Harmon Plays

[BASON]

For the hell of it, going to start tracking the Harmon Forcast's strongest projected plays for the week. Wanted to get a few weeks of stats under the belt before I got started.

Plays are those where the line differential is at least 10 points or more from Harmon's predicted score (differential is in parens).

Plays this week are:

UCONN-23 (11)
Michigan State-3 (16)
Mississippi-4.5 (13.5)
New Mexico-7 (15)
Oregon State+7 (12)
Syracuse+25 (17)
Washington St-2.5 (17.5)
Wisconsin-3 (10)

Close were USC and TN.

Personally, I think Michigan State is the strongest of the above.

 

[bandits]

Please explain a little better. Does that mean you bet AGAINST U Conn as they are 23 points fav. and he says they win by 11. What about Oregon State they are plus 7 Who do you bet?

 

[BASON]

No, it means you play UCONN-23 becuase he had them winning by 34. If the Oregon State case he has them winning by 5, but they are getting 7, thus the 12 point differential.

All the teams listed are the recommended plays and the current line as of yesterday. The number is parenthesis is the difference between his projected score and the actual line.

So, in theory, the higher the number in parenthesis, the stronger the play.

Not sure I would put a whole lot of money on any of these games, but I thought it would be interesting to see how they do.

 

[Irish]

BASON
just IMHO but I wouldn't risk too much of your stock in it. Don't get me wrong I look at his information too, but from what I gather he sees the lines and then throws out a point total some where close to it- at least in most the games. However on some of the games he picks he is right on the money, like when some underdogs cover.

The misleading factor is his overall record. See he just counts if the team wins, not spread. So to him it means nothing to his 70-something% winning record over blah blah years.

For example he says last week UVA 50 (something like) vs. Akron 24 (something like). Now that means Akron would cover the 31 point spread. So Akron is the play? Well UVA wins 51-0 so you lost, but Harmon still considers it a win because he picked UVA to win.

Totally my opinion but I would look at that info and do some more digging and such to form your own opinion and make your play. - My strong opinion -No better place than here at Mad Jack's to find out more information than even Harmon knows.

GL
Irish

 

[Howie's Hot]

just my 2 cents too bason, i used Harmon extensively about 5 years ago and he won me some good coin...apparently it was an abherration because the three years that followed he absolutely sucked..I used to take the largest differential he had vs the line and play the top 6 of those...got my ass handed to me...tread lightly early, maybe he is due.....GL

How

 

[BASON]

I hear you guys and totally agree. I am not playing all these, I just thought it would be interesting to track them. This is purely an academic exercise just to see what happens.

I am playing Michigan State though, I think Indiana stinks. I am also leaning towards Mississippi, but something about that line bothers me.

 

[BASON]

For what it is worth, lay the number with Boise. The 21.5 is a sucker for BYU. Boise wins by 30.