Halftime Thread Indy/NE
- Thread starter ageecee
- Start date
If IND don't score at all, OV is the play...
Nolan Angle
HALFTIME BETTING ANGLE #7:
When 21 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, and the game total is 42.5 or higher, the game is more likely to go OVER in the second-half. (Caveat: The game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by 15 or more points)
Explanation: Note that games which are expected to be offensive shootouts -- based on game totals 42.5 and higher -- tend to go OVER in the second-half when exactly 21 points were scored in the first half. This happens for a good reason. First, 21 first-half points probably means a halftime score is 14-7. It also means touchdowns have been reasonably easy to come by. Furthermore, the losing team will be much more interested in scoring 7 points than kicking a field goal. It also means that if the team in the lead goes ahead by 14 points, the losing team will panic and go for the end zone on every drive. This helps the OVER in the second-half.
Nolan Angle
HALFTIME BETTING ANGLE #7:
When 21 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, and the game total is 42.5 or higher, the game is more likely to go OVER in the second-half. (Caveat: The game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by 15 or more points)
Explanation: Note that games which are expected to be offensive shootouts -- based on game totals 42.5 and higher -- tend to go OVER in the second-half when exactly 21 points were scored in the first half. This happens for a good reason. First, 21 first-half points probably means a halftime score is 14-7. It also means touchdowns have been reasonably easy to come by. Furthermore, the losing team will be much more interested in scoring 7 points than kicking a field goal. It also means that if the team in the lead goes ahead by 14 points, the losing team will panic and go for the end zone on every drive. This helps the OVER in the second-half.
NFL Football for 2nd Half Spread MoneyLn Total Points Team Total
Points
Mon 11/7 433 Indianapolis Colts +3 -115 Over 24 +100
9:00pm 434 New England Patriots -3 -105 Under 24 -120
Points
Mon 11/7 433 Indianapolis Colts +3 -115 Over 24 +100
9:00pm 434 New England Patriots -3 -105 Under 24 -120
screw the 2h line. under 48.5 (+147) at pinnacle right now looks good. really see this game staying under the original total. indy is content to go on 13-15 play drives if need be. its their game to lose now. sure pats will be throwing the ball but indy is going to grind it out. no hurry up offense from the colts in the 2h. no need for indy to stretch the field. just play conservative and the game is theirs.
under 48.5 (+147)
under 48.5 (+147)
gman i see its up to +152 now. looks like good value, just can't pull the trigger on this one. not sure what to think of this 2nd half.
Blowoutttttttttttttttttttttttttttt!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BET ID=131167879
Straight Wager 11/07/05 22:30 ET
200.00/181.82 Result: Pending
2Colts (2ndHalf)
2Patriots (2ndHalf) 11/07/05 (23:15 ET)
2Colts +3
BET ID=131167879
Straight Wager 11/07/05 22:30 ET
200.00/181.82 Result: Pending
2Colts (2ndHalf)
2Patriots (2ndHalf) 11/07/05 (23:15 ET)
2Colts +3
pinnacle's in game betting just uses the original number and juices it accordingly. for example, after the score was 7-7, the 48.5 was like (-280) or so. then the game really slowed down and it was 48.5 and the under was (-120) right after the dillon fumble. then indy scored and the over is back to (-170somethin). so im essentially betting the in-game line at halftime.
