Fridays TRENDS.

TJBELL

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Friday, August 12th

National League:

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Jason Marquis (R) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)

Marquis - St. Louis 52-29 when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons
Zambrano - 3-7 TSR vs. St. Louis

Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves, 7:35 EST
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Jorge Sosa (R)

Vargas - 4-21 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons
Sosa - Atlanta 22-2 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season

San Francisco Giants at Florida Marlins, 7:35 EST
Noah Lowry (L) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)

Lowry - San Fransisco 12-8 vs. Florida over the last 3 seasons
Willis - 1-4 TSR with 10.62 ERA and 1.918 WHIP vs. Giants

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05 EST
Luke Hudson (R) vs. Chris Capuano (L)

Hudson - 3-0 TSR with 1.00 ERA and 1.000 WHIP vs. Brewers
Capuano - Milwaukee 0-7 after getting shut out this season

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros, 8:05 EST
Zach Duke (L) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)

Duke - Pittsburgh 20-59 as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons
Oswalt - Houston 16-4 at home vs. Pittsburgh over the last 3 seasons

Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies, 9:05 EST
Esteban Loaiza (R) vs. Jamey Wright (R)

Loaiza - 10-2 Under as an underdog this season
Wright - Colorado 7-0 Under at home vs. Washington over the last 3 seasons

Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres, 10:05 EST
Jon Lieber (R) vs. Jake Peavy (R)

Lieber - Philadelphia 5-1 at San Diego this season
Peavy - 11-0 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 2 seasons

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:40 EST
Jae Weong Seo (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)

Seo - Mets 5-1 Under at Los Angeles over the last 3 seasons
Weaver - 6-19 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter since 1997

American League:

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox, 7:05 EST
Mark Buehrle (L) vs. David Wells (L)

Buehrle - 39-13 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing since 1997
Wells - 0-6 TSR in August over the last 3 seasons

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Cleveland Indians, 7:05 EST
Mark Hendrickson (L) vs. Jake Westbrook (R)

Hendrickson - 11-2 Over when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season
Westbrook - 3-0 TSR with 1.118 WHIP over last 3 starts

Texas Rangers at New York Yankees, 7:05 EST
Chris Young (R) vs. Al Leiter (L)

Young - Texas 9-0 Over in August
Leiter - 0-6 TSR after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing this season

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles, 7:35 EST
Josh Towers (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)

Towers - Toronto 13-9 at Baltimore over the last 3 seasons
Cabrera - 4-10 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals, 8:10 EST
Jason Johnson (R) vs. Jose Lima (R)

Johnson - 6-18 TSR against division opponents over the last 2 seasons
Lima - 6-0 TSR as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons

Anaheim Angels at Seattle Mariners, 10:05 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)

Washburn - 15-4 TSR on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997
Moyer - 8-0 TSR in home games after a loss this season

Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics, 10:05 EST
Johan Santana (L) vs. Danny Haren (R)

Santana - 29-5 TSR in night games over the last 2 seasons
Haren - 10-1 TSR in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons


**Denotes Time Change
TSR = Team Start Record
 

TJBELL

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Hot pitchers
-- CZambrano is 4-1, 2.20 in his last eight starts.
-- Vargas is 2-2, 2.43 in his last six starts. Sosa is 4-0, 1.83 in his last eight starts.
-- Willis is 2-1, 1.35 in his last three starts. Lowry is 2-2, 2.25 in his last five starts.
-- LHudson is 2-0, 4.24 in his last three starts. Brewers are 8-2 in last ten starts by Capuano.
-- Houston is 9-1 in Oswalt's last ten home games. Duke is 5-0, 1.36 in his last six starts.
-- Padres won last three Peavy starts (2-0, 1.50).
-- Weaver is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts. VZambrano is 1-0, 2.20 in last four road starts, but Met bullpen lost all three no-decisions.

-- DWells is 3-0, 2.97 in his last five starts; Boston won his last six home starts. Buehrle is 2-0, 1.42 in his last two trips to the mound.
-- Westbrook is 4-0, 3.38 in his last four starts.
-- A's are 14-0 in Haren's last fourteen starts. Twins won four of Santana's last five starts.
-- Seattle is 9-3 in Moyer's last dozen starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Marquis is 0-4, 8.10 in his last four starts; Cardinals are 1-9 in his last ten starts, after winning nine of first 13.
-- Wright is 1-4, 7.29 in his last six starts. Loaiza is 0-3, 4.33 in his last four starts.
-- Phillies lost Lieber's last six starts away from home.

