in each of Garza's nine road starts this season, as the Rays have scored four runs or less each of these contests. Garza does have spectacular career numbers against the Jays, allowing three earned runs in six starts as a member of the Rays. The 'under' has been drilled in five of these six games, with the Rays going 4-2.

Tampa Bay is 5-1 in the six meetings this season, and will try to rebound after Mark Buehrle tossed a perfect game against the Rays on Thursday. The Jays are a $1.45 home favorite according to LVSC, with the total listed at 8.

Braves at Brewers (8:05 PM EST)

Two teams going in opposite directions meet up at Miller Park, as the Braves are rolling while the Brewers are scuffling. Atlanta has won 10 of its past 14 to close the gap in the NL Wild Card race. Milwaukee is 6-12 in the month of July, winning only one of six series.

Javier Vazquez had been a victim of bad luck in June, with the Braves dropping four of his five starts, as Atlanta tallied six runs. Vazquez's fortune has improved over the last three weeks, beating the Mets and Cubs, while picking up a no-decision in a victory over the Phillies. The Braves righty ranks ninth in the NL in ERA (2.86), and second in strikeouts (141). Vazquez was on the wrong side of a 3-0 loss at home to Milwaukee in early June, despite allowing four hits and two earned runs in six innings of work.

Manny Parra's run in the minors has paid off, as the Brewers southpaw has given up eight hits and one run his last two starts. Prior to this current stretch, Parra spent time at Triple-A Nashville to regain his control after five straight losses. The move has worked out as Milwaukee desperately needed a left-hander in its rotation surrounded by four righties. Parra was touched up by the Braves in an 8-7 loss back on June 7, allowing five runs and eight hits in less than six innings.

LVSC has listed the Braves as a $1.35 road 'chalk,' with the total set at 8 ?.

Giants at Rockies (9:10 PM EST)

Bruce Bochy's club led the NL Wild Card race at the All-Star Break, but have stumbled out of the gate in the second half by losing five of seven. Colorado, meanwhile, has played outstanding since the managerial change from Clint Hurdle to Jim Tracy, going 34-15. The Rockies and Giants will meet up 13 more times over the next two months, including seven matchups at Coors Field before September.

This game was supposed to feature a pair of 10-game winners, with Matt Cain and Jason Marquis on the mound. Cain is still scheduled to start, but Marquis was scratched due to a blister on his right hand.

Cain is in the midst of a career year, going 11-2, with an ERA of 2.32. The Giants right-hander owns a solid 5-1 road mark, while winning at Coors back in May. In that victory, Cain held the Rockies to only one hit in six scoreless innings. San Francisco is 4-5 in Cain's last nine starts against Colorado, dating back to 2007.

Jason Hammel gets the start in Marquis' place, as the former Rays righty is 5-4 on the season, while owning an ERA of 4.26. The Rockies have won eight of Hammel's last ten starts, as the 'over' has hit in six of his nine home outings.

San Francisco's offense has been absolutely anemic since the break, scoring a grand total of 16 runs in its last seven contests. The Rockies have been involved in eight one-run games in their last 11 at Coors Field. However, Colorado is 20-6 following a one-run contest, and 9-2 off a win by a single run (the Rockies beat Arizona, 4-3 on Wednesday).

The Rockies are a $1.20 home favorite, with the total listed at 9 ?, according to LVSC.
 

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Astro-nomical Plays

Astro-nomical Plays

Astro-nomical Plays

There isn?t another division in Major League Baseball that is more up for grabs than National League Central right now. The distance between first and last place is just 8 ? games right now. And it?s just a 2 ?-game window between first and fourth place. One of the teams surprisingly close to the top is the Astros, who have a shot at making the playoffs for the first time since making the 2005 World Series.

Houston is anchored by hitters like Lance Berkman, Carlos Lee, Miguel Tejada and Hunter Pence. This club ranks eighth amongst all big league teams with a .267 batting average. Yet only Tejada is in the Top 10 in hitting at .327 with 54 runs batted in, which was good enough to get him an invite to the All-Star Game. Although the Astros will be without Berkman as he goes on the disabled list with a strained calf. That means we?ll see Chris Coste take over at first base for the time being.


