Here we go...

[DZ]

Posted a few earlier this week in the other thread. Here they are with units now. Just some small ones. I would still take Blount to score 1st at 12-1 and as the 1st Eagle to score at 5-1 or better...

EAGLES VS PATRIOS - FIRST TOUCHDOWN SCORER IN GAME: LEGARRETTE BLOUNT ML+1500 0.4x

EAGLES VS PATRIOTS - TOTAL POINTS SCORED 43-49 POINTS +400 1x

EAGLES VS PATRIOTS - TOTAL POINTS SCORED50-56 POINTS +450 0.8x

 

[DZ]

Player props first...



TOTAL o18?-138 J. AJAYI (PHI) REC YDS 5x

TOTAL o61?-125 J. AJAYI (PHI) RUSH YDS 4x

TOTAL o9?-150 J. AJAYI (PHI) LG REC 2x

TOTAL o2-120 J. AJAYI (PHI) REC 2.5x


Posted an article earlier in the week on the Patriots defending the run against the shotgun and 11 personnel, which the Eagles run out of primarily. As he's become more comfortable with the Eagles and Foles Ajayi has been getting more and more involved each week, just check his game logs. The receiving yards prop should be an easy one and I may look to get more down on that before game time. The 2 two total receptions is a push at worst. If the Eagles are down, they will pass to him. If they are up the will run with him. Expect to see him involved early, with Blount handling the short yardage work (more on that in a moment).

 

[DZ]

TOTAL o52?-120 D. AMENDOLA (NE) REC YDS 3x

TOTAL o4?-150 D. AMENDOLA (NE) REC 1x

TOTAL o26?-120 J. WHITE (NE) REC YDS 1x


Love Amendola. The Eagles have struggled to defend slot receivers all season long. The receptions prop is a tough one because of the juice. At 4 catches or 4.5 with less vig, I would bet it stronger, but I can't lay that much at the price available to me and will stick with the yardage prop.

 

[BASON]

Good Luck DZ. I love Amendola to score, also took him to score 2 tds. He will have a big day.

 

[DZ]

Good Luck DZ. I love Amendola to score, also took him to score 2 tds. He will have a big day.

I like it. GL Bason :0074

 

[DZ]

So I already have Blount to score the first TD of the game. Just a quick explanation on that. I don't usually go for the long shots, but it's a pure value bet. At this point everyone is well aware of the 1st quarter struggles for the Patriots. The same has been true for the first two rounds of this year's playoffs as well, with the Titans and Jags both taking early leads. It wouldn't surprise me if the trend continued with the Pats in this one leaving the opportunity for the eagles to score first. It doesn't seem to bother Belichek to play it conservatively for the first few possessions and feel out the opponents defense. On the other hand, if you look at two playoff games for the Eagles, it was Blount who scored on each of the first two offensive TDs in those respective games. I don't think he has a great game from a yardage standpoint, however, and I would take the under 28.5 on that.

 

[DZ]

A little nervous on these, but Philly is vulnerable up the middle on deep throws to TEs so maybe we get one long catch to get both of these....


TOTAL o75?-120 R. GRONKOWSKI (NE) REC YDS 1x

TOTAL o26?-120 R. GRONKOWSKI (NE) LG REC 1x

 

[DZ]

Finally, for the player props, Agholor can have a nice game tonight as the Pats have been exposed by slot receivers on defense all season. Seems like he and Foles have grown more comfortable with one another as the year has gone on. If there was one other player I would take in the Score 1st TD prop category, it would be Agholor.


TOTAL o43?-120 N. AGHOLOR (PHI) REC YDS 2.5x

 

[DZ]

Still on the shopping list....


No score in first 5/5.5/6mins
1Q un10
1H un24 (-110 or -15)
Will there be a score in the last 3mins of the 1H? Yes -275 or better
Will either score 3 straight YES -190 or better
No Special Teams or Defensive TD -200 or better
No safety, No OT - best possible price closest to kickoff
Total TDs under 5.5 +120 or better
NE more first downs
NE longest TD -125 or better
T. Smith un3 recs -140 or better
Blount un Rushing Yds un28.5 (thought I had this in yesterday, but turns out I forgot to submit it...getting hard to find)