HERE it is Here it is baby THE Superbowl Handicapping SYSTEM $$$$

[Scrapman]

Super Bowl Handicapping System


1. Award 10 points if a team has won a Super Bowl in the last THREE years.

2. Award 8.0 points to any team whose OPPONENT is playing in their very first Super Bowl in Franchise history.

3. Award 8.0 points to the team that has allowed the fewer defensive rushes

4. Award 7.0 points to the team with the best OVERALL SU win/loss record including playoffs

5. Award 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes.

6. Award 5.0 points to the team with the lower defensive rush average per carry.

7. Award 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt Touch Down returns.

8. Award 4.0 points to the team the team with the better ATS record.

9. Award 4.0 points to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards.

10. Award 3.5 points to the team that has the best yards per pass attempt.

11. Award 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest points.

12. Award 3.5 points to the team that has allowed the fewest rushing Touch Downs.

13. Award 3.0 points to the team that has the most sacks.

14. Award 2.5 points to the team with the fewest offensive pass attempts.

15. Award 2.0 points to the team that had the best NET punts (total) on the year.

16. Award 1.5 points to the team with the best average per offensive rush.

17. Award 1.0 points to the team with the best completion percentage.




I have couple more I do that really help more but have to add in both teams final games of season

:0008

 

[smurphy]

How many Super Bowl threads will you start?

 

[redsfann]

How many Super Bowl threads will you start?

At least this one is a cut and paste job--no need for the secret decoder ring to try and figure out what he is trying to say...

 

[Scrapman]

3rd down conversion % wins superbowls

3rd down conversion % wins superbowls

WE laern as we grow i never thought about this ever until 10 mins ago stumbled upon it seraching for superbowl inytangibles hexes jinxes like if cirrent presedent is democrat or the year was odd number and other weird stuff not seen online but maybe your local newspaper on game day


any how here it is with strong edge to broncos winning it

post season

rank 2

Denver

1st downs

Total 53

Rush 18

PASS 32

by penalty 3

3rd Dwons

MADe 16

ATTEMPTS 26

percent 61.5


NFL Team Downs Statistics - 2013 Season


Rank #1 435 1st downs 107 rush 293 pass 35 by penalty

3rd downs made 95 ATT 205 pct. 46.3


Seattle

Post season

rank tied 8th with Bengals

1st dwns 27 11 rush 13 pass 3 by penalty


3rd downs made 10 att. 28 pct. 35.7 .--25.8% edge to Broncos

NFL Team Downs Statistics - 2013 season

rank #20 1st dwns 307 116 rush 160 pass 31 by penalty

3rd downs made 76 att. 204 pct 37.3 9 % edge to Broncos

 

[Scrapman]

LINK to see whole chart http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/team/_/stat/downs/seasontype/2

 

[zoomer]

Here it is on video :0008:0008

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[Scrapman]

THE SUPERBOWL CHAMPIONS past every year have averaged a minimum 42% of 3rd down conversions in season.

Fuck Seattles Defense it will not matter because Broncos offense will have long sustained drives even in bad weather thus keeping marshawn lynch on the bench and the putrid passing offense of seahawks
off the field and YES folks Broncos defense got stromger even with injuries late in season

last 3 games defense ranked 5th overall


up to 17th for season after a horrid 28th ranked def. in 1st half of year

This years Broncos reminds me of The Year Saints won it all which was giving up a ton of points to every team

however the Colts were a fraud as in offense more yards than all 16 games played way below the min. of 35 yrds per game or more needed

Seahawks are at + 65.37 YPG Broncos insane +101.31

turnover edge Seahawks +20 Broncos 0

as long as broncos match turnovers for sehawks that is 2 - 3 each THEY win the game and cover

Manning we all know can find a weak spot in any defense and will keep hitting that spot until the defense breaks down

I'm done analayzing this superbowl now I have no emotional ties or hatred to either team forcing me to bet wrong side

The only thing that swings the game is if any player does a NO NO night before game that is get caught with a hooker and wifey finds out then that player will be distarcted whole game and give up big play sealing the loss for his team

Wilson is 2nd year QB just like Kap was last year he will be confused all game.

