gmac bowl...

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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Scottsdale,AZ
regular season....142-107-2
bowl record..........2-6

since i haven't picked a winner since the truman administration i took some time off from playing any football games....so this is my first play in a week....

ohio+7(130)....

judging by this line,i think s. miss.is being over -rated by the books.although statistically both teams are pretty even, so. miss. did play a tougher schedule...but i think ohio's special teams play balances out the scheduling difference.

both teams like to run the ball, & they do it effectively.ohio finished the season going 7-1 su & they did it by running for more than 240 yds. per game. since 1980 bowl dogs who run for at least 150 yds. are 90-25 ats (78%). in addition conference championship game losers are 2-5 ats as bowl favorites of 5 or more points.

here is a system to support this play....

play on - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ohio) - in non-conference games, with 17 or more total starters returning.

since 1992 the ats record is....57-20....74%

this season the ats record is....7-2....77.7%

the ats record for the last 3 years is..15-3....83%

the ats record for the last 5 years is...18-5....78%

the ats record for the last 10 years is..33-110..76.7%


i think this game will be decided by 3 points either way.....good luck.
 

blgstocks

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Nov 4, 2005
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So. Cal
totally agree with you ar

I thought the line would come out much closer to a pick than -7

But again, I havent picked a winner since Lincoln was in office so what do I know.

GL tonight
 

Dice34

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Dec 18, 2004
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pulling for you AR, I'm in as well, Ohio +7

So. Miss lives on the ground, if Ohio can control it and outgain them on the ground, Ohio might pull the upset.......

So. Miss is 1-5 SU when they are outrushed

Ohio is 2-4 SU when outrushed.......heard it was raining earlier..........also, RB's for So. MIss are a little banged up
 
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clark

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Oct 1, 2006
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NEW JERSEY
GOHIO

GOHIO

hope we're not too heavy piggy backing you! win or l*se i thank you for all your time and writeups!!
 
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