07:10 PM [958] NY METS -220 ( J GANT -R / M HARVEY -R )
07:10 PM [968] BOS RED SOX -118 ( H IWAKUMA -R / R ELIAS -L )
08:15 PM [979] TEX RANGERS +108 ( C HAMELS -L / M WACHA -R )
1 unit bet pays 4.59 ....betdsi line
10:10 PM MLB [960] TOTAL u7.5 -120 (MIL BREWERS vrs LA DODGERS) ( Z DAVIES -R / J URIAS -L )
10:40 PM MLB [961] WAS NATIONALS -161 ( J ROSS -R / C FRIEDRICH -L )
07:05 PM MLB [963] TOR BLUE JAYS -142 ( A SANCHEZ -R / M WRIGHT -R )
07:10 PM MLB [966] TOTAL u7.5 -110 (CHI WHITE SOX vrs CLE INDIANS) ( J QUINTANA -L / T BAUER -R )
08:10 PM MLB [969] NY YANKEES -172 ( M TANAKA -R / P DEAN -L )
08:15 PM MLB [1971] 1H DET TIGERS -135 ( M FULMER -R / Y VENTURA -R )
10:30 PM NBA [656] LA SPARKS -6.5 -150 (B+2)
1 unit bet pays 43 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-73, -0.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
it's true: all 13 starts Jose Quintana has made this season have gone 'UNDER', except his very first one (4/5/2016 @OAK)...CWS avg 2.76 runs in his starts...
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The Colorado Rockies road wOBA versus lefties is a paltry 0.282 with a huge 28 percent strikeout rate. This not only makes Miami Marlins southpaw Adam Conley a solid streamer but also a cheap DFS play.
Samardzija has recorded a 7.36 ERA in his last three starts, compared with 2.54 in his first 10. He's 2-8 with a 5.46 ERA in Interleague Play.
Hamels beat the Mariners on Sunday by allowing one run in seven innings, and he is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts in June. He is 4-0 with a 1.94 ERA in six starts on the road.
BOSTON -1? +158 over Seattle
Roenis Elias moves into the rotation for this start, replacing the injured Joe Kelly. Elias is no stranger to starting. He started 49 major league games prior to this year and has a career ERA of 4.04. His career xERA is almost exactly the same as his actual ERA. Ironically, Elias started all those games as a member of the Mariners and he?ll now face his former team in his first start for his new team. Elias was battling for a spot in the Boston rotation in the spring. He had a strong spring but the Red Sox opted to go with Steven Wright instead and let Elias work on some things. Elias has some very good off-speed stuff and has been able to miss bats at a solid rate (11% swing and miss rate over his MLB career). He has 241 K?s in 281 MLB innings. At Pawtucket, Elias struck out 60 batters in 60 innings over nine starts. He also won four of his last five starts at Pawtucket with a BB/K split of 8/40 over 36 innings. Elias is not some old journeyman pitcher. He?s only 27-years old and has had a taste of the big leagues before with moderate success. He now gets a huge opportunity to stick in a rotation that is desperate for starting pitching. After being in the big leagues for two plus years, there is nothing more motivating than getting another chance after riding buses and living the life of a minor-leaguer. Elias has the stuff to do well and time spent at Pawtucket may have served him well.
This pitching matchup may appear to favor the Mariners, which is why this number on Boston is so low. The Red Sox are usually a bigger price at home but perception is reality and the markets? perception of Hisashi Iwakuma is that he?s a reliable and consistent starter. We will now try and take advantage of that incorrect perception.
Iwakuma is coming off a 7-5 win over the Rangers. If you watched that game than you saw 22 of the 27 batters that Iwakuma faced rip the cover off the ball. The only problem was that most of those were hit right at people. After watching roughly nine of Iwakuma?s 13 starts this year, including the last three, we?re suggesting that he?s hanging by a thread and his day has now arrived. Iwakuma?s velocity is way down to 87 MPH. He failed a physical with the Dodgers last off-season when they traded for him and sent him right back to where he came from because they didn?t like the results of said physical. Iwakuma?s strikeout rate is beginning to shrink. His struggles can be summed up in his 17%/25% dominant start/disaster start split. Rarely dominant with disasters starting to pile up, this park and this offense should absolutely destroy Iwakuma. Furthermore, Iwakuma has struggled greatly with the long ball over the last month, surrendering eight jacks in his last five starts. Iwakuma has a 14% career hr/f, so his 13% hr/f this season is not out of character for him. The Red Sox, who have a .863 OPS at home this season, are precisely the team to expose his weak profile in a big way. The Mariners have dropped four of five and their bullpen continues to struggle almost daily. The strategy is to keep fading the 35-year-old Iwakuma because he?s damn close to the end. We'll put that to the test here.
