Godzilla Picks 1st Inn Score/NoScore Picks - April 8th

Godzilla 1

BMX PRO
Forum Member
Nov 17, 2005
1,132
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#1 Rule: You got nothing Nice to say. Keep Out.

My System:

Let me explain to all of you how my system works. I like to play these (Prop) bets ("Score" or "No - Score" in the 1st Inning)
some sites have these wagers and others do not.

Over the last 2 years I have been tracking all of the MLB Teams on wither the Team or their Opp scores in the 1st Inning.

It's Difficult to show here in a Blog what it looks like in Excel. 1 (Means Run) 0 (Means No Score)

Example:

Team

Minn 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
Opp 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

I then calculate based upon the Teams Games Played against how many times they have scored in the 1st Inning. I will do the same for their Opp and then total up the two to get
a final Total.

While looking at this Example you will see that the longest the Team or Opp has gone without scoring is (2 Games). Also looking at it this way you will see trends (When they are
ready to POP)- Score.


I play only the National League. Why? They score in the 1st all the time. AL is to inconsistence, but feel free to play. I play everyday all NL Games to Score!

You will notice that each NL Team has a (#) next to them. This is the Longest the Team or their Opp has gone without scoring in the 1st Inning


How I calculate Wins & Losses:

1.) Wins & Losses - Who Cares....As long as you are making Money.
2.) If you exceed the (#) next to the Team it Becomes a LOSS. If not it is a win. Plain and Simple.


Money Management & Comments:

1.) I am Not a High Roller! I start off real small and the closer I get to the Teams number the more $$ I will put down.
2.) I have multiple accounts where I can exceed limits on certain sites. I mainly use: www.vip.com
3.) Even tho I will get a loss after exceeding a the teams number. I will continue to chase to gain back my money.
4.) NO Team has gone 10 Games in the LAST 3 Years without the Team or their Opp scoring in the 1st Inning.


2007 NL Monthly

April 55%
May 57%
June 52%
July 58%
Aug 56%

2008 NL Monthly

April 58% * So far...

********************************************************************************
TODAY'S PICKS:

DAY 1

Phila (6) vs. NYM (7)
Cinn (3) vs. Mil (5)
Atl (4) vs. Colo (6)
AZ (4) vs. LAD (6)
San Fr (3) vs. San D (6)


DAY 3

Hou (5) vs. St. Louis (6)



Record: 32 - 0
 

riceman18

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 12, 2006
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Godzilla - I would never break your rule #1 of "You got nothing nice to say. Keep out."
But, I'm still having trouble understanding your system. Believe me, I'm sure you did a fantastic job in explaining it, so the problem must be on my end. You see, I'm not too bright.
It would help me to know how many units you are betting after a loss, and how much after the next loss, etc.
Also, your comment "I play everyday all NL games to score." But, you show a "Day 1 & Day 3" ???
Bottom line could you tell me who you are betting on and how many units.
I totally agree that the NL is much more consistent than the AL. I have tracked both leagues over the last 2 years with NL having a "Yes a run will be scored" at 58.1% for 2007 and "Yes a run will be scored" at 55.9% for 2006.
Last year the NL had 681 games "Yes" and 491 games "No" that is 190 more winners than losers. The stats above are strickly for a NL team playing a NL team - no interleague games were included.
Currently for 2008 the NL is 31 "Yes" and 27 "No" these stats include today's Philadelphia vs Mets early start game.
Keep up the good work, but for someone like me :shrug: could you please let me know who you are betting on that day and how may units.
 

Godzilla 1

BMX PRO
Forum Member
Nov 17, 2005
1,132
4
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Massachusetts
Riceman18

The Team list first like these(Below) are the teams I am chasing:

DAY 1

Phila (6) vs. NYM (7)
Cinn (3) vs. Mil (5)
Atl (4) vs. Colo (6)
AZ (4) vs. LAD (6)
San Fr (3) vs. San D (6)


DAY 3

Hou (5) vs. St. Louis (6)


once them or their Opp hits the chase starts over. You are always chasing the Bold team or list first until it hits.

It is Day 3 for this bet...Which means

Day 1 bet is VERY VERY Small profit

Day 2 bet is Cover Day 1 and Profit,

Day 3 9Today is Cover Day 1, Day 2, and bigger profit.

Because (Houston's (#) is 5 that tells me that the will pop soon...them or their Opp.

This is a calculated Chase System. I will take profit wither its small or large...So day 1 winners are welcome :)
 

Godzilla 1

BMX PRO
Forum Member
Nov 17, 2005
1,132
4
0
Massachusetts
Team - Total % - Their% in the 1st - Opp%Score in the 1st


Cinn 129% 71% 57%
Phila 114% 43% 71%
Arizona 100% 71% 29%
Colordo 75% 25% 50%
Washington 88% 38% 50%
St. Louis 50% 38% 13%
Atlanta 57% 43% 14%
Chicago 43% 0% 43%
Milwaki 50% 50% 0%
Houston 38% 25% 13%
San Diego 63% 38% 25%
NY Mets 40% 0% 40%
Pitt 29% 0% 29%
LA Dodgers 43% 14% 29%
Florida 57% 43% 14%
San Fransico 43% 14% 29%

This is a good indication on what teams are going to score...Profit$$$$$
 

Freddog5

Registered User
Forum Member
May 4, 2007
510
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Did you play all your listed chase games today?
DAY 1

Phila (6) vs. NYM (7)
Cinn (3) vs. Mil (5)
Atl (4) vs. Colo (6)
AZ (4) vs. LAD (6)
San Fr (3) vs. San D (6)

I guess my question is did you go 2-3 today because Phila, Cinn, San Fr games had no score in the first? Also why do you post your record with no losses? I understand you are chasing the team until it hits.

I am a big fan of this prop bet and I'm just trying to learn your system. So far I find myself breaking even and that is why I question the 32-0 mark.

Thanks
 
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