Godzilla Picks 1st Inn Score/NoScore Picks - April 13th

[Godzilla 1]

#1 Rule: You got nothing Nice to say. Keep Out.

My System:

Let me explain to all of you how my system works. I like to play these (Prop) bets ("Score" or "No - Score" in the 1st Inning)
some sites have these wagers and others do not.

Over the last 2 years I have been tracking all of the MLB Teams on wither the Team or their Opp scores in the 1st Inning.

It's Difficult to show here in a Blog what it looks like in Excel. 1 (Means Run) 0 (Means No Score)

Example:

Team

Minn 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
Opp 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

I then calculate based upon the Teams Games Played against how many times they have scored in the 1st Inning. I will do the same for their Opp and then total up the two to get
a final Total.

While looking at this Example you will see that the longest the Team or Opp has gone without scoring is (2 Games). Also looking at it this way you will see trends (When they are
ready to POP)- Score.


I play only the National League. Why? They score in the 1st all the time. AL is to inconsistence, but feel free to play. I play everyday all NL Games to Score!

You will notice that each NL Team has a (#) next to them. This is the Longest the Team or their Opp has gone without scoring in the 1st Inning


How I calculate Wins & Losses:

1.) Wins & Losses - Who Cares....As long as you are making Money.
2.) If you exceed the (#) next to the Team it Becomes a LOSS. If not it is a win. Plain and Simple.


Money Management & Comments:

1.) I am Not a High Roller! I start off real small and the closer I get to the Teams number the more $$ I will put down.
2.) I have multiple accounts where I can exceed limits on certain sites. I mainly use: www.vip.com
3.) Even tho I will get a loss after exceeding a the teams number. I will continue to chase to gain back my money.
4.) NO Team has gone 10 Games in the LAST 3 Years without the Team or their Opp scoring in the 1st Inning.


2007 NL Monthly

April 55%
May 57%
June 52%
July 58%
Aug 56%

2008 NL Monthly

April 58% * So far...

********************************************************************************
TODAY'S PICKS:

DAY 1

Fld (3) vs. Hou (5)
Atl (4) vs. Wash (5)
Mil (5) vs. NYM (7)
AZ (4) vs. Colo (6)
LAD (6) vs.San D (6)

DAY 2

Phila (6) vs. Cubs (7)


DAY 3

San Fr (3) vs. St. Louis (6)



DAY 6

Cinn (3) vs. Pitt (4)


Record: 48 - 1

 

[turksure]

On the 6th day, are you laying over $600 (at avr 6 to 5 odds) to win original $10 bet?

day 1 bet $12 to win $10 accum loss $12
day 2 bet $26 to win $22 accum loss $38
day 3 bet $58 to win $48 accum loss $96
day 4 bet $128 to win $106 accum loss $224
day 5 bet $281 to win $234 accum loss $505
day 6 bet $618 to win $515 accum loss $1124

Not to bust balls, but can you get down an average prop bet to win of $250 (prop limit at most books) at 5 books on day 7. On day 8 you would need 10 books to play this bet. Even with a $5 minimum bet this could get nasty. GL

 

[Godzilla 1]

turksure

Your $$ is way off...I am no way that high. My two books limit on the web, but if you call them and ask them you can increase your bet.

I always have enought to go the 10 Games...

Good Luck.

 

[turksure]

Help me with the numbers, are you not trying to win 1 unit and isn''t this prop pirced at 6/5 odds at most books??

Again, not busting balls, just asking ??

Here is an example of a 20cent line at 5dimes
MIL Scores First -135
NYM Scores First +105

so if you want to win $10, you would bet $13.5. Cound be less, could be more. I used -120 in my example.

 

[Godzilla 1]

turksure

I will try to tonight. Leaving soon to the airport. Phila bound.

Hopefully it hits tonight.

 

[77sticks]

Help me with the numbers, are you not trying to win 1 unit and isn''t this prop pirced at 6/5 odds at most books??

Again, not busting balls, just asking ??

Here is an example of a 20cent line at 5dimes
MIL Scores First -135
NYM Scores First +105

so if you want to win $10, you would bet $13.5. Cound be less, could be more. I used -120 in my example.

Turk..

He isnt betting who will score first. He is betting a score will happen in the 1st inning regardless of which team scores. He just lists the team he will be chasing first.

 

[turksure]

I understand that, was a bad example. Just pointing out the 20 cent line pricing on these props

 

[McVegas]

The Reds suck!!! We should have hit that today....heart of the order, nobody out, can't get a run in.

 

[LordofBalls]

shouldve won that one...

shouldve won that one...

Youre absolutely right mcvegas.... we wuz robbed...

 

[Godzilla 1]

Sorry Guys...Just getting settled in Phila..Business Travel.

NEWS:

If you follow my chase system you need to know when to give up after a LOSS. The (#) next to the team as of now was from last year!
Once each team gets 20 games under their belt their new (#) will appear.

For all of you who are worried about lossing so much money! This is what I will do.... There are other times where I will see the
trend going the other way. Like NO Score in the 1st INN...I GAMBLE even if my system says not too. I look at it this way..If I win
on a NO Score during a long "Score" chase. This is all profit! and cuts down the "Score" chase...Then I can continue with the chase further.
If I loose...I only loose part of the money...better than lossing that BIG.

The key has and always be the (#) next to the team and my visual Excel guide showing me trends and data!

Like always I will keey the RECORD on the bottom of my post..Like I said I could care less about the record..only the $$$