-- Hendrickson has 10.80 RA in his last six starts.
-- Towers has 5.88 RA in his last seven starts. Orioles lost last five Cabrera starts (0-3, 6.65).
-- Leiter is 1-3, 5.79 in his last four starts. Young has an 8.84 RA in his last four starts.
-- Johnson has 6.75 RA in his last four starts. Lima is 0-2 9.31 in his last two starts.
-- Washburn is 1-3, 4.21 in his last four starts.


Totals
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight St Louis road games.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Arizona road games.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Florida home games.
-- Under is 6-1-3 in last ten games at Miller Park.
-- Last four Houston home games went over total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Colorado games.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Lieber starts.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Met road games.

-- Last six Fenway games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3 in last nine Westbrook starts, 11-2 in last thirteen Hendrickson starts.
-- Last ten Texas games all went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Cabrera starts.
-- Six of last nine Detroit road games went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Oakland home games.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Washburn starts.

Hot teams
-- Cardinals are 16-7 in their last 23 road games.
-- Arizona is 5-3 in its last eight road games. Braves are 8-2 in their last ten home contests.
-- Marlins won six of their last eight home games.
-- Reds won their last eight road games.
-- Houston is 23-4 in its last 27 home games.
-- Colorado is 8-4 in its last dozen games.
-- Phillies won five of last seven road games. San Diego won seven of its last nine games.

-- Red Sox won their last eleven home games. White Sox are 19-6 in last twenty-five road games.
-- Indians won eleven of their last thirteen games.
-- Bronx is 12-5 in its last seventeen home games.
-- Orioles are 5-2 under Sammy Perlozzo. Toronto won seven of its last eleven games.
-- A's are 20-4 in their last twenty-four home games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Giants lost four of last five road games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Pirates are 6-14 in their last twenty road games.
-- Nationals lost ten of last thirteen road games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight home games.

-- Devil Rays lost six of their last seven games.
-- Rangers lost their last five road games.
-- Royals lost their last thirteen games. Detroit lost seven of last eight road games.
-- Twins lost nine of last eleven road games.
-- Seattle is 9-12 in their last 21 home games. Angels lost seven of their last nine road games.
 

TJBELL

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Jul 22, 2001
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-- Bears played in Canton Monday night, now visit the Gateway Arch to play Ram squad whose second-year backup QB Smoker is said to be progressing quite nicely, but Martz Madness covered one of last six in summer.
-- Under is 4-1 in last five Chicago summer games.
-- Chicago coach Smith is former Ram coordinator on defense; they beat Rams in OT last summer, 13-10.
-- Tampa Bay allowed 8 ppg in last six summer games, with last four all staying under, and Bucs winning five of the six games. Bucs have the awful Chris Simms backing up Greise, along with former Brown QB McCown.
-- Jeff Fisher's Titans 10-1-1 vs spread last 3 summers.
-- Seattle has this collection of humans backing up its QB Matt Hasselbeck: Seneca Wallace, David Greene, Gibran Hamden. They better keep #8 healthy. Four of last five Seahawk road summer games stayed under total.
-- Cincinnati hammered Patriots 31-3 last summer, as a 3-point home dog; with Patriots totally rebuilding staff, and with new LB's, they'll need summer games to work out some kinks with their new coordinators.
-- Even with that win, Cincy lost six of last eight summer tilts, with five of last seven staying under.
-- Patriots had won eight summer games in row before losing their last three games in '04. Doug Flutie is now a Patriot, so they'll get quality play if they use him.
-- Jet fans excited about their team, with Ty Law now in green; Herm's team won five of last six summer games, six of last seven in Swamp. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six summer contests. Fiedler competent backup for Jets.
-- Detroit can't win on road in games that don't count, as they've failed to cover last four summer road games, with all four of those games staying under total. Jeff Garcia is an excellent #2 QB for Mariucci.
-- Chiefs lost three of last four summer road games, with three of those four going over total. This is matchup of two teams who supposedly improved their defenses.
-- Vikings' backup QB is Brad Johnson, who won Super Bowl three years ago with Bucs. Vikes scored 21+ points in their last six summer games.
 
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