wku (-10) 2 units. wow, this line is begging for marshall money. especially since the herd has gotta be looking for some revenge after the hilltoppers wrecked their perfect season last year. and statistically, marshall has the best pass defense in the country. but they haven't seen a passing offense like they're going to see today. they've only faced 2 teams in the top 50 in passing yards/game. they needed 5 TOs to beat southern miss and they lost to mtsu. i like the hilltoppers to light up marshall and clinch a berth in the conference championship game.
iowa (-1) 2 units. on paper, this could be a bad matchup for the hawkeyes. obviously they depend on the running game, and nebraska is 10th in the country, allowing 110 yards/game on the ground. and they could already be looking ahead to the big 10 championship game. but they've probably watched plenty of tape of how they blew a 17-point lead to lost to nebraska last year. that should be enough to keep them focused on this game.
navy/houston under (60) 3 units. they don't get the publicity, but both defenses have been very good this year. only thing keeping this from being an even bigger play - i don't think houston has seen much, if any, option lately. you never know how a team will react to seeing the option for the first time, especially with a short week to prepare.
san jose (+7.5) 3 units
san jose (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. gotta be the first time in a long time that boise has lost back-to-back games at home. hard to say how they'll react to that. but i think san jose can hang in this game and they should have a shot at winning it.
iowa (-1) 2 units. on paper, this could be a bad matchup for the hawkeyes. obviously they depend on the running game, and nebraska is 10th in the country, allowing 110 yards/game on the ground. and they could already be looking ahead to the big 10 championship game. but they've probably watched plenty of tape of how they blew a 17-point lead to lost to nebraska last year. that should be enough to keep them focused on this game.
navy/houston under (60) 3 units. they don't get the publicity, but both defenses have been very good this year. only thing keeping this from being an even bigger play - i don't think houston has seen much, if any, option lately. you never know how a team will react to seeing the option for the first time, especially with a short week to prepare.
san jose (+7.5) 3 units
san jose (ML) 1 unit to win 2.5. gotta be the first time in a long time that boise has lost back-to-back games at home. hard to say how they'll react to that. but i think san jose can hang in this game and they should have a shot at winning it.
