Hey Guys, I need some suggestions, Please

[Its Gravy]

I have a 2 team parlay
Dodgers +135
Rockies +105

in the 4th inning Dodgers lead Oakland 2-0
Rockies game begins at 6pm, (in 55 min)
i laid 150.00 to win 572.26. Obviously the La game will still be on when the Col game starts. Should I hedge...but if La is up 2-1 in game and they end up losing, i am an ass.
PS I played Colorado because Texas is 1-10 following games when they score 10 runs or more!!

 

[Its Gravy]

hmm...no responses...well for that matter....

[This message has been edited by Its Gravy (edited 07-14-2001).]

 

[Trampled Underfoot]

Gravy,
If you wanted to hedge after winning the first game why didnt you just bet LA with no parlay. You just eat more juice by trying to hedge.

Trampled

 

[fletcher]

just for me i have did that a couple times ands its always been on a bad streak and i know everytime bit me in the ass due to something screwing up in the first game,thats just me.its past the fact now but its not a smart move.

 

[spanky2]

1 question, why did you bet,because you liked the play.It's simple to me, sit there and watch your games.Hedging is great if you are into 'grinding',can't do it myself.Spanky....

 

[prospector]

Mr. Gravy

,

just caught this thread and thought i might reply. i get into this situation many times. i love playing the parlays.

in this situation, when the 2nd last game is not complete and a whack of dough is on the line is always a concern. it's money afterall, and that's what this game is about.

you didn't lay down your hard earned cash because you were in love with a team. you laid it down to win.

anyway, as much as i would like to go into long dissertation on the topic, i know what i do now in this situation everytime. i put more coin down on the last team and if there is a later game, i try to find an angle to re-parlay it with.

i liked it going in.
i should still like it.

i think fletcher is right when he says hedging a parlay in play will come back to bite you in the a$$. more often than not it is true. you threw good money away.

think about it.
if you are a reasonable capper (and i happen to think you are an exceptional one) you should perform somewhere north of 50%.

however, if you are in a situation where you have obviously won all of a parlay except one game, that is a different story. i always protect my winnings.

fwiw
steve

[This message has been edited by prospector (edited 07-14-2001).]