How important are closers and setup arms....

[Investment Executive]

extract:
Roughly, the runs given up (or not) by a closer in the ninth are 50% more important than those given up by the 8th inning pitcher, 3 times more important than those given up by the middle reliever, and 6 times more important than the runs prevented by the starter in the first 5 innings. How important is that closers one inning? Probably as important as 6 innings of work by the starter.
http://www.users.nac.net/thegangof4/rhoids2000/gameStateMatrix.htm

 

[Pigskin Scott]

Great thread IE. Considering I lost a five teamer this weekend cause of the astros and another 5 teamer due to the d-backs on sunday this is great information to have. Having a 6 run lead in the ninth with two outs you think your bet is safe. Wow what a crazy weekend.

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If your not betting your not living!!!

 

[Investment Executive]

although they are tough losses to swallow for sure

and i feel your loss money-wise....its brings out the 25-34% chance of losing on -175 and above favs over the course of the season....baseball changes but does not seem to change over the years in rewards to these puppies....

Favorites Underdogs
-105 - 51.2% +105 - 48.8%
-110 - 52.4% +110 - 47.6%
-115 - 53.5% +115 - 46.5%
-120 - 54.5% +120 - 45.5%
-125 - 55.6% +125 - 44.4%
-130 - 56.5% +130 - 43.5%
-135 - 57.4% +135 - 42.6%
-140 - 58.3% +140 - 41.7%
-145 - 59.2% +145 - 40.8%
-150 - 60.0% +150 - 40.0%
-155 - 60.8% +155 - 39.2%
-160 - 61.5% +160 - 38.5%
-165 - 62.3% +165 - 37.7%
-170 - 63.0% +170 - 37.0%
-175 - 63.6% +175 - 36.4%
-180 - 64.3% +180 - 35.7%
-185 - 64.9% +185 - 35.1%
-190 - 65.5% +190 - 34.5%
-195 - 66.1% +195 - 33.9%
-200 - 66.7% +200 - 33.3%
-205 - 67.2% +205 - 32.8%
-210 - 67.7% +210 - 32.3%
-215 - 68.3% +215 - 31.7%
-220 - 68.8% +220 - 31.3%
-225 - 69.2% +225 - 30.8%
-230 - 69.7% +230 - 30.3%
-235 - 70.1% +235 - 29.9%
-240 - 70.6% +240 - 29.4%
-245 - 71.0% +245 - 29.0%
-250 - 71.4% +250 - 28.6%
-255 - 71.8% +255 - 28.2%
-260 - 72.2% +260 - 27.8%
-265 - 72.6% +265 - 27.4%
-270 - 73.0% +270 - 27.0%
-275 - 73.3% +275 - 26.7%
-280 - 73.7% +280 - 26.3%
-285 - 74.0% +285 - 26.0%
-290 - 74.4% +290 - 25.6%
-295 - 74.7% +295 - 25.3%
-300 - 75.0% +300 - 25.0%

 

[Way out West]

Very interesting information as always.

 

[Pigskin Scott]

That is very interesting IE. Are these stats from this season only or from years past. This forum is full of knowledge. Good to have when making those should I or should I not decsisions.

Thanks for the info

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If your not betting your not living!!!

 

[TORONTO-VIGILANTE]

as always, interesting URL, I.E!!!