Green Bay Packers (5-5) at New Orleans Saints (5-5) Over - 51
SIDE:
Plain & simple the Saints are a "false favorite".
Saints are giving up a healthy 24.9 PPG and 5.7 YPP. The Packers have thrived on such teams under Mike McCarthy: McCarthy is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. bad D teams who give up 24 or more points /game as the coach of GB.
GB is just 3-5 SU in its last 8 games, but 3 of those losses have been by a combined 7 pts.
The Pack are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 away matchups and 19-8-2 ATS in their past 29 games versus NFC.
Saints are 9-18 ATS at home, off a SU/ATS win.
This game will come down to which QB can exploit the opposing defenses weakness here.
TOTAL:
The ?over? 19-9 last 28 since late ?06, and 3-1 as Superdome chalk TY after subpar 3-11 mark in role past two seasons. Pack ?over? 12- 4 last 14 on road. Pack also 7-1 last 8 as road dog since McCarthy arrived in ?06. Tech edge-?Over? and Packers, based on ?totals? and team trends
The total has gone ?over? in 6 of the last 7meetings.
I jumped on GB early at +3.0 and 51, the public has drove it down to 1.5, lot of action on the Pack, not good:nono:
GREEN BAY + whatever you can get
OVER 51
Best to all
SC
SIDE:
Plain & simple the Saints are a "false favorite".
Saints are giving up a healthy 24.9 PPG and 5.7 YPP. The Packers have thrived on such teams under Mike McCarthy: McCarthy is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. bad D teams who give up 24 or more points /game as the coach of GB.
GB is just 3-5 SU in its last 8 games, but 3 of those losses have been by a combined 7 pts.
The Pack are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 away matchups and 19-8-2 ATS in their past 29 games versus NFC.
Saints are 9-18 ATS at home, off a SU/ATS win.
This game will come down to which QB can exploit the opposing defenses weakness here.
TOTAL:
The ?over? 19-9 last 28 since late ?06, and 3-1 as Superdome chalk TY after subpar 3-11 mark in role past two seasons. Pack ?over? 12- 4 last 14 on road. Pack also 7-1 last 8 as road dog since McCarthy arrived in ?06. Tech edge-?Over? and Packers, based on ?totals? and team trends
The total has gone ?over? in 6 of the last 7meetings.
I jumped on GB early at +3.0 and 51, the public has drove it down to 1.5, lot of action on the Pack, not good:nono:
GREEN BAY + whatever you can get
OVER 51
Best to all
SC