GOOD PERCENTAGE PLAY

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Record: 74-46-8, +110.00 Units

I crossed my T's, dotted my I's and there is no reason on earth why this game should go under. I am looking for any reasons to take the under and I am not able to see that way. If anyone can convince me, I will lay off this wager. I am very serious about this play as it would probably be my largest wager ever. These are the best lines I found so far.

TAMPA BAY OVER 4.5 -135 (Sportsbook)
TB OVER 4.5 -140 (Local)

How about this
TB OVER 4 -200 (Local)

What do you guys think??

I love the OVER 4 @-200 for about 50 units

Opinions?

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[This message has been edited by TIME TO MAKE $$$ (edited 01-02-2002).]

 

[yepitsme]

good pick and timing $$$ ;D

over 4 sounds great


good luck

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"Better Lucky than Good"

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

The OVER 4 is very tempting, but that would mean I would be risking 100 units. Not something I am really crazy about as I am up about 110 units now, and it would be a waste to only be up 10 units after all the hard work I have done if the wager loses.

 

[yepitsme]

If You hesitate for a one second; don't bet.
It is pretty sure pick BUT we all have seen what happens with sure picks, right ?

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"Better Lucky than Good"

 

[the mugs]

I personally like the over 4.5 (-135) myself.

I was torn on a game for New Year's Eve and TV said to me not to ever "force" a wager. I didn't and if I had, it would have lost. So, I guess I'm saying if you have any reservations at all - don't do it.

I will be cheering for you whatever you decide.

Jim

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

I really would like to hear all of your opinions (Stag, Sam, Tor Vig,Chnker, Mr Mo, IE, Tiger, Katts, NICK D, Ice Picks, Infinii, Selkirk, Centre Ice, Frogy, MOV, Rakman, Anders, and anyone else who I didn't mention)

I really want to nail this one on the head!!

Convince me not to make this wager!

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[Nick Douglas]

I think the over is a strong play, but there is no way I would go 100 units, no matter how strong it is. Tampa is really struggling defensively right now. I actually think Minnesota is a good play here as well.

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Thanks Mugs for the good insight.

I am looking at some articles now from both cities newspapers, trying to figure out their morale and attitude perspectives.

 

[Terryray]

Four of last 5 TB road games have gone under 4.5. Really depends if Khabib will return to his old shutout form, or stay in the current one. And if team tries defense strategy again. Gotta guess. I guess under.

I'm usually wrong tho!

But not wrong about how you shouldn't put most of your profits on one wager. That is definitely very poor money management. I agree with you there.

 

[Chenker]

I like the over but I would not lay 100 units-

good luck- both teams have been letting in a lot of goals....

good luck-

 

[Sam]

I think there is a good chance it goes over, but i just DONT trust tampa's offence at all. And if bulin comes to play, he could shut minny right down.

 

[Terryray]

Wild's official site sez leading scorer Brunette is in lineup tonight.

 

[Rakman]

I like the over 4.5, the 4 sounds good, but that's a lot of chalk to swallow. I hate laying more than -160 on any NHL game with the way they've been going latly. I agree with Nick, 100 units might be too much.

Good luck with whatever you do!

 

[Sports Junkie]

Just a few things that might support your over.

Although the under is 15-5 when Tampa plays on the road, the last 2 meetings have gone over and over is 13-4 in MIN home games this season AND 4-0-1 in MIN's last five overall.

In the last five games both teams are giving up over 30 shots per game, with TB giving up 3 goals per game and MIN 4 per game over that stretch. Both PK units appear to be struggling a bit over the last 5 games too based on the percentages.

The over is 24-11 for MIN this year, so it looks like if the TB offense is going to get somewhat healthy it could be against MIN who is giving up over 3 goals per game on the year.

Fwiw, no way you should risk basically your entire season profit on this play. Just my .02 on that subject

 

[wigs]

$$, i put the refs for tonight in my thread..

just like everyone says, i think the wild card(wait the lightning card) is khabi, he is capable of anything, but he hasnt played like it recently, rolosson and fernandez have been god awful lately..and i think i might have to play some pucks tonight b/c it is actually snowing here, of course really light pussy snow but it still looks odd to me..

[This message has been edited by wigs (edited 01-02-2002).]

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

hmmmmmmmmmm...I guess this is where I come in.

the mugs, glad I could help you on that last "non-wager"...

Anthony man, I'm not gonna say play or no play...but don't put your WHOLE bankroll on it to break the man.

drop it down to about 50 units

I'll give ya a call.

 

[Sam]

GL with it

 

[Mr Mo]

I never lay so much units,but i always
go with my instinct,if i like it....
Not much Help,but there it is in Bold..

Minny is winless in 5,dont u think,they
might come out more defensive...especially
with thier coaching style..

 

[TIME TO MAKE $$$]

Ok Thanks for the input guys, much appreciated.

TB-Minn OVER 4 -195(Local dropped it to entice me I guess)

40 units to win 20.5 Units

Not going to risk my entire acccount, that would have been a stupid move!

Thanks

 

[Ice Picks]

Tampa Bay is one of the lowest scoring teams in the NHL with 78 in 38 games. Minnesota has 101 in 39 games, and has a penchant to play the better teams very tough at home...

IP