Horizon League at high point

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Every year at this time, coaches around the Horizon League preach about the strength of the conference.

This year, they might have a point.

With conference play to resume tonight after a monthlong break, the league has its highest RPI ranking in history: ninth out of 31 Division I leagues. In addition to Butler, which is ninth in the individual RPI and 16th in the latest Associated Press poll, the league has two other teams in the top 40 ? Wright State at No. 35 and Valparaiso at No. 36 ? and six of its 10 members in the RPI's top 110. The University of Wisconsin-Green Bay (7-5 overall, 1-1 Horizon League) is 110th out of 341 teams in Division I this season. Tonight's opponent, Detroit (4-8, 0-2), is one of only two Horizon teams outside the top 200.

"Butler helps, of course, but both Valpo and Wright State are top 40 and Cleveland State is 84th," said Jerry Palm, who runs the Web site CollegeRPI.com. "Except for Detroit (No. 239) and Loyola (No. 307), everybody is top 200. Is it unusually high? I suppose, but the league was 10th last year, so perhaps it's the start of a trend."

Before last season, the Horizon League's best showing was 11th in the 2000-2001 season. It has closed the gap with the Missouri Valley, the highest midmajor league in terms of RPI (No. 7). The Atlantic 10 is sandwiched between the Valley and the Horizon.

"One mistake people make when evaluating conferences is simply looking at the top and ignoring the rest," Palm said.

"The top of the A-10 is probably the best among the better nonmajors with four pretty competitive teams. No nonmajor conference has a team anywhere near as good as Memphis (No. 1 in the RPI) like Conference USA has, but the rest of the league (rated No. 12) isn't doing much. I don't know if the Horizon can come up with two at-large quality teams like the A-10 probably will this year, but it's still a pretty competitive league."

The only nonconference games remaining for most Horizon League teams are in the Feb. 23 ESPN BracketBusters series, and opponents for those games won't be known until early next month.

In most years, the Horizon's RPI has dropped once league play began, but Palm said that might not be the case this year because the league has so many highly rated teams.

The key to the Horizon's No. 9 ranking has been two-fold: More wins and higher-quality opponents.

The Horizon League combined for a 52-42 record against nonconference Division I foes this season against a schedule that was rated seventh toughest out of the 31 leagues. The league went 3-1 vs. the ACC, 2-3 vs. the Big East, 2-7 vs. the Big Ten, 13-7 vs. the MAC and 6-7 vs. the Missouri Valley. Butler has two of the ACC wins (over Virginia Tech and Florida State) and both Big Ten wins (over Michigan and Ohio State).

Butler's schedule was ideal for a mid-major team looking to make a splash nationally. Its wins over Michigan, Virginia Tech and Texas Tech of the Big 12 came at a neutral site during the Great Alaska Shootout. It beat Ohio State at home and Florida State at Conseco Fieldhouse in downtown Indianapolis, a few miles from its campus area. The Bulldogs played only four true road nonconference games and only one ? its last-second win over Southern Illinois (RPI No. 66) ? was against a team in the RPI's top 200. Butler went 11-1 against a nonleague schedule that was ranked 83rd.

Wright State took a different approach to its schedule. It played only three true nonconference road games and scheduled all mid- and low-major opponents. It played only two nonconference games against teams in the RPI's top 80 ? Bradley (No. 75) and Miami of Ohio (No. 30), both at home. Wright State went 7-2 against a nonleague schedule that was ranked 91st.

Meanwhile, UWGB played true road games against three Big Ten teams ? Ohio State (RPI No. 23), Wisconsin (No. 15) and Michigan State (No. 12) ? and at UMass (No. 22) and lost all four games. The Phoenix went 6-0 in the rest of its nonconference games, but its highest-ranked opponent among those six was North Dakota State (No. 126) for an overall strength of schedule of 169.

"We've had, in my opinion, the toughest nonconference schedule in the league when you consider we played on the road at three Big Tens and at UMass," UWGB coach Tod Kowalczyk said. "No one else in our league has done that, and maybe we shouldn't have done that. I think our RPI would have been higher without doing that.

"Wright State does a great job with their schedule. They've played seven home games, and they went to a tournament (at Tennessee-Chattanooga) where they were the best team and should have won and did. That's an area that we need to do a better job with. Not to take anything away from Butler, but Butler's big wins were at neutral sites or at home. We need to do a better job of finding those neutral-site games."

Word has started to spread about the Horizon League. UWGB assistant coaches Jon Harris and Brian Wardle said they have noticed in recruiting that there's more respect for the conference.

"It's turning," said Harris, who is in his fifth season at UWGB. "It's changed a lot since I've been here. I still don't think we get the respect we deserve quite yet, but people are starting to look at our league as being pretty close to the Valley."

Said Wardle: "The Horizon League is a selling point now, where maybe it wasn't five or six years ago."
 

