Heads up

[Phenom]

This has been a steady moneymaker for me, for awhile now, hope it continures

Home Dogs in the NBA where 67% or more people are on the favorite, are 9 of last 11, and looking like 10 of 12 with Portland tonight. Several moneylines have hit as well, I think 5 or 6... Not sure if people already have this info, but thought it might be something for others to watch...:SIB

 

[bookkilla]

Good info! Wish I would have seen it earlier!

 

[Phenom]

Philly qualifies tonight +2.5, 81% on Miami

 

[JBBrown2]

ATS 20-11 65% for year on 70% and up

take out PHO and DAL games and is

ATS 20-5 80%

 

[Antonio]

Werent the Knicks +3 and Min +2 also plays tonite?

IM SI member %'s.

82% NJ
73% Det

 

[Phenom]

Werent the Knicks +3 and Min +2 also plays tonite?

IM SI member %'s.

82% NJ
73% Det

I use different sites, but they may have well have made the cut, just not when I put my Sixers pick in...

Anyway, was a a little scared by the overtime, but I will take another dog winner and moneyline as well!:spotting:

 

[Phenom]

Philly qualifies agian tonight +9 with 72% on San Antonio

 

[Phenom]

Philly could not come through twice in a row...

Boston qualifies tonight +9 against San Antonio, 71% on the Spurs

 

[Phenom]

Alright, the Celtics get the trend back on track!:mj06: :SIB

 

[Phenom]

Seattle qualifies tonight +2.5, with 76% on Denver

 

[ces]

Good stuff. Keep posting. It will continue to hit.

Think I'll leave out the Mavs and Suns, tho.

 

[Phenom]

Seattle balked at the end last night, Charlotte is up tonight +7, with 70% on Detroit. GL ALL!

 

[smoke & mirrors]

phenom -- which sites do you use to determine the % of people who are on the favorite?

thanks...

 

[Phenom]

two losers in a row, damn, will try again with NY Knicks getting 3.5, 70% on Miami

I don't want to violate any Mj rules, but I will say one of the sites I use can also be used on a bed to keep you warm....

 

[snoozer]

Phenom,
I can't remember who, but someone followed this same strategy in the NFL. It worked very well at the beginning of the season, but as the season went on, the number seemed to get raised. For example, at the beginning of the season anytime is was over 75% on a side or total, you would play the opposite. It seemed that as the season wore on, you needed to raise that number to about 80-85%

I don't bet basketball that much, but I would imagine this theory could be used for most sports. I think the big difference between hoops and football it that the side could flip 6-7 times in the last few minutes of a B-ball games (IE shooting 3's, missing free throws), where in the NFL, scoring is more of a premium.

I would be curious that of the loses you have seen so far this year, how many points you were off. The Piston line was 7, the ended up covering by 4 points, but with under 2 minutes left Charlotte was still covering. Of your loses, have they been by minimal points?

 

[MrChristo]

two losers in a row, damn, will try again with NY Knicks getting 3.5, 70% on Miami

I don't want to violate any Mj rules, but I will say one of the sites I use can also be used on a bed to keep you warm....

Hooker.com? :shrug:

 

[rainman900]

I like it, but if its 80% why do so many people think they should fade it. Ive never understood that.

 

[Phenom]

Phenom,
I can't remember who, but someone followed this same strategy in the NFL. It worked very well at the beginning of the season, but as the season went on, the number seemed to get raised. For example, at the beginning of the season anytime is was over 75% on a side or total, you would play the opposite. It seemed that as the season wore on, you needed to raise that number to about 80-85%

I don't bet basketball that much, but I would imagine this theory could be used for most sports. I think the big difference between hoops and football it that the side could flip 6-7 times in the last few minutes of a B-ball games (IE shooting 3's, missing free throws), where in the NFL, scoring is more of a premium.

I would be curious that of the loses you have seen so far this year, how many points you were off. The Piston line was 7, the ended up covering by 4 points, but with under 2 minutes left Charlotte was still covering. Of your loses, have they been by minimal points?

I will have to go back and check, but the last 7 or 8 losses have been in the range of 2-5 points, one blowout if I remember correctly...