Great trends write-up on Thurs Niter

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Dead Money

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Shamelessly borrowed from another site...

? The last time the Chiefs defeated Denver the quarterback for the Broncos was Tim Tebow.

? Since becoming a Bronco Manning is 41?13 straight up plus he is also 6?0 vs. the Chiefs since starting for Denver including 4 consecutive straight up wins at Kansas City.
? Kansas City was last favored in this series in 2011 at ?3 points and the Chiefs lost straight up 17?10.
? The visitor is 23?4 ATS in the last 27 Kansas City games and that serve held true last week as the Chiefs, (visiting Houston,) won straight up. To be sure it is just a trend, but a good one.
? Denver is 12?0 straight up, (11?1 ATS) in their last 12 division road games.
? Peyton Manning is 18?1 straight up vs. division opponents as a Bronco and he has thrown for 1,736 yards with 16 touchdowns vs. 3 interceptions when facing the Chiefs.
? The Chief are 1?8?1 ATS as a home favorite in season openers.
? The Broncos are 9?1 ATS in road openers and 8?0 ATS in the first of back-to-back games when facing a division opponent.
? Denver is also 12?0 straight up in their last 12 division road games.
? The first half total in this game is 21 and in their 6 meetings since Manning became Denver?s starter the combined first half scores have been 27, 31, 35, 27, 24 and 13 points, so I am not touching the under even though head coach Gary Kubiak is running a more controlled offense.
? If I had to take a side in this game I would back Denver at +3
 
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Dead Money

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And Vegas writers say

And Vegas writers say

Vegas Play of the Day: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs


Kansas City Chiefs minus-3 vs. Denver Broncos: $550 to win $500

All of the Peyton Manning trends suggest you back the Broncos, but I think it?s going to get worse in Denver before it gets better.

Manning is 11-1 straight up against the Chiefs, including 6-0 (4-2 ATS) since moving into the division. While I certainly don?t think we?ve seen the end of Manning, it would be foolish to overlook or cast aside his struggles.

Until the Broncos figure out a solution, and they?ll come up with something that works relatively well, defensive lines can tee off on Manning. It?s basically a similar tactic that some teams have effectively used against the Chiefs? Alex Smith: Defend like crazy in the 15 yards from the line of scrimmage and if you get beat long, tip your helmet.

It?s well known that Smith doesn?t loft many deep passes, but Kansas City has the personnel for the shorter game. Plus, the Chiefs are looking to expand. Meanwhile, Denver is looking to contract and keep things easy for Manning, who has no zip on his ball.

Gun to my head, I would still pick Denver to win this division, but tonight the Chiefs will get some vengeance.
 
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