Boston v. Charlotte over 201.5
I don't take any notice of 'total' trends much for the NBA, but this one stands out...
League: 16-3-2 over (av. total 197.3...av. score 209.6) away 5+ dog, any rest, off a 10+ ats win as home 4- fav. [Charl]
{8-0-2 over (av. total 198.9...av. score 213.1) on 1 or more days rest}
8-1 over (Av. score 222.1!!) if total is 200+
Charlotte have played a very tough defensive schedule so far, and Boston are the worst defensive team they have faced. (ranked 25th for FG% and 27th for points allowed).
Boston will score. They've topped 99+ in 8 of 11 games so far, and they've topped this total in 4 of their last 5 games.
The clincher for me, is that I also have Boston in 14-1 SU situation in which 12 of the 15 teams have shot at least 45%, and 9/15 have shot 50%!
So, like I said, I expect Boston to score, and Charlottle to keep right up in a close one.
SA -11 (1.97)
League: 9-4 (10-3 this no...av. win 18.1) home 10+ fav, 1 day off a 15+ ats win as an away fav. [SA]
7-1 (8-0 this no...av. win 21.5!!) if opp is off any ats win.
League: 2-11 (0-12-1 this no...av. loss 19.9) away 10+ dog, 2+ days rest off any upset SU win on the road. [Chic]
Pure trend pick this one, because Chicago have recently played SA tough.
But it seems that teams on a long break after an upset win find it hard to stay focused...and when a team is playing well (SA), it really is playing well!
Like I said the other day, realistically SA have controlled 14 of their last 16 quarters but are only 1-3 ats...I think that still gives them a bit of value here.
Good Luck all
I don't take any notice of 'total' trends much for the NBA, but this one stands out...
League: 16-3-2 over (av. total 197.3...av. score 209.6) away 5+ dog, any rest, off a 10+ ats win as home 4- fav. [Charl]
{8-0-2 over (av. total 198.9...av. score 213.1) on 1 or more days rest}
8-1 over (Av. score 222.1!!) if total is 200+
Charlotte have played a very tough defensive schedule so far, and Boston are the worst defensive team they have faced. (ranked 25th for FG% and 27th for points allowed).
Boston will score. They've topped 99+ in 8 of 11 games so far, and they've topped this total in 4 of their last 5 games.
The clincher for me, is that I also have Boston in 14-1 SU situation in which 12 of the 15 teams have shot at least 45%, and 9/15 have shot 50%!
So, like I said, I expect Boston to score, and Charlottle to keep right up in a close one.
SA -11 (1.97)
League: 9-4 (10-3 this no...av. win 18.1) home 10+ fav, 1 day off a 15+ ats win as an away fav. [SA]
7-1 (8-0 this no...av. win 21.5!!) if opp is off any ats win.
League: 2-11 (0-12-1 this no...av. loss 19.9) away 10+ dog, 2+ days rest off any upset SU win on the road. [Chic]
Pure trend pick this one, because Chicago have recently played SA tough.
But it seems that teams on a long break after an upset win find it hard to stay focused...and when a team is playing well (SA), it really is playing well!
Like I said the other day, realistically SA have controlled 14 of their last 16 quarters but are only 1-3 ats...I think that still gives them a bit of value here.
Good Luck all
