Fridays Plays

superbook

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Yale +5

RobertBIrish has this one covered in his thread.

Harvard -9.5 (bought a point)

Cornell is the worst team in the Ivy. Harvard lost to them by one after the long Saturday morning bus ride to Ithaca and coming off a tough last minute win at Columbia the night before. Harvard is tough at home and the young Cornell team is not good on the road (or anywhere for that matter)

Penn -7.5 (first half)

Penn needs to sweep their remaining four games to stay in the Ivy race. They can eliminate Brown tonight but the Quakers' bigger game is tomorrow night vs Yale. Penn is the best team in the Ivy and will exploit Brown's total lack of D to run away early.

Columbia -3

I hate going against bryanz's pick; he's been very good in the Ivy. So I thought I'd give you my thinking behind this pick:


Dartmouth won the first game at Columbia 57-51 in a game that Columbia admitted they didn't give their all. The Lions were very demoralized after the previous night's last second loss to Harvard which was made possible by a bad call on a charge by center Chris Wiedemann on a basket that went in. The foul allowed Harvard's Harvey to win 55-52 with a 3 which bounced straight up and went in at the buzzer. That loss killed Columbia's Ivy hopes which were looking up after a victory at Penn in their previous game.

In their game vs Dartmouth, Columbia outrebounded the Big Green 38-22. That which will happen again tonight. Both teams shot poorly, Columbia lost as a result of sloppy play and turnovers.

Columbia and Dartmouth are both now playing for pride; Columbia has six seniors who want to go out on a high note. Dartmouth is primarily a team of underclassmen.

Senior starting point guard Derrick Mayo will play for Columbia tonight, he missed the first game against Dartmouth with a stress fracture in his foot. While he's still not 100% he played an average of 25 minutes in last weeks losses to Brown and Yale and is expected to play significant minutes this weekend.

Columbia's biggest problem of late has been their inability to hit their shots; fortunately for them Dartmouth doesn't play very good defense, allowing their opponents to shoot 49% from the field including 41% from the arc in their L5.

Dartmouth lives and dies by the three. They're #2 in the nation in 3's taken as a % of FGs: 49.7%. Dartmouth takes a lot of shots from the arc because they have no inside game. They're hitting 40% of their 3's but Columbia will make up for this disadvantage by getting a lot of easy inside shots and probably 10-15 more shots during the game as a result of their better rebounding.

Home court is not necessarily an advantage for Dartmouth: they're 1-4 ATS at home while Columbia is 5-4 ATS on the road.

There's no question Columbia has the skill advantage in this match-up. With pride and revenge as motives, I like Columbia in this spot.

Manhattan -10

The Jaspers are still fighting for league position and have a little revenge on their mind after Iona beat them 75-70 in their first game. Iona's leading scorer Courtney Fields is out for this one and probably the season. I look for Manhattan to step it up here.

Portland +7.5

A battle of two bad teams but with St. Mary's leading scorer out, I'll take the points and Portland here. Portland is 1-11 SU away but 7-5 ATS on the road. Portland has won the L4 games between these two.
 
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dr. freeze

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i have a question.......why would you buy a point on a Harvard -10.5?

seems like Harvard -10.5 at -110 is a better bet than -9.5 at -130.......
 

superbook

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Dr. Freeze --

I always get a lot of questions about my habit of buying points. Maybe it doesn't make any sense but it has been paying out for me this year. The extra wins have been worth the extra juice. Last night it was the half point on Hawaii that gave me the win instead of the push.

My concern with the line at 10.5 is the fear of the backdoor cover by Cornell (0-13 SU away, 5-5-1 ATS on the road) especially given that Harvard has to play another game just 24 hours later against a better team.
 

superbook

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I couldn't just sit around and watch Raymond have all the fun with these parlays.

Wager Type: Parlay (3 team)
Wager Status: Pending
Risk / To Win Amount: 100.00 / 907.00 (USD)


Item #1
Wager Type: Money Line
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NCAA Basketball / Game
Line:
Yale 2/22/2002 7:30:00 PM - EST
+165

Item #2
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NCAA Basketball / 1st Half
Line:
Pennsylvania 2/22/2002 7:00:00 PM - EST
-7? -110

Item #3
Wager Type: Spread
Outcome: Pending
Sport / Period: NCAA Basketball / 1st Half
Line:
Harvard 2/22/2002 7:00:00 PM - EST
-5? -110
 

superbook

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This is kind of fun.:)

College Basketball

Parlay Wager: Pennsylvania -13 [-105] (Entire Game)
Parlay Wager: Columbia -3 [-105] (Entire Game)
Parlay Wager: Harvard -10 [-105] (Entire Game)
Parlay Wager: Yale +5 [-105] (Entire Game)


Risk: 250.00 Pays: 3382.40 Status: PENDING
 

NT325

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SB, if u don't mind me asking, What is ur record on for the past few Fridays. For me, Fridays is the worst day of the week. My worst days is order: Friday, Saturday, and Wed.
Thanks in advance
 

superbook

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Boilermarker -- thanks for the props

NT325 -- I can't track it by day of week but I can tell you that Saturday is by far the worst for me. Fridays have been good, primarily because of the Ivy games -- 23-13-1 so far in the Ivy this season on my plays posted at MJs.

good luck tonight guys, I've got way too much of my BR riding on these Ivy games and I'm a little nervous about it right now.:eek:
 

dr. freeze

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good luck tonight......i think a backdoor on 9.5 is almost as likely as on 10.5 only more costly........hope you make $ tonight......
 

superbook

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Dr. Freeze --

Harvard 19-16 at the half. Cornell plays that slow-down offense.

But once they get behind hopefully Harvard will be able to speed things up and get up by a decent margin. Backdoor cover the least of my worries right now!

I made two smaller second half plays:


Columbia PK
Penn -3.5
 
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