Even though the ?Stros have a solid team average, they only average 4.23 runs per game this year?which ranks 21st in the majors. But they pick those runs up when it matters most. They rank 12th with a .263 average with runners in scoring position. When they have RISP and two outs, they are batting .255 with 117 RBI.

The Astros aren?t total slouches on the mound either. The starting rotation is a combined 31-31 this season, but has a respectable 4.16 earned run average. Wandy Rodriguez has been a pleasant surprise this year by going 10-6 with a team starter leading ERA of 2.72. Houston has been a solid play at home when Rodriguez is on the bump as evidenced by an 8-2 record. Unfortunately, we won?t be able to act on that knowledge until early August where he will most likely face the Giants.

Brian Moehler hasn?t had an earth shattering season by going 7-5 with a 4.92 ERA. He has, however, been almost money in the bank when dealing on the road. Houston is 5-2 in the seven games that Moehler has started away from Minute Maid Park in 2009. We?ll get to test that theory on July 31 when he?ll start at Busch Stadium against the Cardinals.

When looking at any baseball team, you want to have some good trends to follow for our betting purposes. Luckily for us, the Astros have a couple stats to keep an eye as the season wears down.

One trend to watch out for is the ?under? during day games for the Astros. This club has posted a 16-9 ?under? mark in 25 afternoon affairs this season. The only thing better than that numbers is the fact that the ?under? has gone 8-1 in nine daytime home tilts 2009.

Another trend to follow is how Houston handles southpaws. For the season, the ?Stros are just 10-11 against left-handed starters. Yet they are a surprisingly profitable 4-1 in road day games against lefties this year.

Do the Astros have what it takes to win the division? The odds are certainly stacked against them with teams like the Brewers, Cardinals and Cubs all vying for the same spot. And there really isn?t a shot that they can grab the Wild Card since the division winner will have a worse record than them. No matter what happens, this looks like it will be a fun race to watch for the rest of the regular season.
 

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Friday's Late-Night Action

Friday's Late-Night Action

Friday's Late-Night Action


Gamblers have three late-night games to wager on Friday night in Major League Baseball. The Angels and Dodgers are the majors? biggest money makers and both are at home against the Twins and Marlins, respectively. Also, the Mariners will play host to the Indians.

**Twins at Angels**

--Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Los Angeles (55-38, +1775) as a minus-150 favorite with a total of 8 ? ?over? (minus-120). Gamblers can back the Angels on the run line (minus 1 ? runs) for a plus-145 return.

--Minnesota (48-47, -256) went into Thursday?s series opener in third place in the American League Central, two games back of the co-leaders, Detroit and Chicago.

--John Lackey (5-4, 4.39 ERA) will take the hill for the Angels in the second round of this four-game set. The eight-year veteran is just 2-3 with a 4.89 ERA in five home starts this season. Lackey is 5-5 with a 3.87 career ERA against the Twins.

--Minnesota slugger Joe Mauer is 7-for-17 (.412) against Lackey. Mauer took a .357 batting average into Thursday?s series opener. He is battling Ichiro Suzuki (.359) for the AL batting crown.

--Francisco Liriano (4-9, 5.33) is 3-4 with a 5.55 ERA in 11 road starts this year. Although his season numbers remain mediocre, bettors should note that the left-hander has been solid in his last seven outings, lowering his ERA by more than one run from 6.60. The Twins are 5-2 in Liriano?s last seven outings.

--The Angels are 19-10 against lefties. They took a 27-18 home ledger into Thursday?s series opener.

--Minnesota has struggled on the road with a 20-27 record. The ?under? has a 50-40 overall record for the Twins, cashing at an eye-opening 32-12 clip in their road games.

--The Angels have seen the ?over? go 51-37 overall, 24-18 in their home outings.


**Marlins at Dodgers**

--This game has pitcher?s duel written all over it with two of the National League?s best young arms set to toe the rubber. In turn, bettors are looking at a low total of either seven shaded to the ?over? or 7 ? shaded to the ?under.? Most books have the Dodgers as minus-155 favorites.

