FUNAI Classic

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
11,801
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Manchester, England
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Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)

Justin Rose to win 50/1 e.w. available generally
Ignore his missed cut at Greensboro. As he admits on his website, he has been playing some "really nice golf recently" - finishes of 4th, 14th, 14th and 2nd in his previous four starts - and the setup problems that he had last time out were easily fixed. He was looking forward to spending time at his own home in Orlando and that is the location of this week's event. He put that home advantage to good use last year when finishing 3rd (24th on his debut the year before) and should do so again this year.

Greg Owen to win 66/1 e.w. available generally
Owen is another Briton living in Florida, who has put that (adopted) home advantage to good use. He finished in the top-20 in both the Ford Championship and Honda Classic in March and then really should have won the Bay Hill Invitational the following week. He ultimately finished 2nd, but at least he has been showing the same form again recently with finishes of 9th, 12th and 16th in his last three starts. They have coincided with a visit from his England-based coach, David Ridley, and the results are clear. Even if there are doubts about his putting under pressure, this is more than compensated for in these odds.

Daniel Chopra to win 66/1 e.w. @ Stan James and Victor Chandler
Very surprised at these odds. Chopra is another Florida resident who will be glad to get back to his adopted home and he arrives there in extremely good form, having finished finished 16th, 6th and 2nd in thee last three weeks. He has played in this event in each of the last two years, improving to finish 49th and 21st and he will be certainly encouraged by how he played in the pro-am format last week. With a similar open-course setup, the big-hitting Swede should figure on the leaderboard for another week at least.
 

ridle

Namaste!
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Jun 28, 2005
480
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Fancying a lot of players here - hard to keep the list short:

1/4 1-5:
Geiberger 150/1 Gen.
Calcavecchia 175/1 StanJames
Sluman 175/1 StanJames
Pernice Jr 66/1 StanJames
Cox 350/1 StanJames
Kendall 250/1 Victor Chandler
Damron R 250/1 Sportingbet
Waldorf 150/1 Totesport
Overton 300/1 Coral
Haas 175/1 Stan James
Thompson 400/1 Stan James
Rollins 125/1 Stan James
Coceres 200/1 Centrebet
really tried to shorten the list but hey it's the battle for a tour card for most of the longshots so :SIB
 

veride

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Feb 18, 2004
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Poland
Each-Way 1/4 1-5 :

Ryan Palmer --> 66/1 Bet 365
Joe Durant --> 80/1 Blue Square
Brandt Jobe --> 125/1 Victor Chandler
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Jul 13, 1999
19,473
142
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Bowling Green Ky
Big fan of Owen myself--tough competitor-especially in FLA where he's made ever cut in 9 events and only been outside of top 25 twice

Owns To place top 5 15/1 @ Cbet

Prop @ WW
Immelman to finish over 36th +150

&2 Holes Glover +110 over Immelman @ Pinnacle

Might pay the price fading Immelman but has been profitable fade in this situation (Florida and Bermuda greens)
Has had upper hand on Glover beating him head to head 8 of 9 events since May--but Fla has been MUCH diff story.
Immelman only 2 cuts in 9 lifetime in Fla
(46th & 64th)
Glover has made 6 of 9 lifetimei Fla and 4 top 10's.

Have a few more in AM
 

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
7,338
186
63
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
I'm still around . . . barely.

The latest, this time from sportingbet.com: "If you are a US Resident your account will have been closed to comply with recent US Government Legislation."

Busy with other stuff, so have done nothing about scrounging for a decent out, or even following the sport when 5dimes and thegreek doesn't leave many opportunities. Centrebet as a possibility? Oh, joy.

Justin Rose(40/1) Win Only in my dreams.

GL
 

DOGS THAT BARK

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 13, 1999
19,473
142
63
Bowling Green Ky
I know the feeling LIA--Sportingbet did refund my balance back to Neteller of late though.

Refunding some old books i scrapped before.

Refunded WSEX as I be there might be some money to be made on Owens @ $2 a share in interactives--took tens shares.
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Further outright play (6pts)

Justin Rose to win 0.935/1 [or -107 in moneyline terms] @ Pinnacle
Adding a maximum play on Rose who leads the event by four shots with two holes to play and is in prime position to pick up at least one more birdie on the par-5 eighth hole. There were fears that he would struggle to following his opening rounds after he was only a matter of inches away from shooting 59, but he was very impressive yesterday. He has thrown events away in the past, but the players chasing him will hardly scare him this time (Ridings, Matteson, Damron, Dawson, etc.) and that makes this very different to the 2004 Masters. And then there is the fact that this is an event in his American home town, so it will certainly help him relax. If he does birdie the par-5, he will have a five-shot lead and that will certainly help him relax! There are plenty of bookies pricing him at 1/2, so this price is not to ignored.
(Five Dimes offer -140 which is still considerably better than the European bookies)
 

ridle

Namaste!
Forum Member
Jun 28, 2005
480
1
0
40
Germany
'Adding a maximum play on Rose who leads the event by four shots with two holes to play '
Make that 2 rounds :142smilie
Further outright play (6pts)

Justin Rose to win 0.935/1 [or -107 in moneyline terms] @ Pinnacle
Adding a maximum play on Rose who leads the event by four shots with two holes to play and is in prime position to pick up at least one more birdie on the par-5 eighth hole. There were fears that he would struggle to following his opening rounds after he was only a matter of inches away from shooting 59, but he was very impressive yesterday. He has thrown events away in the past, but the players chasing him will hardly scare him this time (Ridings, Matteson, Damron, Dawson, etc.) and that makes this very different to the 2004 Masters. And then there is the fact that this is an event in his American home town, so it will certainly help him relax. If he does birdie the par-5, he will have a five-shot lead and that will certainly help him relax! There are plenty of bookies pricing him at 1/2, so this price is not to ignored.
(Five Dimes offer -140 which is still considerably better than the European bookies)
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Didn't think it was that funny :shrug:

He still had two holes left over from last night to play this morning ... was rushing the post as the line would be closing when he-started his 2nd round and missed out the "this morning" bit.
 

ridle

Namaste!
Forum Member
Jun 28, 2005
480
1
0
40
Germany
Didn't think it was that funny :shrug:

He still had two holes left over from last night to play this morning ... was rushing the post as the line would be closing when he-started his 2nd round and missed out the "this morning" bit.

Sorry for that - still in with a chance.
Am quite upset what happened to Phatlum in LPGA...
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
FINAL RESULT: 1-3; -0.80pts

Rose 4th
Owen 21st
Chopra mc
Rose 4th

Looked like I could get the winner in all four events this week at 6/1, 20/1, 50/1 and 50/1, but in the end I couldn't even get the guy who was 4/9 at four bookies on Saturday morning. What a tortuous game this is to bet on!

PGA Tour ytd: 16-95; -51.77pts

All Tours ytd
Outrights: 57-260; -88.70pts
Matchups: 63-65; -56.80pts
 
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