furman / CITADEL

[buddy]

Anyone know how this game ended?

I had furman -3' and they won by three.

As a result, I lost two, five team parlays by the hook.

Ouch.

Stuff happens.

 

[buc]

From what I see they were up 61-60 w/ 1:15. Then up 63-60 w/ 0:16 left. I'd assume Citadel took last shot at the buzzer, thus not being able to foul. Sorry for you misfortune. BELIEVE ME I'M ALWAYS ON THE WRONG END OF THESE SCREW JOBS SO I NOW HOW YOU'RE FEELING.

 

[buddy]

I saw they were up three w/ 16 sec left, but I was just curious if Citadel took the final shot or Furman lost the cover at the foul line.

Btw, thanks for your reply.

 

[Sportsaholic]

I feel your pain.....................Had Davidson -5 and over 137..............Lost 70-66...........last score I saw was 68-62 with 1:03 left :cursin:

 

[chop33]

citadel took 13 seconds to shoot a three then furman got board with 3 seconds and no foul.

 

[buddy]

Thanks, chop33.

That's what I wanted to know.

I went back and reviewed the Furman -3' @ CITADEL matchup and it was merely a poor call on my part.

Furman's last game loss/no cover (-13 ATS) @ Georgia Southern and their loss/no cover in the role of a home favorite vs Davidson were red flags which I seemed to ignore.

My handicapping showed this to be a play against the dog rather than a play on the favorite, but review showed I forced the play rather than have a decided advantage. All of the clues were shouting "No Play" and I tried to get cute.

With my handicapping method, road favorites (in most cases) need to have pretty good credentials in order to cover in this difficult role.

In review, Furman didn't have the portfolio strength and the no cover should not have been a surprise.