--Los Angeles (61-34, +2130) has the best record in baseball and the No. 1 money tally. The Dodgers lead second-place Colorado by nine games in the NL West. They are coming off a three-game home sweep of the Reds, capped by a 6-2 win Wednesday in which Manny Ramirez belted a pinch-hit grand slam.

--Florida (49-47, +300) bounced back from getting swept at home by the Phillies and went to San Diego and won three in a row this week. The Marlins gave up just four runs in the three-game set against the Padres. They are in third place in the NL East, trailing division-leading Philadelphia by six games. They are 3 ? back in the wild-card race.

--Florida will give the starting nod to its ace Josh Johnson (8-2, 2.74), who has a 4-1 record and 3.62 ERA in nine road starts this year. Johnson is well rested coming into this game after working just two innings in his last start Saturday that was eventually rained out. The right-hander, who is 27-13 with a 3.28 career ERA, is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA in three lifetime starts against the Dodgers.

--L.A. LHP Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.95) has been absolutely untouchable lately, posting a 3-0 record and 0.47 ERA in his last three outings. In his last seven assignments, Kershaw is 5-0 with a 0.63 ERA. The southpaw is 3-2 with a 1.62 ERA in nine home outings this year.

--Kershaw has only faced the Marlins once, working seven strong innings in a win over Florida earlier this year. He allowed just one earned run and fanned nine batters.

--Joe Torre?s team has been outstanding at home with a 33-15 record. Meanwhile, the Fish are a respectable 24-23 on the road.

--The Marlins have thrived against lefties this season with a 21-14 record.

--The ?under? has cashed in four straight Florida games and is 26-18 in its road outings this year.

--The ?over? is 47-43 overall for the Dodgers, but the ?under? is 24-21 in their home games.

**Indians at Mariners**

--LVSC opened Seattle (51-44, +962) as a minus-145 favorite with a total of 8 ? ?over? (minus-120). The Mariners are plus-145 on the run line (risk $100 to win $145).

--Cleveland (38-58, -2374) has the second-worst money total in the majors behind only Washington. Nevertheless, the Indians captured a 5-4 win Thursday afternoon at Toronto, hooking up their backers with a generous plus-155 payout.

--Seattle collected a 2-1 win Thursday at Detroit as a short underdog. Ichiro Suzuki had a pair of hits and scored a run, while Jarrod Washburn worked seven scoreless innings and scattered just two hits en route to his eighth win of the year. David Aardsma picked up his 24th save and lowered his ERA to 1.75 after working a perfect ninth inning.

--Cleveland LHP Aaron Laffey (3-2, 4.27) will get the call in this spot. Laffey is 1-2 with a 5.68 ERA in eight road appearances (three starts) in 2009.

--Ryan Rowland-Smith (0-0, 0.00) made one start this year back on April 10, working 3 1/3 scoreless innings. He was called up from Triple-A Tacoma to make this start. The lefty has a 6-3 record and 3.48 ERA in 74 career appearances (13 starts).

--The Mariners own a 25-18 home record at Safeco Field. Meanwhile, the Indians have limped to an 18-30 road record.

--Seattle owns a 16-12 record versus southpaws, while Cleveland is 10-14 against lefties.

--The ?over? is 48-45 overall for the Tribe, 29-17 in their road contests.

--The ?under? is a lucrative 58-36 overall for the M?s, 25-17 in their home games.



--Going into Thursday?s card, only six major-league teams were showing a profit for the ?over? this season. They were the Angels, Indians, Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Brewers and Yankees.

--Pittsburgh will send LHP Zach Duke to the mound at Arizona. The D-backs are horrible against lefties, going 9-17 so far this year.

--The ?under? has cashed in eight consecutive Texas games.

--Manny Ramirez is now second in MLB history with 21 grand slams. Lou Gehrig hit 23 homers with the bases loaded.
 

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Friday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Friday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Friday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

J. A. Happ (Philadelphia Phillies)

Philadelphia?s 26-year-old lefty suddenly is the hottest thing to come around the ballpark since the concession stand?s last cheese steak. He?s also a big reason why the Phillies have taken control of the National League East.

