Going against the public view a question

[doubleon11]

Have monitored some consenus sites........have noticed, that if you had taken the opposite side of the public on both college and pro games ( games where 60% or more favored one team ) You would have a win rate of 6o% or so. this has been over a 3 week period and i realize that is not enough info to say this could be a winning idea but I have a ?.


Has anyone monitored this over one or more seasons and if so what was the result??

any help appreciated

 

[Combato]

Blindly betting against the 60% consensus will hit about 51 to 53% over the long haul. I recommend using the 60% consensus as a starting point for handicapping games. It is a good way to keep one off playing into obvious public teams.

Watch line moves and compare them to the consensus. Heavy line moves on teams that have >60% consensus usually mean public money which is typically dumb. This might be a good place to bet some money. While I don't have the numbers exactly, another person I know routinely hits about 55% with this method.

 

[doubleon11]

thanks for that info. Any help on handicapping is appreciated

 

[Combato]

What consensus sites do you use ?

I am only familiar with Wagerline. Do you know of any others ?

 

[doubleon11]

best bettor which i found through this site has helped