YES i know wilson played in way more games as a starter Than kraperdick did still way too many rookies on sehawks in bowl for 1st time vs Broncos winners of superbowls

hmmmm seahawks will be 0-2 in superbowls s/u and ATS

 

[Berty5446]

sounds like scrap knows a little too much about pulling a 'NO NO'

 

[Scrapman]

OMG OMG this seals it Peytons number 18 when added = 9

OMG OMG this seals it Peytons number 18 when added = 9

The only number in our decimal system when multiplied by any number and you add the result to gther = 9

EX: 1274 X 9 = 11466 1+1+4+6+6 = 18 OMFG 1 +8 = 9


another number 22465 X 9 =202185 2+0+2+1+8+5 = 18 eeee gads 1+8 =9

lets try another number 3 digits 699 X 9 =6291 6+2+9+1= 18 eekkk 1=8 = 9

ok lets add both qb's numbers together 18+ 3 = 21 ---21 X 9 =189 1+8+9 = 18 holy shit 1+8 = 9

9 is known as the wizards number or something like that

answer i found online in yahoo answers

3 X 3 = 9
9 X 9 = 81
8 + 1 = 9
7 + 2 = 9
8 X 9 = 72

Are you perchance, Baha'i?
They have a nine-pointed star as an emblem.
As a Catholic, nine is the number of days before Pentecost and after Ascension.

There are nine Choirs of angels

There are supposedly 18 prime colors in heaven. (only 3 on Earth)
get the fuck out of here! this is really freaky


OK past super bowls QB's numbers

last year Flacco 5 Kraperdic 7 = 12 ...9 x 12 = 108 ummm yeah add em up = 18 1+8 = 9


2001 Manning 10 Brady 12 = 22 ....9X 22 =198 added together = 18 fucking peytons number again
1+8 = NINE


ok lets try team wins for season this year both won 13 games 13 X 9 =117 no no again it's 18

ahgggggggg cant get away from peytons number 18

now total wins fore year 15 for both 15 X 9 = 135 ok 5 + 3 + 1 = 9

but if you add 5 + 3 = 8 then you have 1 it's peytons number again 1+8 = 9 :scared


Properties of the number 9

too long to post here's the link http://www.ridingthebeast.com/numbers/nu9.php




The Number 9 | The Secret Knowledge of The Ancients Number Nine Code 911

eekkkk i never knew this . MUST READ
link http://rickzepeda.hubpages.com/hub/Number-9


ok play around with other numbers point spreads , number of yards of footbal field , number of seats in stadium number of every person on each team that is how many people are involved head coach assitants etc...

oooooo wait i got another set of numbers Point scored vs points allowed for full season including playoffs

Broncos PF 656 PA 399 = +224 Seahwks PF 463 PA 263 = +200

224 X 9 = 2016 added up = 9 200 x 9 = 1800 ummm thats 1 +8 = 9 other one is 7 + 2 = 9 of course we know 9 X 9 = 81 which reversed is peytons number 18

ok thats it all numbers and past history of anceints show that peytons number is the key factor in this bowl

other intangibles Team Colors the stronger colors are Broncos

the teams Logos the stronger one is the Horse the Bronco ... a Seahawk ehhhh does nothing for me

just scavanger type of bird the ones we see at the shore and sometimes fly around here in my city
the white ones we see normally the one seattle shows flying is brown or gray must be in that area

I know one thing when i walked near a seagull they ran away from me

Never walked Near a Bronco but a horse i have walked near they stood firm never back off

ooooooooooo yeah Broncos faced stronger Bird in Bowl wins the falcons a pure predator and they whipped the shit out of them

Broncos losses were facing the stronger conf back then NFC was dominant in the early years

49ers Redskins Giants all hammered Elway

YES YES i know we havent had a superbowl blowout in years they all were within a TD margin

margins of victory last 10 3 pts 4 pts 6pts 14pts Saints vs colts ---4 pts 3 pts 12 pts Colts vs Rex grossman Bears in rain in Miami --11 pts Steelers vs seahawks--- 3 pts 3 pts both Patriots


:0008

 

[zoomer]

The only number in our decimal system when multiplied by any number and you add the result to gther = 9

EX: 1274 X 9 = 11466 1+1+4+6+6 = 18 OMFG 1 +8 = 9


another number 22465 X 9 =202185 2+0+2+1+8+5 = 18 eeee gads 1+8 =9

lets try another number 3 digits 699 X 9 =6291 6+2+9+1= 18 eekkk 1=8 = 9

ok lets add both qb's numbers together 18+ 3 = 21 ---21 X 9 =189 1+8+9 = 18 holy shit 1+8 = 9

9 is known as the wizards number or something like that

answer i found online in yahoo answers

3 X 3 = 9
9 X 9 = 81
8 + 1 = 9
7 + 2 = 9
8 X 9 = 72

Are you perchance, Baha'i?
They have a nine-pointed star as an emblem.
As a Catholic, nine is the number of days before Pentecost and after Ascension.