Happ (7-0, 2.68 ERA) is 5-0 with five no decisions in his past 10 starts, and he has given three earned runs or fewer in eight of those performances. The 6-foot-6 pitcher also has proved durable, throwing six or more innings seven times in this span.

Happ?s rising star is becoming the subject of some debate among Phillies fans and local media; it appears they would have to deal him in order to make a trade-deadline move but, predictably, the club seems reluctant to do so.

Josh Johnson (Florida Marlins)

Johnson (8-2, 2.74 ERA) has emerged as the staff ace and rock-solid workhorse for the Marlins, who have needed every one of his quality starts to remain competitive.

The 6-foot-7 right-hander has been dominant of late, posting a record of 5-1 with three no decisions in his past nine starts for Florida. He has been a savior for the bullpen as well, eating up seven or more innings seven times in his last 10 trips to the hill.

Johnson is coming off another stellar outing in which he threw six-plus innings and gave up just one run in a 5-1 win July 12 over the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Slumping

Aaron Harang (Cincinnati Reds)

Harang (5-10, 4.17 ERA) is notorious for starting seasons strong but fading in the late going; this season, it appears he?s trying to outdo himself.


The erratic 31-year-old righty has gone 0-6 with four no decisions in his past 10 starts. He has yielded at least three earned runs in seven of those outings, twice giving up five or more. Harang has been tagged for 10 home runs and walked 14 batters during this span.


Harang has lost his last two starts, including a 5-1 loss to the Brewers on July 18.

Mike Hampton (Houston Astros)

The 36-year-old veteran lefty found a place in Houston for some relief appearances and occasional spot starting duty. The fact that Hampton has become part of the rotation speaks more to Astros? pitching woes than Hampton?s prowess on the mound.
In other words, Houston, we have a problem.

Hampton (5-7, 4.63 ERA) has given up nine earned runs over his past two starts, including an embarrassing outing July 11 against the Washington Nationals in which he was bombed for five earned runs in three-plus innings.

He also put the Astros in an early hole from which they could not recover in his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Overall, Hampton is 1-3 with one no decision in his last five starts.
 

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Friday's best MLB bets

Friday's best MLB bets

Friday's best MLB bets


Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels (-143)

It?s a widely held belief that home-field advantage means less in baseball than in all other major sports. Even so, the Anaheim Angels and Minnesota Twins might be exceptions to the rule.

Each has a record that reflects its preference for the friendly confines of its home stadium and the reeling Twins appear to be limping toward Anaheim at just the wrong time.

The sizzling Angels are 9-3 in their last 12 home games and have won nine of their past 10 overall. They are 27-18 at home for the season, while the Twins are 20-27 away from Minnesota.

What?s more, Minnesota?s bullpen has been taxed and exposed of late. The Twins managed to yield 32 runs in three games to the light-hitting Oakland A?s, losing two of three in the series. Their team ERA dipped to 4.48, 23rd in the majors.

Minnesota swept Anaheim on the Twins? home turf back in April. Turnabout is likely the fair play here, as Angels stalwart John Lackey (5-4, 3.93 ERA) looks to get on track against Minnesota?s struggling Francisco Liriano (4-9. 5.33 ERA).

Pick: Angels.

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-120)

Conventional wisdom suggests that professional athletes can focus on the task at hand, regardless of past or future considerations. Human nature tells that they are, well, humans like everyone else, and occasionally distractions will enter into their mindsets.

So while it?s tempting to believe the White Sox will be able to go back to business after witnessing Mark Buehrle?s perfect game Thursday, you also have to consider that ? voluntarily or not ? they might be primed to take a day off and admire his work.

Of course, there?s really no time to celebrate, as the White Sox are coming off an important series against the Tampa Bay Rays in which they won three of four to stay afloat of the American League Central race.

Even so, the potential distraction might be a moot point against the Tigers, who start this home stand hungry for a winning streak after dropping five of their last six games.

Sending 10-agme winner Justin Verlander to the hill could cure what has been ailing Detroit. He has given up just three earned runs in his past two starts, despite losing 2-1 to the New York Yankees in his last outing.

Pick: Tigers.
 
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