Hoffmann vs Dimentrenko
This fight is coming up on Saturday. On paper it looks like a simple win for Dimentrenko as Hoffmann has tried and failed every time he's stepped up. However, the question is, is Dimentrenko a step up. I've never been hot about Dimentrenko, he really struggled against Vaughn Bean and he has fought really no-one at all in his career. Apart from Vaughn, Hoffmann is his toughest fight by far. I think it was very reasonable for Universum to go slow with Dimentrenko a) he was young and b) he was stiff as anything. He needed the ring experience. At least against the very overmatched Malcolm Tann, Dimentrenko showed some upper body movement.
However, I see this is a jab-fest, which kind of plays into Hoffmanns hands a bit. Hoffmann has a hopelessly slow right, and his only combination is a jab-straight-right, thrown mostly as a counter. He sits there with his peek a boo defence and then all of a sudden when the coast is clear, he bursts out and throws that one two. It was very effective against Luan Krasniqi, who took a few rounds to figure it out, but utterly useless against the surprisingly mobile Timor Ibragimov, who just kept moving and creaming Hoffmann with left hooks around his peek-a-boo defence. Dimentrenko is not much better style wise and doesnt possess a left hook to save his life. I can see Dimentrenko just pounding away at Hoffmanns arms, getting no-where and then Hoffmann countering. I can see it being a classic total punches vs effective punches fight. It's got SD or MD or DRAW written all over it.
Conclusions. I imagine this fight goes the distance and is a lot closer than people will think it will be. Attractive lines would then be
- Fight goes distance
- Hoffmann plus 9.5 pts
- SD/MD options.
The current lines on betandwin (where i bet) are Dim 1.2 and Hoffman 4. Not much value there. I can imagine Hoffmann trying and failing narrowly again. He's just too limited. Dimentrenko just a tick better. Should he have the misfortune of fighting Chagaev or Ibragimov one day, then I'll enjoy reaping some good profits.
I still havent decided what I'll be backing. As always with heavyweights, I'll be waiting for the weigh-in to decide.
conan
p.s. Virchis is on the card. He's fighting the washed up Robert Hawkins because Virchis absolutely sucked in his last fight and it'd be a risk to give him anything harder. I'll be looking to cash out on Virchis when he fights someone decent again, the bastard owes me money for not knocking out chin-chinned Paulo Vidoz. I'll be backing his opponent.
This fight is coming up on Saturday. On paper it looks like a simple win for Dimentrenko as Hoffmann has tried and failed every time he's stepped up. However, the question is, is Dimentrenko a step up. I've never been hot about Dimentrenko, he really struggled against Vaughn Bean and he has fought really no-one at all in his career. Apart from Vaughn, Hoffmann is his toughest fight by far. I think it was very reasonable for Universum to go slow with Dimentrenko a) he was young and b) he was stiff as anything. He needed the ring experience. At least against the very overmatched Malcolm Tann, Dimentrenko showed some upper body movement.
However, I see this is a jab-fest, which kind of plays into Hoffmanns hands a bit. Hoffmann has a hopelessly slow right, and his only combination is a jab-straight-right, thrown mostly as a counter. He sits there with his peek a boo defence and then all of a sudden when the coast is clear, he bursts out and throws that one two. It was very effective against Luan Krasniqi, who took a few rounds to figure it out, but utterly useless against the surprisingly mobile Timor Ibragimov, who just kept moving and creaming Hoffmann with left hooks around his peek-a-boo defence. Dimentrenko is not much better style wise and doesnt possess a left hook to save his life. I can see Dimentrenko just pounding away at Hoffmanns arms, getting no-where and then Hoffmann countering. I can see it being a classic total punches vs effective punches fight. It's got SD or MD or DRAW written all over it.
Conclusions. I imagine this fight goes the distance and is a lot closer than people will think it will be. Attractive lines would then be
- Fight goes distance
- Hoffmann plus 9.5 pts
- SD/MD options.
The current lines on betandwin (where i bet) are Dim 1.2 and Hoffman 4. Not much value there. I can imagine Hoffmann trying and failing narrowly again. He's just too limited. Dimentrenko just a tick better. Should he have the misfortune of fighting Chagaev or Ibragimov one day, then I'll enjoy reaping some good profits.
I still havent decided what I'll be backing. As always with heavyweights, I'll be waiting for the weigh-in to decide.
conan
p.s. Virchis is on the card. He's fighting the washed up Robert Hawkins because Virchis absolutely sucked in his last fight and it'd be a risk to give him anything harder. I'll be looking to cash out on Virchis when he fights someone decent again, the bastard owes me money for not knocking out chin-chinned Paulo Vidoz. I'll be backing his opponent.
