Friday`s Very,Very Big Public Fade

[soul train]

Looking at the Bengals - Bills game....................

You have a very,very big public play tonight in the road dog Bengals +3.5

They are the biggest public play of the pre season thus far 68%

Now this line came out Monday morning

With the public hammering away on the Bengals your telling me this line has not moved :shrug:

No doubt in my mind this line should have moved at least to 3 if not 2.5 :yup

But Vegas is saying....Why move it....We got the Bengal backers right where we want them :142smilie

This line has been stagnant for too long......And you know what that means :sadwave:

The Bengals and the Public come limping out of Orchard Park tonight......:mj07:

The Play..............Buffalo Bills -3.5

 

[FirstnGoal]

I think your on to something Soul and I will also add that Palmer won't play tonight and the other Bengal QB's Wright, Meyer and Johnson aint worth the price of admission....plus Losman gets the start and his backups Holcomb and Nall would love to to perform well at home for the new coach and to keep the pressure on Losman for the starting job.

 

[freelancc]

The Bengals and the Public come limping out of Orchard Park tonight......:mj07:
[/B]

:142lmao: :142lmao:

 

[doubleparring]

Agreed. This may be a chance to cash in.:SIB

 

[RIGHT SIDE]

Looks solid Soul!! Same scenerio as SAC in WNBA last night and look what happened!!

 

[sdf]

actually, the line has gone UP

<pre>
The Greek
08/14 09:29:35am #455 Cincinnati
08/14 09:29:35am #456 Buffalo 3 OPENER
08/14 09:29:37am #455 Cincinnati 35 OPENER
08/14 09:42:10am #456 Buffalo 3-25
08/14 02:16:07pm #455 Cincinnati 34?
08/14 02:17:47pm #456 Buffalo 3?

</pre>

 

[soul train]

I`m going by this one......................


Date/Time Odds (Line) Over/Under (Total)
08/14/06 12:59 PM ET (Open) -3.5 35.5u
08/14/06 03:59 PM ET -3.5 35u
08/15/06 11:59 AM ET -3.5 34.5u
08/15/06 06:49 PM ET -3.5 34u

 

[seoulbrotha]

gl soul train
if the line did go up isnt it better for us?

 

[soul train]

gl soul train
if the line did go up isnt it better for us?

Yes it is.......A matter of fact his opening line is better then mine....He has it opening at 9:30 AM mine is starting at 1 pm on the same day......But yes,with the public hitting the Bengals it should not have gone to 3.5.....I like the play even better then before.

It`s no lock or guarantee....But it is an ANGLE

Let`s see what happens tonight...........

Go Bills!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[seoulbrotha]

the line went up to 4 at some places

 

[M. Pressure]

Soul, being a browser a long time on these boards you are one of the few cappers on here that I really respect. Hate going against your skill, but Im still learning. Good luck!

 

[THE KOD]

I just see the line movement differantly.

I think the public is slamming it on Buffalo.

Its just my read on it. Line movement is one of the toughest things to judge in wagering. I really only use it as part of finding the winning play, not the only reason, very often.

I just played Cinn +3.5

just a unit on preseason.

Good luck soul.

 

[soul train]

I just see the line movement differantly.

I think the public is slamming it on Buffalo.

Its just my read on it. Line movement is one of the toughest things to judge in wagering. I really only use it as part of finding the winning play, not the only reason, very often.

I just played Cinn +3.5

just a unit on preseason.

Good luck soul.

I am not judging it.....I actually see it.....Bengals closed with 66% of the money on there side....Gl Scott

 

[THE KOD]

Here we go !

Lets get ready for some football. !

 

[soul train]

Sorry guys...........Terrible play

 

[sdf]

had a chance but buffalo gave away 20 to 27 points in the first half

 

[THE KOD]

Pre season is where we hone our skills. Get ready for regular season.

I had the feeling about the line movement but the main reason I took Cinn is that they are a much better overall team than Buffalo.

Losman is a joke and will never be a top QB.

I am already feelin it this year. Look forward to making some cash.

I read your threads.

KOD

 

[THE KOD]

1 Play

I see a game that sticks out at me.It is a line movement,fade the public play.

The Cardinals opened up as the favorite at -103 and they have since slipped to the dog +106 and the amazing thing about it is that they are the biggest public play of the night with 70% of the money on them.The line is moving in the wrong direction.

The Pirates and the `Duke` are worth a play......

Pittsburgh Pirates -114
.....................................................

that was a good one

 

[mode the lode]

well, their goes that theory,