Friday..

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RobertBIrish

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Yale @ Princeton

Well Yale currently sits in the lead and in position to win their first Ivy League title since the 1960's. They play Princeton and Penn this weekend on the road then go home to face Harvard and Dartmouth two games they should win. Their best chance to get a win this weekend is at Princeton who just is not the same team they used to be, they are 3-4 ATS at home and only 4-5 ATS against the Ivy league while Yale has been very impressive going a perfect 7-0 ATS on the road and a very solid 8-2 ATS against their league. Yale holds a very strong rebounding edge here and are the better defensive team believe it or not and are heads and tales the better offensive team. Princeton had their turn at the top but it is time to step aside and give up that dominance. With one win this weekend and 2 wins in their last 2 games at home will have the Yale Bulldogs sitting at 12-2 and an Ivy League title I think they will win outright but will take the 4 points just for insurance! Here are a few trends to support our play!

Play Against - Home favorites (PRINCETON) - after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better.
(77-46 ATS) (62.6%, +26.4 units. Rating = 1 stars)

Team Trends favoring YALE to cover the spread
YALE is 8-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.
YALE is 7-1 ATS after 2 consecutive conference games this season.
YALE is 7-0 ATS after 3 consecutive conference games this season.
YALE is 30-15 ATS after a game where they covered the spread since 1997.
YALE is 17-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 5-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
YALE is 29-11 ATS as a road underdog since 1997.
YALE is 10-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less since 1997.
YALE is 23-9 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 33-16 ATS in all games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 8-2 ATS in conference games this season.
YALE is 6-0 ATS in February games this season.
YALE is 32-12 ATS in road games since 1997.
YALE is 5-1 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals this season.
YALE is 5-0 ATS off a road win this season.
YALE is 15-5 ATS on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 8-2 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 6-1 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game this season.
YALE is 6-1 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.
YALE is 5-1 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
YALE is 5-0 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game this season.
YALE is 5-1 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
YALE is 6-0 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season this season.
YALE is 10-3 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 22-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PRINCETON is 1-6 ATS after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent since 1997.
PRINCETON is 3-10 ATS after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 1-6 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season.

Play Yale +4
 
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mcity

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thanks...

thanks...

for the information....although I haven't posted anything on this game, I feel that you are right on target with this one. I feel that Yale is just plain and simple the better team here and that the public perception of princeton is the reason this line is, at least in my eyes, high... this isn't the same princeton team of years gone by....gonna wait to play it for sure until I hear what superbook has to say, but right now, I'm sold on Yale +4. good luck.
 
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loophole

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i too like yale in this game. a split this weekend really puts them in the driver's seat in the ivy race with much easier home games next weekend. you gotta believe that this is the game they would focus on as winning in the palestra will be a tall order. also going to stay on penn tonight. i've been playing on the quakers since after they lost @ yale, even sucking it up and laying the 22 last weekend. assuming both yale and penn win tonight, i would look for a good opportunity to play penn again tomorrow night. huge nature of that game will hopefully keep the line down enough to make penn a really strong play.
 
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superbook

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As I mentioned in Robert's thread last night, I'm in agreement with Yale.

Given the public perception of Princeton as the better Ivy team, there might be the opportunity to pick up more points if you wait to make your play closer to gametime.

- Jon
 
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Nolan Dalla

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Outstanding write up and feedback.

Thanks for the recommendaton, Irish. Playing Yale pus the points myself. Seems to be clear case of the public still thinking Princeton is a strong program -- and hasn't caught onto Yale yet.


-- Nolan Dalla
 
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STOCKJOCK

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ok ok ok

ok ok ok

I hate to bust up this Yale Party but I have to go the other way on this one. :shrug: I have been hot and normally don't post my picks just responses and information that is usually from the inside. I think Yale is going to take a Huge pounding tonight playing on Princeton home turf. In the even match ups in the Ivy home team usually WINS. I will lay the chalk to YALE and hope you guys put enough on it to drive the line down2 or 2.5 would be nice. :moon: SORRY but I had to post my opinion.
 
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RobertBIrish

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Hey that is what we are here for to compare views! but as for the home team being stronger in the Ivy Yale is 7-0 ATs on the road and 8-2 agains the Ivy League while Princeton is 3-4 ATS at home and 4-5 ATS agains the Ivy not real strong argument for the home team !
 
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TJBELL

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Nolan, LOL! this is one of those games where everyone but 1 person is on a side and 2 1/2 hours AFTER the game is over, we ALL wished we were that 1 person :D

hopefully that will NOT be the case here (nothing personal STOCKJOCK!) TOM
 
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RobertBIrish

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Damn I am popular today! And yes I knew about the winning streak but we don't have to win all we have to do is not lose by the point spread LOL!:moon: :D :moon:
 
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STOCKJOCK

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Play

Play

As you can see by my posts I am new to the board and I value all of the work that you guys put into your picks. I have been following you guys and I can tell be the records who actually has pride in there picks. superbook, raymond, robert, nolan, hoops fletch, antonio jmizeus etc. etc. etc.... I hate to play against you guys but I wouldn't respect myself in the morning when princeton wins by 14 and I went the other way. I am standing by my pick and putting my money where my mouth is. Although I want to win I still wish all good luck tonight but 1 last thing to say to yale:thefinger :moon:
 
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STOCKJOCK

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6

6

5.5 is all the chalk I will lay on this game although I think it is a double digit win, I have a bad feeling about going with the masses. If my book has 5.5 or more it is a no bet for me.
 
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