Thank you, gentlemen. Best of luck tonight.
Let's try these out...
Mets -115
Expos +165
Expos/Braves Over 9
Dodgers -115
Cards -1.5 (+120)
Devil Rays +130
Royals +150
Mets- NY hot, Philly not. Mets winners of 5 of last 6, Philly losers of 5 of last 6. Reed pitched a complete game, 4 hit shutout last meeting in Philly. Person was the opposing pitcher in that matchup, and is currently having control problems. Ten walks allowed in his last 10.3IP. Since May he has not gone longer than 6 innings and have been extremely erratic. Decent price for the more consistent pitcher and hotter team.
Expos and Over- I think the Over is the stronger play, but with a high-scoring expected, can't pass on a dog at this price. Montreal coming to town off a short, two game sweep over Philly. Bats are hot, scoring 5 or more runs in their last 7 games. Same can't be said for Atlanta's lineup, as they are struggling putting runs on the board. Thurman might be what the doctor ordered though, 13ER's over his last 11IP, and a 7.93 road ERA. Don't expect much from Millwood, maybe 5-6 IP, if he lasts that long.
Dodgers- Basic play going against an ice cold Colorado squad. A pathetic 4-23 record over their last 27 games. Can't ignore some aftershocks either from last night's game, losing to SF with 2 men out, no-one on in the 9th inning. Dodgers complete opposite, won 6 straight and are 16-5 last 21 games. LA hitting lefties at a .288 clip, and should fare well against Bohanon, who sports a 10.22 ERA and a 2.22 WHIP at Coors. Prokopec has rounded into form with 5 quality starts after some struggles in early June.
Cardinals- Won't argue with St Louis' streak over Pitt. Have won the last 11 meetings. And counting from the beginning of last season, the past 15 meeting have all been decided by more than 1 run, regardless of who won the game. Doesn't hurt either that Hermanson is 2-0 against Pitt already this season and has a tiny 1.35 ERA over his last 3 outings.
Devil Rays- Two bad teams, but no reason for Texas to be a medium sized road fave in this spot. Lopez is the better pitcher, and seems to be auditioning for potential trade suitors, as he has pitched very well in consecutive outings. Rangers only 4-12 when Davis starts. After a decent stretch, Davis has resorted back to early season form, which wasn't very good.
Royals- Oakland coming in hot, but laying too much juice IMO. They are only 5-11 when Lidle starts. He's off a 113 pitch, 6BB outing, his highest of the season. Royals not exactly chalking-up the W's when Byrd starts (only 1-5), but he has pitched relatively well. Take away one abysmal outing against Houston, and he's put together a 2.59ERA over 34.7IP. Not too shabby.
Good Luck!
