GREAT PROPOSITION BET

[JIMMYBOY]

thanks murphy, and what do you think about playing it?

if sacks does not count if manning has a good run I think that he covers this bet. But that is just me.

 

[THE KOD]

I am still thinking about this one and after spending some time on it, I am now thinking about playing it

Peyton Manning rushs less than the 1.5 yds.

still trying to think of how I could get screwed on it though.

I guarantee you that 99% of ppl will not think about kneel downs counting against it.

thats why madjacks is here.

it still is probably a coin flip type bet though.

 

[Juu3]

I've been thinking about it myself ever since I read the thread this morning.

At first it seems like a good play, but you're right, the kneel downs will :nutkick

 

[CWood97]

FYI if you think the Colts will win, make sure to remember kneel downs at the end count as negative rushing yards. So, you could get hit with up to -3 yds at the end of the same.

edit: (oops just saw this was already mentioned)

 

[Old School]

don't be stunned if Manning has a bootleg from the 6 or 7 yardline..
It is in the playbook..and has proven successful this season for Colts..
They haven't used it much because of the tackle eligable success this year..
Manning leaves his guts on the field Sunday..
We saw it against NE the whole 2nd half..
just pounded by hits after the throw..

Keep in mind also..IF and certainly a BIG IF Colts blow out Bears.[within the realm of probability] Manning could be pulled at closing of game[to a thunderous ovation] and bettors avoid the 2 or 3 kneel downs and thus the minus yardage..

Good luck w/the props..

I will play this prop myself if offered..

 

[JIMMYBOY]

I feel very strong about this play, I think too that because of the great defense the bears have, Dungy is going to mix some payton rushes in his play book.

All the people are thinking about the KNEEL DOWNS but what happens is chicago is winning or if Indy is winning by a huge margin that Peyton does not finish the game. I know that the risk exists, but I am feeling good about this one.

 

[JIMMYBOY]

The line here in mexico is ( Caliente ):

More than 1.5 yds -110
less than 1.5 yds -110

 

[smurphy]

if Indy is winning by a huge margin that Peyton does not finish the game..

that won't happen, no matter how much of a blowout. he's taken every snap for his entire career ....or close to it.

it seems to be too much a coin flip type thing to risk too much money. for me it sounds like a "fun" prop to throw in with about 15 other ones for very little money.

but if you've been paying special attention to the colts and their timing/situations for manning rushes, then you could have an edge. good luck either way!

 

[JIMMYBOY]

thanks smurphy who do you like to cover in the superbolw? Indy or Chicago?

 

[smurphy]

i've never felt less sure of any side or total in a game in my life! i think it's mostly because of chicago - i've been staying away from their games ever since the cardinal game. can't figure them out at all.

 

[Juu3]

i've never felt less sure of any side or total in a game in my life! i think it's mostly because of chicago - i've been staying away from their games ever since the cardinal game. can't figure them out at all.

couldn't have said it better myself and I think that most probably feel the same

 

[JIMMYBOY]

I am thinking of playing a teaser with colts -0.5 but I do not know with what other combination to play it. With the under 55 or the over of 42 what would you play?

thanks

jimmyboy

 

[JIMMYBOY]

here are my Superbowl Plays:

1000 usd teaser INDY PICK with the over of 41

500 usd Peyton to run more than 1.5 yds

I like very much those two plays.

I play them at unoapuesta.com the proposition at -110 because in caliente was already at -130.

good luck whatever you choose to play, I really hope we all make some cash.

JIMMYBOY

 

[KIKIN06]

Good Luck Jimmyboy , im playing that too!

 

[gjn23]

you're also forgetting the following:

not every tackle behind the line of scrimmage on a qb is considered a sack......if they official statitician deems that the play was a run by the qb then the tackle is a "for loss" tackle (not a sack) and the yardage is a negative rushing play for the qb......pretty unlikely with manning but still possible.

also to keep in mind, the fumbled snap, fallen on by manning (out of the shotgun or under the center) will count as a negative rush as well......not too far out of the realm of possibility with an injured thumb.

that said....one scramble of 5-7 yards should secure all possible negative scenarios (listed above and kneel downs)......but i wouldnt be counting on a 5-7 yard run from him as he is a turtle vs the speed of the bears defense (including d-line)

 

[bej0101]

i've never felt less sure of any side or total in a game in my life! i think it's mostly because of chicago - i've been staying away from their games ever since the cardinal game. can't figure them out at all.

got hurt in that game too,however the bears roll this week, or at least cover with 7

 

[JIMMYBOY]

we will see what happens on sunday, I am just hoping he has one good run and that is it, And I strongly beleived that Dungy is going to have this play on his play book so that the bears would not only wait to cover peyton passes.

god luck and thanks for your comments

jimmyboy

 

[edludes]

1 RUN ZERO YDS