Hey Prospector

ct

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Jul 11, 2001
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fort worth, tx, usa
I HAVE LOOKED AT THE GAMES TODAY AND I FEEL LIKE 7 OF THE 11 GAMES PLAYED TODAY HAVE A CHANCE OF GOING UNDER. THAT SHOULD BE ABOUT THE RATIO OF YOUR 2 UNDER TO 1 BIG OVER. IM THINKING GR SAL UNDER AGAIN!:shrug:
 

prospector

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Mar 4, 2001
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i looked at the Salami Under today too except for the high percentage of Eastern Conference teams and the Atlanta/Florida game.

If the score goes 5 - 4 or worse there, which i think it could, it doesn't leave much room elsewhere for error.

i can see 6+ goal in the TB/Pitts game
and a 3 - 3 tie or more in TO/Mont

so, t, too many games, too many East Conf. matchups makes it too hard to cap the Salami tonite. If I pull the trigger in the next half hour .... it will be on the over 61.5 i think.

i like the looks of tomorrows matchups for a Salami Under though!
:)
 

prospector

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no, i don't follow that stat.

to me it's the matchups that matter. i don't think the books O/U line looks as much at the matchups as it does on Avg. Goals Per Game Each Team

this year:
Avg. Game Score: 3.69 - 1.86
5.55 Goals Per Game
61.05 would be the average total for 11 games.
-------

tonite:
Avg Goals For All Teams Totalled: 63.6
Avg Goals Against All Teams Totalled: 59.7

divide by 2

2.89 - 2.72

61.7 goals scored tonite = the line
-----

cheap math, but tonites matchups appear higher than the overall games played scores average.
 

prospector

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t,

tomorrows games:
(pending todays outcomes)

i figure 32.88 goals based on the teams playing
based on avg of all games scores of 5.55 goals/game 33.30

tomorrow is looking like a big fat salami under

have to wait and see what the line is.
i think we will see it set at 33.5
 
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