Friday's plays and short writeups

[CrazyHorse]

Went 2-1 yesterday with my 3 over picks. That makes me 15-5-1 (+10.8 units) Today's plays:

Oakland (-115) over Texas
Just feel Lidle is a better pitcher than Bell and moreso recently. Opposing batters are hitting .255 vs him and in his last 3 he has a 3.5ERA w/ 1.06 WHIP. I thought a change of teams might help Bell's #'s but they still look pretty bad. Wish I would have jumped on this last nite when it was +100 but still feel there is value at -115.

LA/SD over 8.5 -130
This is just a play based on trends such as:
Over is 8-2-2 LA's last 12 on the road
Over is 10-2-2 SD's last 14 at home. Dreifort has pitched well but in his last 3 he has a 5.19ERA with 1.73 WHIP. Throw in the fact that IE is playing the over and I'm in too.

HOU/MIL over 9 +105
I don't see this one going way over the total but at +105 I feel it's a good play. Opposing batters are hitting Reynolds at .299 and he has given up 101 hits in 87IP. Sheets has a 4.91ERA in his last 3 and the over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts. The over is 5-2 in Reynolds' last 7 starts. I know Brewers bats have been cold lately but just feel +105 is too good to pass up.

All plays are for one unit. I will probably add a few more later after I look into them more. GL to all..

If anyone has any input or thoughts on the following leans, it would be appreciated:

OAK/TEX under 11.5
BOS/TOR under 9.5
San Diego -130
Seattle -125

[This message has been edited by CrazyHorse (edited 06-29-2001).]

 

[gsp]

On paper SD looks to be a solid play. However, IE is on LA and he might be seeing something I missed.

 

[CrazyHorse]

Yes, I never like going against IE. Not to mention that I much rather take SD on the road as a dog then at home as a favorite. Adding:

BOS/TOR under 9.5 -110
Parris has pitched much better of late including sunday's win against Wakefield. In his last 3 he has a 2.41 ERA and 1.55 WHIP's. Wakefield continues to pitch great and leads the league in ERA, but still averages a very low run support at 3.7. Add in the fact that Everett will not play and I think it goes under. All plays are for one unit.

 

[CrazyHorse]

One last play:

Oakland (+105) to win the series vs. Texas

Playing this for .5 unit. I wish Hudson was pitching one of these games, but still like Oakland to win 2 out of 3. I know they just won their series with Seattle, but by no means do I think that this will be an easy series win. I have gotten killed in the past with teams playing up/down to the level of their competition. I don't see a huge pitching advantage in any of the expected starters but just feel Oakland is the overall better team and think +105 is a nice price. GL to all..