HANK GOLDBERG'S PICKS WK 6

[THE HITMAN]

Hank continues to chip away at the house last week as he went 8-5. He thinks there will be a lotta scoring in this weekend's encounters. He noted that away dogs of 6 or more are at 58% so far.

LAST WEEK 8-5
SEASON: 37-29-1
LAST WEEK SUN ESPN 2-2-1
SEASON SUN ESPN 12-12-1

THIS WEEK:

NYG Took the 3.5. To win, the Giants have to get to Bledsoe, who just suprisingly killed Philly last week. Strahan will be on a rookie, he probably will
need help. Manning, no picks his last 110 passes and is 6-1 ATS the last 7.

CAROLINA Carolina 7-2 in domes, 11-2-1 ATS on the road. Cashed in 12 of 15 in the red zone.

ATLANTA Hard to make a case for NOR, especially without Deuce. ATL with 18 sacks so far, their pass rush to make a difference. Vick, being back, will open up the running game.

CHICAGO T Jones may play. Bears won't have to do alot to win with their 3rd ranked defense.

K CITY Shaky opinion here. Roaf & Wellburn being back will help alot.

CINN/TENN PASS Tenn won last 9 of 10 vs Cinn.

PITT Will spot the 3 as Jax RB Taylor is hobbled and PITT RB's healthy now & ready to run, run,
run.

CLEVE/BALT PASS Balt shouldn't be favored by 6 over anyone.

TAMPA/MIAMI PASS. Top 2 run defenses in the league. Tampa D should shut Miami down. A tough spot for both teams. The Under.

NENG Will take the field goal. NE has a good passing scheme, has gone to the 2 TE system recently. NE 8-0-1 as a dog. Young Den 2ndary vulnerable to Brady. Over.

BUFF Jets aren't running, Buff pass Defense # 1.

SDIEGO With Tomlinson. They need the win badly, 12-3 last 15 vs Oak.

HOU/SEA PASS. Seattle to win but no cover.

INDY He's not in love with this game, but has to pick it for ESPN. Sooooo, INDY has 20 sacks, St Louis has allowed 20. Indy has given up the fewest points in the league, will get to Bulger. St Louis 8-23 on the road. And Bruce has injury problems.

TOTALS:

NYG/DALL OVER 47.5
ATL/NOR OVER 44
CINN/TENN OVER 44-45
WASH/KC UNDER 43
NE/DEN OVER 46.5
SD/OAK OVER 50

Back on Sunday with more. GL...........THE HITMAN

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

Hey Hitman. Are these totals that Hank likes?

 

[Senor Capper]

Dallas Over ?

Going against good reason eh?

============


Dallas Cowboys / NY Giants UNDER 47



When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a Road team - Coming off a Home win the under is 44-27

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Coming off a win on turf the under is 26-15-1

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Coming off a 1 ATS win the under is 22-11

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite the under is 18-12

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a Road team - Coming off a 1 ATS win the under is 32-20

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Coming off a Home win the under is 24-14-1

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as Road team as a Underdog - Coming off a 2 game over the under is 8-2

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a Road team - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite the under is 38-25-1

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a Road team - Coming off a win on turf the under is 48-27-1

When DALLAS COWBOYS team played as Home team as a Favorite - Coming off a 1 ATS win the under is 21-14

When DALLAS COWBOYS team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Home Favorite - Coming off a 1 ATS win the under is 10-3

When DALLAS COWBOYS team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Favorite - Coming off a 1 ATS win the under is 14-6

Both "Ds" have been very solid and I look for Parcells to slow down Eli, leaving the G-men only option to run. The G-men front men should put pressure on Bledose leading to a very low socring game.

Here are a few more trends for good measure...


Giants have gone 'under' in of the L/9 on the road.
Cowboys have gone 'under' in 6 of their L/9 games.
Cowboys/Giants have gone 'under' 4 of L/5 played at Dallas.

The Giants also come out slow after a bye week going 6-0 to the under after a bye week when they play on the road. The under is a very nice 13-1 when the Giants play are on the road but follow with two home games.

 

[MrChristo]

AND.......

the Cowboys are 1-15-1 OU (-7.2 ppg) since week 18, 1993 as a favorite when their ATS margin increased over each of their past two games (0-3 OU last season and 0-7 OU since 2001).

AND...

The system states, "The league is 1-25-1 OU since 1989 as a home favorite by less than 10 points on Sunday when they?ve averaged greater than 4 more minutes of possession time at home than on the road and their opponent has had more possession time on the road, as long as the OU line is higher than 42."

 

[THE HITMAN]

Hey Hitman. Are these totals that Hank likes?

Yes, they are

 

[THE HITMAN]

Hammer will more than likely go with Carolina on ESPN Sunday.
I wasn't clued in to any others after that, maybe NE if it's 3.5 and Atlanta, SD.

 

[THE HITMAN]

SUNDAY ESPN PICKS:

CAROLINA 24-16
ATLANTA 24-16
CHICAGO 21-7
NENG 34-31
SDIEGO 35-29 (also touted the over a bit)

GL..................THE HITMAN