there's not alot of time left in the season...but there's still money to be made...
Personally, i love the aspect of the wildcard for cappers like us...it keeps teams focused to get that wild card and doesn't give the 1st place wild card team any room for error in the late goings of the season. We usually won't be seeing the 1st place wild card team going on long losing streaks of more than 2 games in august and september...
historical data:
AL WILD CARD winners:
leaders 2006
Chi White Sox 59 41
Minnesota 59 41
Yankees 58 40
2005 Boston 95 67
2004 Boston 98 64
2003 Boston 95 67
2002 Anaheim 99 63
just looking at the AL wild card winner the last 4 years...they needed to be atleast 30 games above .500 to make it...currently we have MINNY who is the hottest team of late being 18 games above .500, so there's a high % chance that from here on in, one of these teams is going to go another 12 games over their current w/l record....this doesn't give us alot of room to profit, but another 12 wins over the remaining games is not bad...double down betting on the 1st place wild card team (at home) from here on in would be a PLUS, But don't do anything too rash...bet within your means.
______________________________
NL WILD CARD winners:
leaders 2006
Cincinnati 53 47
Arizona 51 48 1.5 games back
San Francisco 51 49 2.0
Atlanta 47 52 5.5
Colorado 47 52 5.5
Milwaukee 48 54 6.0
Florida 46 52 6.0
Houston 47 53 6.0
2005 Houston 89 73
2004 Houston 92 70
2003 Florida 91 71
2002 San Francisco 95 66
looking at the NL wild card leaderboard....it's pretty downright scary. I don't know if the AL is THAT dominating this season...but the 1st place REDS are only 5 games above .500
On average over the last 4 seasons, the NL wild card team was about 20 games over .500...so it looks like one of the 4-5 teams that are close "SHOULD" be going on a heavy win streak soon to take hold of this wild card. But beware, it seems that the winning % of the NL wild card team has been dropping every year since 2002 but the magical number seems to be around 90 wins the last 3 years...which gives the opportunity for us to get atleast 15 wins above .500 for the team that would win the NL wild card from here on in...
...but again, beware, it IS the NL..there doesn't seem to be a 1 division leader dominating at THIS time....although the CARDS look like they're heating up....
just some food for thought..any comments are greatly appreciated....
:com:
Personally, i love the aspect of the wildcard for cappers like us...it keeps teams focused to get that wild card and doesn't give the 1st place wild card team any room for error in the late goings of the season. We usually won't be seeing the 1st place wild card team going on long losing streaks of more than 2 games in august and september...
historical data:
AL WILD CARD winners:
leaders 2006
Chi White Sox 59 41
Minnesota 59 41
Yankees 58 40
2005 Boston 95 67
2004 Boston 98 64
2003 Boston 95 67
2002 Anaheim 99 63
just looking at the AL wild card winner the last 4 years...they needed to be atleast 30 games above .500 to make it...currently we have MINNY who is the hottest team of late being 18 games above .500, so there's a high % chance that from here on in, one of these teams is going to go another 12 games over their current w/l record....this doesn't give us alot of room to profit, but another 12 wins over the remaining games is not bad...double down betting on the 1st place wild card team (at home) from here on in would be a PLUS, But don't do anything too rash...bet within your means.
______________________________
NL WILD CARD winners:
leaders 2006
Cincinnati 53 47
Arizona 51 48 1.5 games back
San Francisco 51 49 2.0
Atlanta 47 52 5.5
Colorado 47 52 5.5
Milwaukee 48 54 6.0
Florida 46 52 6.0
Houston 47 53 6.0
2005 Houston 89 73
2004 Houston 92 70
2003 Florida 91 71
2002 San Francisco 95 66
looking at the NL wild card leaderboard....it's pretty downright scary. I don't know if the AL is THAT dominating this season...but the 1st place REDS are only 5 games above .500
On average over the last 4 seasons, the NL wild card team was about 20 games over .500...so it looks like one of the 4-5 teams that are close "SHOULD" be going on a heavy win streak soon to take hold of this wild card. But beware, it seems that the winning % of the NL wild card team has been dropping every year since 2002 but the magical number seems to be around 90 wins the last 3 years...which gives the opportunity for us to get atleast 15 wins above .500 for the team that would win the NL wild card from here on in...
...but again, beware, it IS the NL..there doesn't seem to be a 1 division leader dominating at THIS time....although the CARDS look like they're heating up....
just some food for thought..any comments are greatly appreciated....
:com:
