Hedge question:

[grandpa]

I have a live teaser that is 5-0 and last remaining game is SF -0.5. Assuming they don't tie the Rams again, there are several options as to how to guarantee I cash a winning ticket.

The bet was $100, and if it hits I get $700 back.
So.....

Do I?
A) make a wager on Rams ML at +320
B) make a wager on Rams +7.5
C) A and B
D) do nothing, let it ride

If any of the first three options are chosen, what amount is correct?

The sharp money is on Rams, and clearly there is a nice middle range available. It would be a shame to go 5-1 and lose money, so only greed would produce D as the option. It is a business decision, about making money.

Love to hear you guys input. Thanks in advance.

 

[Full court press]

D..... remember, you included SF because in your eyes they are the right side and I agree. If the c note is money that you really can't afford to lose I'd put $110 on the Rams which would at the worse break you even and at best you have a 7 point middle and could cash both. Personally, unless it was a HUGE bet, I'd let it ride.

Good luck no matter which you chose.

 

[DZ]

I agree with FCP... always let it ride unless the outcome is some life-altering amount of money you can't afford to lose.
On the other hand, 7.5 does offer a very tasty middle opportunity, and since I lean Rams plus the pts anyway, I would probably take a stab at the middle, IF and ONLY IF, you can get that +7.5 and at a price no worse than -110. I'm seeing a few -105's at some public books out there, so if you have a few outs and something like that available, I think the reward outweighs the risk here. I wouldn't bet it for more than 30% of what you already stand to win on SF though. But hey, that's JMO because, as I said, I lean Rams.
Best of luck whatever you choose to do :0074

 

[Senor Capper]

D. :0008

 

[Heatspix]

My personal Opinion is.....

Throw a bone at the Rams ML.

Even if it's a loser, which is very probable, you still net $600, which I'm sure you'd be happy with.

If the Rams pull of an upset, which I think is the most likely upset of the day, along with Indy, you still make money.

Let me ask you this....if the hottest woman on the planet said you couldn't screw her, but she'd let you "tickle the biscuit"....you'd still be happy and tell your friends about it wouldn't
you.

 

[juggernaut]

well this is the NFL so STL could win and you get nothing if you do nothing. I would try to hit the middle with 200 on the 7.5 at_110 or lower and throw a hondo on the Rams ML to cover that base as well Guarantee your profit when you have leverage JMO. Hope you hit man!!

 

[kellyindallas]

Guarantee yourself money. I'd put $100 or so on Rams ML.

 

[Old School]

imagine this..

guaranteed...............

:0071 :0071 :0071 :0071

now guage the GUARANTEED MONEY against your plus or minus bankroll..

the answer to how much lies there.

nice win..:0074

 

[jr7]

Id put 350 on rams +7.5


Any niners win by 7.5 and you win 1050 (which I think is what will happen).


Rams win outright, you still win 350

Niners win by more then 7.5, you win 350

But this is only way to garauntee money and also improve total winnings.

 

[Heatspix]

Well....I guess now is a good time to ask.

Which way'd ya go? :shrug:

 

[grandpa]

Actually did it last night.

100/320 on Rams ML
150/125 on rams +7.5 -120

Crazy game.

 

[jr7]

Id put 350 on rams +7.5


Any niners win by 7.5 and you win 1050 (which I think is what will happen).


Rams win outright, you still win 350

Niners win by more then 7.5, you win 350

But this is only way to garauntee money and also improve total winnings.

cant lose brotha


congrats either way

 

[jr7]

Actually did it last night.

100/320 on Rams ML
150/125 on rams +7.5 -120

Crazy game.

shit sorry didn't see this...


good work man.

 

[grandpa]

'twas a good "problem" to have.
The first 5 were all nailbiters, had to earn this . Couldn't go away without cash.

NIU -1
NIU over 52
Stanford -2.5
Stanford under 53.5 ( missed FG)
Ala -2

 

[grandpa]

There IS still the possibility of a 2nd tie

 

[grandpa]

Which is the absolute worst scenario

 

[DZ]

Good choice on the hedge :toast:

 

[Heatspix]

My personal Opinion is.....

Throw a bone at the Rams ML.

Even if it's a loser, which is very probable, you still net $600, which I'm sure you'd be happy with.

If the Rams pull of an upset, which I think is the most likely upset of the day, along with Indy, you still make money.

Let me ask you this....if the hottest woman on the planet said you couldn't screw her, but she'd let you "tickle the biscuit"....you'd still be
happy and tell your friends about it wouldn't
you.

:SIB

 

[Senor Capper]

D. :

:facepalm:


:s2: