FRIDAY PLAY - 2*

vanbasten

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Nov 21, 2001
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i've been waiting for this game for some time. and expected a bigger line. so beware.

6-12 harvard (0-10 s/u and 1-4 ats on the road) comes to the palestra to play the 5-12 penn quakers (4-6 s/u and 1-5-2 ats @ home).

this game kicks off the ivy league schedule for penn, first time ever it's began in february for them.

harvard hasn't played a game since january 11th. 3 weeks since competitve play. in that time penn has played 3 big 5 teams in lasalle, st joe and temple. all losses, but respectable vs lasalle and most recently a decent effort vs. an improving temple side.

aside from those team, penn has faced the likes of virginia, villanova, unc and miami, fl.this season.

harvard opened the season with a 55 point loss at stanford, and beat michigan @ home dec 1. they also lost an ot game vs. uc irvine late december at home.

going back to as far as the 2003 season penn has won all 10 games these two have played, going 7-3 ats. harvard hasn't won at the palestra since 1991.

obviously this year's quakers are not as strong as their reputation, but i see plenty of reason to back them in this spot.

also, big question mark for harvard in F Pat Magnarelli, who injured his knee their last game vs dartmouth. he is listed as questionable, and may not play. he is harvard's leading rebounder (6.3 rpg) and second leading scorer (10.8 ppg). two double doubles in his last three full games. even if he does play, it's a recurring injury, and a lot of time off.

50/50 i make the trip to see the game. if you've never been, a big 5 or ivy rivalry game at the palestra is a must for any hoops fan.

good luck to all.



PLAYING PENN -2.5 2*
 

vanbasten

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Nov 21, 2001
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so if the line had been larger would you have been on harvard?

MONEY,

i'll try to answer this without me sounding stupid.

first, penn is the square play tonight. if you go strictly by the numbers - sag ratings - this line should be a pickem, even harvard -1.

off team stats (fg%, ft%, 3p%), are in harvard's favor as well.

i anticipated the line would be set higher because of public perception of the game (see bryanz thread).

i am playing it based on the reasons in my initial post.

the reason for my "fair warning" is that i may be falling right into a square trap. where i may sound stupid is that i expected a line of 4-4.5, in which case i would probably still be on penn, and possibly with more confidence.
 

INEEDMONEY

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Sep 4, 2005
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Athens, Ga
Thanks for the play! I definitely piggy-backed you on that one. The article was a great convincer. :00hour :00hour
 
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