I think there is a lot of value in playing Minn +161 1st quarter line.
A look at GBs 1st quarter results this season, starting with their most recent games: T stands for Tie, U is when they were up, D when losing
t, t, D7, D3, d7, U7, t, T, u3, D3, t, D14, T, d7, U3, u3,
In other words, after the 1st quarter this season, GB has been losing 6 times, tied 6 times, and winning 4 times. At home more specifically, GB has been down 4 times, tied 2 times and winning only 2 times after the 1st quarter.
Conversely, this is a look at Minnesota's 1st quarter results this year, starting with most recent:
d7, T, u4, U3, t, U3, D7, t, d7, D10, T, u7, t, D3, d4, D3
It breaks down to up 7 times, tied 5 times, losing 8 times. On the road, Minny has been winning 2 times, losing 3 times and tied 3 times.
Sorry for all of the numbers/data for people who don't look at these things. BUt for me it boils down to value. The numbers show GB has not come out of the gates quick this year, especially at home. Although minnesota has not exactly been a first quarter team, the line on this should be more around even money for greenbay. The line we are given reflects the casual player's view that the home team that is favored "surely has to come out strong at home". There is enough value in Minn +161 ml or +.5 -111 for me that it warrants a play.
Good luck today fellas
A look at GBs 1st quarter results this season, starting with their most recent games: T stands for Tie, U is when they were up, D when losing
t, t, D7, D3, d7, U7, t, T, u3, D3, t, D14, T, d7, U3, u3,
In other words, after the 1st quarter this season, GB has been losing 6 times, tied 6 times, and winning 4 times. At home more specifically, GB has been down 4 times, tied 2 times and winning only 2 times after the 1st quarter.
Conversely, this is a look at Minnesota's 1st quarter results this year, starting with most recent:
d7, T, u4, U3, t, U3, D7, t, d7, D10, T, u7, t, D3, d4, D3
It breaks down to up 7 times, tied 5 times, losing 8 times. On the road, Minny has been winning 2 times, losing 3 times and tied 3 times.
Sorry for all of the numbers/data for people who don't look at these things. BUt for me it boils down to value. The numbers show GB has not come out of the gates quick this year, especially at home. Although minnesota has not exactly been a first quarter team, the line on this should be more around even money for greenbay. The line we are given reflects the casual player's view that the home team that is favored "surely has to come out strong at home". There is enough value in Minn +161 ml or +.5 -111 for me that it warrants a play.
Good luck today fellas
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