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Today's UWGB men's preview


Series: Detroit leads 19-13, but the Phoenix has an 8-7 record against the Titans at home. Detroit won both meetings last season and has won five of the last six.
UWGB notes: The Phoenix has lost three of its last four games, including Saturday's 93-75 loss at Michigan State, but is 4-0 at home this season. The Phoenix is 25-18 in home Horizon League games under Kowalczyk. This is the first Horizon League home game of the season after opening conference play by winning at Loyola (69-63) on Dec. 6 and losing at UIC (76-67) on Dec. 8. ? Today's game is the first in a stretch of five out of seven at home. UWGB hosts Wright State on Saturday. Previously, the Phoenix played five out of its last six on the road. ? UWGB leads the league in free throw percentage (.782) and ranks seventh in the nation. It also leads the league in scoring (73.1 ppg) and is second in field goal percentage (.466). ? Junior Mike Schachtner leads the league in scoring (19.0 ppg) and ranks seventh in field goal percentage (.528). Junior Ryan Tillema is second in free throw percentage (.909).
Detroit notes: The Titans have lost six straight, including a pair of home conference games against Butler and Valparaiso last month. Under Watson, the Titans never have started conference play with three straight losses. ? Senior guard Brandon Cotton, a first-team all-conference preseason pick, left the Titans on Nov. 16 and will not return. Cotton had games with 24 and 31 points against UWGB last season, when he was third in the Horizon League in scoring (18.1 ppg). Without Cotton, the Titans have relied heavily on senior guard Jon Goode, who has scored in double figures 10 times this season. ? The Titans rank last in the league in scoring (61.0 ppg) and seventh in field goal percentage (.439). Normally one of the best defensive teams in the league, the Titans are last in field goal percentage defense (.485).


Probable starters

UWGB
F, Randy Berry (6-9, so.) 7.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg
F, Mike Schachtner (6-9, jr.) 19.0 ppg, 4.4 rpg
G, Terry Evans (6-5, jr.) 8.7 ppg, 5.9 rpg
G, Ryan Tillema (6-8, jr.) 10.9 ppg, 3.7 rpg
G, Rahmon Fletcher (5-10, fr.) 9.8 ppg, 3.3 apg

Detroit
F, Chris Hayes (6-9, jr.) 10.5 ppg, 6.0 rpg
C, Michael Harrington (6-8, jr.) 2.5 ppg, 2.8 rpg
G, Eulis Stephens (6-4, so.) 3.9 ppg, 1.9 rpg
G, Woody Payne (5-10, so.) 5.5 ppg, 2.5 rpg
G, Jon Goode (5-10, sr.) 17.3 ppg, 3.2 rpg
 

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Horizon League: Five things to watch
Posted: Jan. 2, 2008
Plus one? Before Todd Lickliter departed Butler to take over the reins of the slumping Iowa basketball program, he left a little behind for his successor Brad Stevens - namely the mid-major version of the schedule from hell. Lickliter scheduled games with Ohio State, Texas Tech, Bradley and Southern Illinois, among others. It was a calculated risk because Butler figured to be very good this season, but Stevens has exceeded all expectations by winning all those games. It was clearly a case of "buying insurance" against an upset in the league tournament, as was the case last year, but will it pay dividends? "They have beaten some good teams, but I still think it would be tough for them to get an at-large berth," said UWM's Rob Jeter.

WSU vs. Butler: Here's a date to circle on your calendar - Feb. 28. On that night, Butler will play host to Wright State and to say the Bulldogs owe the Raiders one would be a gross understatement. Forget that Wright State already has handed the Bulldogs their only loss of the season, 43-42, Dec. 8 in Dayton. It was the seventh consecutive time that the Raiders have beaten the Bulldogs at the Nutter Center. The Bulldogs are more angry about losing to Wright State in the finals of the Horizon League tournament, thus having to sweat out their invitation to the NCAA Tournament.

Welcome aboard: The rumors of Valparaiso switching from the unwieldy and generally low-rent Mid-Continent Conference to the Horizon League persisted for years, but Jeter was still a bit surprised when the announcement actually came down. The pros for staying in the Mid-Con included that the Crusaders practically owned it, taking its automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament seven times from 1996 through 2004. On the minus side, Valpo's travel schedule has improved greatly since leaving what is now called the Summit League. The league's far-flung, ultimate puddle-jumper roster includes Southern Utah, Western Illinois, Centenary, North Dakota State and South Dakota State.

Who are these guys? For a program that hasn't had a winning record since 2001, hasn't won more than 10 games since 2002 and has bowed out in the first round of the last five Horizon League tournaments, Cleveland State is showing a strong pulse. The Vikings enter the new year with an 8-5 record. The key to their turnaround may be one of those little things coaches love to preach about: rebounding. The Vikings are the league's top rebounding team.

