Friday Night On The Ice

Bookiebuster

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Hi guys, 2-3-1 last night for -2.3*'s. Very nice card tonight including two 4* plays for the first time this year.

<B>4* LAKings(-105)</B> This line is ridiculous. The Kings have played much stiffer competition and have the far superior numbers anyway. The Rangers are the most overbet, overrated team in all of sports perenially and are once again stinking up the joint. They are old, have no chemistry and we will continue to take advantage. The Rangers are 1-5 ATS this year on one or fewer days rest and have won once in their last 7 games, being outscored by a goal a game. They allow 1.4 power play goals PER GAME and the penalty kill is at 78% on the season. LA penalty killing unit among the best in the league at 92.5% and Storr/Potvin have been very solid at 92% save% compared to Richter and Blackburn in at 87%. LA averages 34.5 shots per game on the road and 30.5 shots against, NY at home takes 23.8 shots per game and allows 28. The Rangers are 15-29 ATS in non conference games the last 3 seasons, 28-48 the last 3 years vs winning teams, and 13-24 at home with the toal set at 6 or higher. LA 36-25 ATS the last 3 seasons vs losing teams and they will get the job done tonight.

<B>4* Washington(-115)</B> The Caps have simply dominated Tampa Bay and the rest of their division opponents the last 3 seasons going 8-0-1 the last 9 meetings with TB, and 25-13 ATS the last 38 division games and take it back to 1996 and they are 83-47 ATS in division!! TB just 1 game against winning opposition this season and they are 28-47 ATS the last 3 seasons vs winning teams. Kolzig has been stellar with a .942 save % while Khabibulin is below 90% which tells me that TB has been living on the edge. They are improved, no doubt, but won't beat Washington without Lecavlier.

<B>3* SJose(-120)</B> Gonna go with the Sharks to win back to back here as it looked last night as if the Sharks and Kiprusoff both were playing with extra vigor now that Nabokov has signed. Kiprusoff had far and away his best game of the season and the Sharks took a season high 34 shots. They are outshooting opponents by 8 shots a game on the road while the Jackets are being outshot by 2 a game at home. I think Kiprusoff will play much better now that the pressure is off with Nabokov back. Nabokov won't play until next week, so Kiprusoff has a couple more starts to show he is worthy of staying up with the team. SJ is 44-26 ATS against losing teams the last 3 years and 14-5 ATS on the road when total is set at 5.5 the last 3 seasons.

<B>3* Buffalo(+100)</B> and <B>3* Buffalo Under(5)(+105)</B> New Jersey's struggling special teams catches up with them tonight. The Devils are 4-1, but have played a cupcake schedule to this point which makes their 2-33 showing on the PP this season even more alarming. That type of production on the man advantage won't get the job done against a Buffalo team playing well with a hot goalie in Biron.(.925%) Buffalo is 10-1 ATS after 3 straight home games the last 3 years and 34-16 ATS as a home dog of half a puck on the puck line the last 3 years and they are 7-2-1 the last 10 vs NJ and both Devil wins came at New Jersey. The under is 4-0-1 the last 5 meetings and 8 of the last 10 meetings have plyed to 5 goals or less. Buffalo is under 65-34 with 2 days rest since 1996, New Jersey is 28-18 under on the road with a total of 5 or less the last 3 years and the two goalies are playing very well. Biron .925 and Brodeur .927.

<B>2* Pittsburgh(+250)</B> Gonna take a shot at the Wings here as I expect this to be the game that Lemieux plays in the first of back to backs. Pitt is 6-2 ATS the last 8 meetings and are 2-1-1 SU in the last 4 at Detroit. The Penguins are playing well and Hedberg has actually been better than Joseph who has struggled out of the gate with a save % under 90%. Detroit has given up 8+ power play opportunities in 5 games this season and the Penguins are very dangerous there and definitely worth a shot at this price.

Good luck all.......Bookie

:spotting: :spotting:
 

acehistr8

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Jun 20, 2002
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Thanks bb, appreciate your writeups they are great, keep up the hard work.

Agree on Pitts, think they are worth a shot at that price.
 

TCSN

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Mario is for a fact playing against Detroit tonight. Pit & LA were two plays I jumped on yesterday.
 

cooz3

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aubin is expected to be in net for pitt tonight...i think...may want to check that....cooz
 

Bookiebuster

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Just saw that. Still like the Pens chances. They have played Detroit very tough recently without Lemieux and he is gonna go tonight.

Detroit would likely win the matchup more often than not but at this price, there is value there. Small play.

Bookie
 

jakejj

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Good luck tonight! For what it is worth, not much lately, I like your plays tonight!
 

infinii

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lecavalier is supposed to play tonight...

"Tampa Bay received some good news on Thursday when center Vincent Lecavalier was told he could play in this evening's contest. The former No. 1 pick, who has three goals and four assists in four games, was fitted for a knee brace and it is likely that he'll be in the lineup. He has missed two straight games since suffering a Grade 1 sprain of his right MCL last Saturday against Pittsburgh. "
 

Bookiebuster

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Was working on the football game earlier and so just saw this as well, but from what I understand Lecavlier won't see an enormous amount of ice time and it was also contingent on the knee showing no signs of swelling today as he skated for 30 minutes yesterday and they cannot afford to lose him at this point in the season when they are off to a much better than expected start to the year and the Caps have dominated the Lightning with him in the lineup anyway.

Good luck.....Bookie
 
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