There are nine Choirs of angels

There are supposedly 18 prime colors in heaven. (only 3 on Earth)
get the fuck out of here! this is really freaky


OK past super bowls QB's numbers

last year Flacco 5 Kraperdic 7 = 12 ...9 x 12 = 108 ummm yeah add em up = 18 1+8 = 9


2001 Manning 10 Brady 12 = 22 ....9X 22 =198 added together = 18 fucking peytons number again
1+8 = NINE


ok lets try team wins for season this year both won 13 games 13 X 9 =117 no no again it's 18

ahgggggggg cant get away from peytons number 18

now total wins fore year 15 for both 15 X 9 = 135 ok 5 + 3 + 1 = 9

but if you add 5 + 3 = 8 then you have 1 it's peytons number again 1+8 = 9 :scared


Properties of the number 9

too long to post here's the link http://www.ridingthebeast.com/numbers/nu9.php




The Number 9 | The Secret Knowledge of The Ancients Number Nine Code 911

eekkkk i never knew this . MUST READ
link http://rickzepeda.hubpages.com/hub/Number-9


ok play around with other numbers point spreads , number of yards of footbal field , number of seats in stadium number of every person on each team that is how many people are involved head coach assitants etc...

oooooo wait i got another set of numbers Point scored vs points allowed for full season including playoffs

Broncos PF 656 PA 399 = +224 Seahwks PF 463 PA 263 = +200

224 X 9 = 2016 added up = 9 200 x 9 = 1800 ummm thats 1 +8 = 9 other one is 7 + 2 = 9 of course we know 9 X 9 = 81 which reversed is peytons number 18

ok thats it all numbers and past history of anceints show that peytons number is the key factor in this bowl

other intangibles Team Colors the stronger colors are Broncos

the teams Logos the stronger one is the Horse the Bronco ... a Seagull ehhhh does nothing for me

just scavanger type of bird the ones we see at the shore and sometimes fly around here in my city
the white ones we see normally the one seattle shows flying is brown or gray must be in that area

I know one thing when i walked near a seagull they ran away from me

Never walked Near a Bronco but a horse i have walked near they stood firm never back off

ooooooooooo yeah Broncos faced stronger Bird in Bowl wins the falcons a pure predator and they whipped the shit out of them

Broncos losses were facing the stronger conf back then NFC was dominant in the early years

49ers Redskins Giants all hammered Elway

YES YES i know we havent had a superbowl blowout in years they all were within a TD margin

margins of victory last 10 3 pts 4 pts 6pts 14pts Saints vs colts ---4 pts 3 pts 12 pts Colts vs Rex grossman Bears in rain in Miami --11 pts Steelers vs seahawks--- 3 pts 3 pts both Patriots


:0008

A. Your post was the ninth post.
B .There are 8 letters in SCRAPMAN and you joined in January, the 1st month. 8+1=9!!
C. You made me think out loud "is this guy for real"? NINE TIMES!

 

[Betone]

How many Super Bowl threads will you start?

He doesn't have to, he is advertising in everyone else's threads.....:facepalm:

 

[edludes]

He has a comment to make in everyone's threads. It's the Scrapman way. He thinks we are all waiting breathlessly for his comments and wisdom.

 

[Statman02]

not too much hatred or emotional ties anyway............just a LOT of hate for the Seahawks.............and soo much worship for "the wizzard" Peyton Manning

 

[Scrapman]

had discussion with guy named Dom he thinks Manning will fail due to cold weather.

HE will be all over Seahwks nuts if temps are 20 or lower game day.

He kept saying he watched manning in college fail in cold weather

I luaughed at him and Said Dom he's won sub freeze temps recently in season in Denver

then he says BUT when they beat Pats it was 45 degrees

o well i said BET your putrid Seahawks in two weeks

I'm going large on BRONCOS at laest $1000 if i can gather up that much cash in two weeks

so far i got $200 stashed away but i really got hurt with this snowstorm couldnt drive to get scrap metals or anything else lost another $50 from pizza delivery

so knowing i could have made at least $100 scrapping and $50 more in delivering thats the low average for 2 days I could have had $300 for the bowl right now

 

[Scrapman]

THIS is what i see happening in Bowl regardless of weather

THIS is what i see happening in Bowl regardless of weather

Weather wise we already know freezing cold snow and high winds always up in that wind tunnel

EDGE Broncos Manning can play in these conditions will stay in short passes 10 - 15 yards and consatnly hit that sehawks defense without getting touched as he did in both playoff games NO ONE laid a hand on him.

Wilson as we know is weak passing simply becuse of limited down field weapons Percy harvin will NOT be a Factor I belive he will get knocked out early and Seahawks only true weapon is Lynch

makes it easy for Broncos D as they did to Patriots triple threat RB's totally shut them down sacked Brady which dosent happen often and intercepted HIM

fuck it about warm weather that Day Denver still would win n cover system fade was against Patriots for pumping up a 43 spot against Colts and 118 points in 3 games WE had a 95% edge on Broncos!


