Friday

[desperado]

Been lurking here for a while, but my early-season success has led me to finally post some picks (hope I don't jinx myself). My picks are based on number crunching, some anti-consensus, and watching a ton of basketball.. Here goes nothing.. (Everything is 1 unit)

bos -4
nyk+6
sea/por over 186
por +1.5
mem/pho over 182
det -7
uth +6
den -7

 

[Bigdog4242]

GL on your picks and welcome to the forum!!

GL on your picks and welcome to the forum!!

Just a heads up. Harpring is out for the Jazz tonight. I am not sure if you have taken that into consideration or not.


GL!!

Bigdog

 

[WOJOE]

JUST WONDERING ON THAT MEMPHIS OVER
MEMPHIS 4-0 UNDER AND PHOENIX 3-1 UNDER THIS YEAR

 

[desperado]

BigDog,

Thanks for the tip. Actually, I didn't know, which is pretty lame considering they're my team. Ouch. Too late for me to back out from my book, but yea, can't justify a pick for the Jazz now. I still wouldn't bet Warriors, since I really like the way the Utah team is playing right now.

WOJOE,

Yea, that's actually a big reason for my pick. Based on my stats, fading a long streak of 5+ under games is a profitable pick. Also, both teams are shooting under 40% FGs this season, whereas last season both teams were upper half of the league in shooting and scoring with roughly the same team makeups. I expect the stats to balance out soon.