FRIGHDAY PLAYOFFS

Happy Hippo

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Forum Member
Mar 2, 2006
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127-124-6 overall

1-1 last night

39-45-1 playoffs
88-79-5 reg season

spreads: 66-64-3
O/Us: 57-50-3
crap i shouldn't have bet on (MLs, team tot. etc): 4-11



FOUR PLAY FRIGHDAY:


SPURS +2 (-108) x 2 units
SPURS-MAVS UNDER 194 (-111) x 2 units

Mavericks are 0-5 SU in game 6 of any given playoff series since 2003 (includes 3 home losses)
Spurs are 5-1 SU & 4-0 SU on the road in game 6 of any given playoff series since 2003

I usually like to play on a team the first night one of their key players is out. But Jason Terry has been the second highest scoring Mav for the playoffs. Dallas has plenty of role players, but the Spurs are also ridiculously deep and have playoff experience. Let?s see what kind of adjustments Pop makes tonight...



CAVS +6 (-117) x 2 units
CAVS-PISTONS UNDER 178 (-114) x 2 units


Historically, when a playoff team is winning the series 3-2 since 1998, they...

WIN game six 57.5% of the time
LOSE game six and WIN game seven 27.5% of the time
LOSE game six and LOSE game seven 15% of the time


The Pistons have been in this spot before. Actually, they have been down 3-2 in a playoff series for each of the last 3 years:

2005 beat Miami in game 6 (91-66), went on to win the series
2004 beat New Jersey in game 6 (81-75), went on to win the series (road game)
2003 beat Orlando in game 6 (103-88), went on to win the series (road game)

Impressive - almost too impressive.... since 1998, only 6 teams have come back from a 3-2 playoff series deficit to win the series. Detroit accounts for 50% of these. Why were they so good at coming back in these years? Rick Carlisle & Larry Brown. With the Pistons hurting front court, the Cavs momentum and the homecourt advantage, I think the Cavs have a good shot at winning the game, or at least covering 6.

Pistons are 1-8 ATS coming off BB ATS losses
Cavs are 22-9 ATS off BB wins
Cavs are 13-3 ATS off a win by 6 points or less


:SIB KING JAMES :SIB


Should be another SLOW defensive game tonight...

UNDER is 11-4-1 Pistons last 16 road playoff games
UNDER is 17-5-0 Pistons-Cavs last 22 meetings



GOOD LUCK EVERYONE
 

DeadPrez

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Sep 9, 2005
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great night hippopotomuuuuuuuuuuus!!!!!

4-0 a clean sweep (like memphis every year) :yup :walk: :thumb:
 
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