Stat for all Superbowl wiiners must have min. 42% 3rd down conversion ratio for season

Donkeys 46.3 % Seahags only 37.3% thats fat 9% edge on Broncos

2nd stat Denver avgered +101.31 YDS per game more offense than all 16 foes MIN required is +35 ypg or more

Seahags +65.37 YPG more than all 16 foes EDGE #2 Broncos 35.94 yards MORE than Seahawks

offense rankings Denver #1 passing and running Seahawks not good at all ranked 25th over all which does not meet super bowl winners requirements as thier defense does

Broncos defense end of year vastly improved ranked 5th over all for season ranked 17th way up from 1st half ranked 28th

I think i covered players edge on Broncos with superbowl winners and heavy playoff experience

Seahawks not one player or Coach ever was in a bowl ;Playoff experience YES most with Seatlle
IN other words Same as alst Year the experienced team with superbowl winners on team will WIN the game.

Simply because Denvers offense will be on field longer and keep picking at seattles defense 5 yrds 3 yrds 15 yrds long sustained drives even if it's only FG's early

Wilson cannot Read defense as well as the Master Manning nor can he change plays at line of scrimmage Far better QB than Kraperdick much better at making plays by running around give WR's time to break open.

Thats IT guys n few girlks we have here

only edge Seahawks have is TO's +20 for season Denver finsihed at flat 0

Will manning toss 3 picks ? I dont belive so maybe 1 or 2 still will Seahawks conver those TO's into TD's ? Depends on how close they are to end zone.

as of Now i see Denver winning by 6 - 10 points as most superbowls have been

more mistakes from Wilson will cost them the game and of course one of the most penalized teams in NFL is Seattle so Denver gets lots of FREE 1st downs predict 5 FREE 1st downs and 10 Xtra points

HC last Names well I likey FOX better than a girls Name Carroll :mj07:

Manning will be 1st QB to win bowls with two differnt teams if he wins.



OMAHA !!!! :00hour

 

[Scrapman]

The Worst Defense To Ever Win A Super Bowl: The 2006 Colts

The Worst Defense To Ever Win A Super Bowl: The 2006 Colts

Since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger, there have been 41 Super Bowl champions. Of those, 40 allowed fewer points per drive than league average. The one exception: the 2006 Indianapolis Colts. They were bad nearly across the board, with only 2 exceptions: turnover % and QB Rating against. Make no mistake about it, despite toughening up a lot in the playoffs, the 2006 Colts defense was abysmal. Take a quick look at some stats:


The Colts allowed an astonishing 2.25 Adjusted Points Per Drive ([points per drive allowed]-[defensive points scored per drive]). That was 2nd worst in the league in 2006. To put that in perspective, from 2000-2010 there were 350 team years and only 45 allowed more than 2.2 APPD.

Those teams accounted for 246 wins and 474 losses, a winning percentage of .342. Only 4 such teams posted winning records: 2000 St Louis Rams (10-6), 2000 Minnesota Vikings (11-5), 2008 Arizona Cardinals (9-7) and the 2006 Colts (12-4). The Rams lost in the first playoff game, the Vikings got blown out by the Giants in the NFC Championship and the Cardinals lost the Super Bowl.

The Cardinals? defense played pretty well in the playoffs, but the other two teams got exposed badly.


The 2006 Colts allowed 36.9 Yards Per Drive, giving them a YPD+ of 79. In other words, they yielded roughly 21% more yards per drive than the 2006 league average of 30.5. Between 2000-2010, only 11 teams fared worse relative to league average. Those teams had an aggregate record of 70-106, with only 2 winning teams in the bunch ? the 2004 Indianapolis Colts (YPD of 77) and the aforementioned 2000 Minnesota Vikings (73)

The 2006 Colts run defense? Staggeringly bad ? they gave up 173 yards per game on the ground and an eye-popping 5.3 yards per attempt. The only other team to give up more than 170 rushing yards per game since 2000 was the 2008 Detroit Lions (172 YPG) ? who went 0-16. 7 times that year the Colts gave up more than 180 yards on the ground, including 3 games over 200 and 375 yards to the Jaguars. Their incompetence against the run made them one of only 4 teams to face a higher percentage of run plays than league average. Teams ran on the Colts 54.2% of the time, compared to a league average of 45.2%.


Another place the 2006 Colts failed was in stopping touchdowns. They allowed a TD 26% more frequently than the average team ? letting their opponent into the endzone on an even 25% of all drives. Only two other Super Bowl winners were below average for their year: the 1998 Broncos (4% worse than average) and the 1976 Raiders (6% worse).



psssttttttttttttttttttttttt The Bears had the way better defense that Superbowl and in season but a pathetic QB named Rex Grossman

7 1/2 point DOG got craoked