TDJ, I never received your email. You got alot Sport Service Hustlers that lurk around these sight trying to drum up business, and based on my email address, they may think I am one. If I have to, I will open a College football thread and discuss what I am doing over MJs.............it makes no difference to me who reads it. Most guys have there own opinions, and think they know it all, so it really does not matter. My goal every year is to be +40 games over 500 between College and Pro Football and Basketball. I am strictly in it for the money......................not the action. many football seasons I will quit by week 8 or 9 because I am up and dont want to chance giving any of my earnings back. At that point I just focus on Hoops. I dont bet baseball, 1]. because I dont even watch it, and 2]. I need a break to get away for afew months.. I would not know the 1st thing about wagering on Golf, NASCAR, etc. You have to stick with what you know................thats why I dont bet totals on any sport. Do you have any trend annauals that you study by? I am going to show you my "Stable" of +7 point "Road Dogs" I will be playing this year......................and I want you to go back 5 years and tell me what the numbers were...............and the winning percentages. NC, Pitt, Mich, OK, TX, Mia, NC.St., USC, Louis, Utah, AF, Navy, FL., LSU, NM, Ore, and G.T. Thats what I have so far. Secondly , I have a "Home Dog" "Stable"...............I just have a not configured them yet, but I am close. In football, College and Pro.............I only play +7 point dogs. In College Basketball, I only play Conference dogs. All these Touts that claim to have these Mathmatical models for predicting winners, or were former law students and statisic majors turn Handicapper are full of shit. Its just a pitch.............they use the same methods as anyone else. Past performance is not indictive of future results, but when coinciding with the current form of a team, staying the course can prove to be valuable. I set my season up every year in every sport like this...............and dont care what any other Cappers think about a particular game. I dont care who is hurt, what a teams mindset is, the line tells me everything I need to know. Last year was only the second time in 25 years in the NFL were favorites got the best of it.............generally DOGS are 52 to 54 percent. Look for the correction this year from linesmakers. The Squares got fat last year riding NE, and teams like the Colts for a long time before the numbers began to catch up. This year will be different. I dont guess right on every team I put in a "Play On" Format................Wisconsin put my money to sleep everytime I played them last year..........but I am right more often then I am wrong. Based on the teams I set up last year, in College Football, I went 38-32 ATS and 5-1 in the Bowls. Not a spectacular year, but it beats the alternative. A good book for you to read is "Winning Stratagies in Football Handicapping" by Mort Olsom of the Goldsheet. Its only 60 pages but it discusses the fundamentals of handicapping. In this game you never want deviate from the basic principals of Capping. Its the little things you do.................or dont do that make a huge difference in a winning year. You should never tail anyone again. You need to know what your doing and why your doing it, and you should have the numbers to back it up. I hate BOOKS, like a Cop hates a criminal...............so lets get prepared to take them down.
