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Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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Upstate NY
conference championship games already? wow.

northern ill (ML) 2 units to win 2.8. two similar teams, in that both emphasize the ground game. in fact, each team runs the ball about 60% of their snaps. UB certainly does it better, as they average 4.7 yards/carry while the huskies average 4.1. but here's what i think is the difference... northern ill is 2nd in the country, allowing 2.63 yards/rush. (UB gives up 4.2 yards/carry) and northern ill played a much tougher non-conference schedule.

speaking of defense...

northern ill/ub first half under (26) 2 units
under (51.5) 4 units. hard to see many points in this game. last year, these teams played at UB and the final was 14-13, with all the points in the first half. and tonight feels like another slugfest.

utah (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. taking a shot with the utes. they are 3-0 with shelley as the starter. he hasn't been great, but they're winning. should be a big motivational edge, too. washington was in the national semis two years ago and the fiesta bowl last year. winning this game and playing in a new years day bowl game would be huge for the utes.

first half under (22.5) 4 units
under (45) 4 units. 21-7 in september and no reason to expect anything different tonight. the two best defenses in the pac 12 and, let's face it, neither offense has been great.

doggies and unders. so unusual for me...
 

ejthree

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 7, 2006
4,808
540
113
conference championship games already? wow.

northern ill (ML) 2 units to win 2.8. two similar teams, in that both emphasize the ground game. in fact, each team runs the ball about 60% of their snaps. UB certainly does it better, as they average 4.7 yards/carry while the huskies average 4.1. but here's what i think is the difference... northern ill is 2nd in the country, allowing 2.63 yards/rush. (UB gives up 4.2 yards/carry) and northern ill played a much tougher non-conference schedule.

speaking of defense...

northern ill/ub first half under (26) 2 units
under (51.5) 4 units. hard to see many points in this game. last year, these teams played at UB and the final was 14-13, with all the points in the first half. and tonight feels like another slugfest.

utah (ML) 2 units to win 3.6. taking a shot with the utes. they are 3-0 with shelley as the starter. he hasn't been great, but they're winning. should be a big motivational edge, too. washington was in the national semis two years ago and the fiesta bowl last year. winning this game and playing in a new years day bowl game would be huge for the utes.

first half under (22.5) 4 units
under (45) 4 units. 21-7 in september and no reason to expect anything different tonight. the two best defenses in the pac 12 and, let's face it, neither offense has been great.

doggies and unders. so unusual for me...

Nice work on Utah total...:0074
 

Smitty

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,412
2,001
113
Upstate NY
Nice work on Utah total...:0074

thank you, sir. wagers don't get much easier than that. and the way the last few weeks have gone, i'll take a profitable day. but i'm still steaming over how utah lost that game. and not even the PI call that was missed on the last play. but the way washington scored the only td of the game was just sick. if the receiver just held that damn ball... as good as utah's kicker is, i'm 99% certain that the utes win that game if he makes the catch instead of booting the ball into the air for the d back.
 
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