Who's watching: Heading into the new year, Butler, with its strong schedule, No. 16 ranking and classic venue, leads the Horizon League in average home attendance with 7,449. That's no surprise. Next up is UW-Green Bay at 6,883 and Valparaiso at 5,665. The surprise there is Green Bay, which hasn't exactly hosted a Murderer's Row of opponents.UWM is fourth with its average of 4,964.
 

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Crazy but true: Panthers could snag league crown


There is a sense of serenity enveloping UW-Milwaukee coach Rob Jeter these days and, quite honestly, it defies all logic.

Since the season began, he has dismissed both his leading scorer from last season (Avery Smith) and his best player from this year (Torre Johnson). Another part-time starter, Roman Gentry, left the team to return home to Iowa for personal reasons.

His two most-prized recruits, Chicago Simeon freshmen Tim Flowers and Kevin Johnson, will miss their third consecutive game when the Panthers host Wright State tonight, and it is becoming increasingly likely that neither will play for the Panthers again.

Yet, all is right in Jeter's world. He's down to 11 healthy and eligible players, but the Panthers are playing their best basketball of the season, as demonstrated by back-to-back victories over Central Michigan and Wyoming - the team's best two outings of the season.

As the bulk of the Horizon League season looms ahead, it is a modest streak to be sure, but it is a step in the right direction. Jeter isn't ready to proclaim his squad contenders for the championship in a league that includes powers like Butler, Valparaiso and Wright State and solid clubs like UW-Green Bay, Cleveland State and Illinois-Chicago.

But he isn't ready to concede anything either.

"As crazy as it sounds, I think we do," said Jeter when asked if his 5-7 Panthers (0-2 in the Horizon League), could be considered contenders for the league crown. "No matter what team we play, we're going to make them work.

"Paige (Paulsen) is obviously a key guy now, but the other teams don't know where our scoring is coming from now, and I think that makes us a more difficult team to defend. We're a more difficult team to prepare for now because the points can come from anywhere."

As Jeter points out, what the team has lost in athletic ability, it has gained in teamwork.

"Right now, I like my team very much. I'm able to coach and teach guys who want to learn and it's refreshing as a coach to have that. Individually, we're a little slower, a little smaller and less athletic, but we have togetherness. We're a team again.

"I'm happy because I can coach again and not have to worry about other issues. It's hard to coach if you are always worried about side issues."

The Panthers' new-found concept of team basketball has apparently been noticed by outsiders as well.

"Chemistry is more important than most people understand and after watching their last couple games, it seems Milwaukee has people sharing the ball and playing hard for each other," said Wright State coach Brad Brownell. "It looks like they are playing ball again and having a good time."

For public consumption at least, the Flowers-Johnson issue has not been resolved, but the fact that the freshmen won't be in uniform tonight could be a strong hint of what lies ahead.

"There is no closure on that issue yet," Jeter said. "My assistants have talked to them, but I haven't had a chance yet. They won't be in uniform against Wright State."

The Panthers' new-found capabilities are sure to be put to a stern test by the Raiders, who last season won the Horizon League tournament, thus claiming their first NCAA Tournament berth since 1993. The Raiders are 8-3 under second-year coach Brownell with non-conference victories over Marshall and Miami of Ohio.

But the crowning jewel for the Raiders this year came on Dec. 8, when they upset visiting Butler, 43-42, thus handing the No. 16-ranked Bulldogs their only loss to date. Two nights previous to that, however, Valpo visited Dayton and handed the Raiders a 71-66 setback in their conference opener.

"I think that just shows the strength of the conference this season," said Jeter, who is in his third season as the Panthers' head coach and also spent two seasons here as Bo Ryan's assistant. "I don't think I've ever seen the Horizon team with this many good teams.

"I think there are going to be a lot of teams beating up on each other this season. There are some really good teams and their pre-season records prove that."

Despite losing at Wright State, Butler (12-1) remains the team to beat. The Bulldogs deliberately stacked their schedule with tough opponents as insurance against losing in the conference tournament like last season, and it is paying dividends.

Butler already has racked up victories against Evansville, Michigan, Ohio State, Virginia Tech, Texas Tech, Bradley and Southern Illinois.

"Absolutely," said Jeter when asked if the Bulldogs were still the team to beat in the Horizon League. "They are the defending (regular season) champs and will be until somebody can prove otherwise."

Valparaiso (10-3, 2-0) stands atop the conference standings with Illinois-Chicago (8-5, 2-0), but the Crusaders, in their first season in the league, haven't had the non-conference success Butler has. Valpo has played at Vanderbilt, Wisconsin and North Carolina, but its best non-conference victory would probably be over Evansville.

Illinois-Chicago, led by lightning quick Josh Mayo, may be the biggest surprise of the Horizon League to date. The Flames have victories over Bradley, Charlotte, DePaul and Toledo, as well as conference victories over the Panthers and Green Bay.

Should those teams falter, Cleveland State (8-5, 1-0), Green Bay (7-5, 1-1) and yes, UWM, appear to be programs on the rise.
 
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