Tom Verducci of SI wrote an interesting piece on young pitchers struggling the year after a large jump in innings. He identifies some pitchers that are likely to perform below last year's levels. These may be guys to look at for fades, especially early in the season.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/inside_game/tom_verducci/news/2003/03/04/insider/
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/inside_game/tom_verducci/news/2003/03/04/insider/
