Hedging question

[ivabign]

I ask this in the Hockey thread since the last open wager is a Hockey game.

I have a three team parlay

200/975.16

Basketball - 714 Miami Heat -7? -115 for 1st Half
Hockey - 32 Anaheim Ducks -140 for Game
Baseball - 967 Toronto Blue Jays/Tampa Bay Rays over 7? -120 for Game

Miami and the MLB over are in - just the Ducks

I have only $200 left in this account - should I just play it on Detroit?

I always feel like I am throwing money away, but when I don't do it and the last bet loses, I kick myself...

Anyone real sure on the Ducks? I don't see them losing game 5 - maybe I should play the $200 on the Ducks -1.5 for +220 - now that would be stupid..

 

[capping-guru]

Personally I like the Ducks a lot!

 

[ivabign]

I do too - I also respect Jord20 and he is on the Wings.... I wonder if he was on the Wings in game three (the first one in Detroit - Anh 4-0)

 

[ivabign]

Fuck it - some $ is better than more $$ - I think - also have a small $100 parlay on Padres (W) and the over on the Grand Salami at 19.5 - the first two games are good for a minimum of 12 goals - so I bet the $200 on the Wings and if the Salami comes in, I'm good.

 

[Rick]

In my opinion you definitely did the right thing.....Good luck on the parlay...

 

[Jord20]

I do too - I also respect Jord20 and he is on the Wings.... I wonder if he was on the Wings in game three (the first one in Detroit - Anh 4-0)

I was on the wings in game 3. I think the ducks have been better in this series no doubt. There is a game 4 ot loser theory. Not sure the trends exactly, but basically the theory is that after u blow game 4 in ot when you could have gone up 3-1 is a deflating loss. Game 4 OT winners to tie a series at 2 have won 8 of last 9 series.

I love the wings on the shortish line tonight, fwiw.

And just another note, I am NOT a hockey guru by any means

Gl whatever u do

 

[ivabign]

Thanks a lot - I live in SoCal and the radio has been covering the Ducks - they knew they blew it - They also came out overconfident after game 1 and lost - but came back and won the game they had to win to get home ice back - I guess I am playing the one good game - one bad game - one good game system - the Ducks HAVE to win this one or risk losing it all in game 6 in Detroit. That's my angle. I bet the 200 on Detroit because that makes sense. GLTU as well.

I'm rooting for the Ducks, because if they win, I can buy a shiny new RWAK100 for my music - if not, it is back to the grindstone.. lol

 

[ivabign]

There's the Salami!!!!

 

[ivabign]

See? I shouldn't have hedged! LOL. Goodnite all