07:10 PM [968] BOS RED SOX -118 ( H IWAKUMA -R / R ELIAS -L )
08:15 PM [979] TEX RANGERS +108 ( C HAMELS -L / M WACHA -R )
1 unit bet pays 4.59 ....betdsi line
10:10 PM MLB [960] TOTAL u7.5 -120 (MIL BREWERS vrs LA DODGERS) ( Z DAVIES -R / J URIAS -L )
10:40 PM MLB [961] WAS NATIONALS -161 ( J ROSS -R / C FRIEDRICH -L )
07:05 PM MLB [963] TOR BLUE JAYS -142 ( A SANCHEZ -R / M WRIGHT -R )
07:10 PM MLB [966] TOTAL u7.5 -110 (CHI WHITE SOX vrs CLE INDIANS) ( J QUINTANA -L / T BAUER -R )
08:10 PM MLB [969] NY YANKEES -172 ( M TANAKA -R / P DEAN -L )
08:15 PM MLB [1971] 1H DET TIGERS -135 ( M FULMER -R / Y VENTURA -R )
10:30 PM NBA [656] LA SPARKS -6.5 -150 (B+2)
1 unit bet pays 43 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 9-73, -0.86 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
it's true: all 13 starts Jose Quintana has made this season have gone 'UNDER', except his very first one (4/5/2016 @OAK)...CWS avg 2.76 runs in his starts...
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The Colorado Rockies road wOBA versus lefties is a paltry 0.282 with a huge 28 percent strikeout rate. This not only makes Miami Marlins southpaw Adam Conley a solid streamer but also a cheap DFS play.
Samardzija has recorded a 7.36 ERA in his last three starts, compared with 2.54 in his first 10. He's 2-8 with a 5.46 ERA in Interleague Play.
Hamels beat the Mariners on Sunday by allowing one run in seven innings, and he is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts in June. He is 4-0 with a 1.94 ERA in six starts on the road.
BOSTON -1? +158 over Seattle
Roenis Elias moves into the rotation for this start, replacing the injured Joe Kelly. Elias is no stranger to starting. He started 49 major league games prior to this year and has a career ERA of 4.04. His career xERA is almost exactly the same as his actual ERA. Ironically, Elias started all those games as a member of the Mariners and he?ll now face his former team in his first start for his new team. Elias was battling for a spot in the Boston rotation in the spring. He had a strong spring but the Red Sox opted to go with Steven Wright instead and let Elias work on some things. Elias has some very good off-speed stuff and has been able to miss bats at a solid rate (11% swing and miss rate over his MLB career). He has 241 K?s in 281 MLB innings. At Pawtucket, Elias struck out 60 batters in 60 innings over nine starts. He also won four of his last five starts at Pawtucket with a BB/K split of 8/40 over 36 innings. Elias is not some old journeyman pitcher. He?s only 27-years old and has had a taste of the big leagues before with moderate success. He now gets a huge opportunity to stick in a rotation that is desperate for starting pitching. After being in the big leagues for two plus years, there is nothing more motivating than getting another chance after riding buses and living the life of a minor-leaguer. Elias has the stuff to do well and time spent at Pawtucket may have served him well.
This pitching matchup may appear to favor the Mariners, which is why this number on Boston is so low. The Red Sox are usually a bigger price at home but perception is reality and the markets? perception of Hisashi Iwakuma is that he?s a reliable and consistent starter. We will now try and take advantage of that incorrect perception.
Iwakuma is coming off a 7-5 win over the Rangers. If you watched that game than you saw 22 of the 27 batters that Iwakuma faced rip the cover off the ball. The only problem was that most of those were hit right at people. After watching roughly nine of Iwakuma?s 13 starts this year, including the last three, we?re suggesting that he?s hanging by a thread and his day has now arrived. Iwakuma?s velocity is way down to 87 MPH. He failed a physical with the Dodgers last off-season when they traded for him and sent him right back to where he came from because they didn?t like the results of said physical. Iwakuma?s strikeout rate is beginning to shrink. His struggles can be summed up in his 17%/25% dominant start/disaster start split. Rarely dominant with disasters starting to pile up, this park and this offense should absolutely destroy Iwakuma. Furthermore, Iwakuma has struggled greatly with the long ball over the last month, surrendering eight jacks in his last five starts. Iwakuma has a 14% career hr/f, so his 13% hr/f this season is not out of character for him. The Red Sox, who have a .863 OPS at home this season, are precisely the team to expose his weak profile in a big way. The Mariners have dropped four of five and their bullpen continues to struggle almost daily. The strategy is to keep fading the 35-year-old Iwakuma because he?s damn close to the end. We'll put that to the test here.
