hump day
- Thread starter THUNDER
- Start date
here is how i see todays game going-boston is a perimeter team who only really can win one way and that is in a uptempo game- detroit does not mind running either.boston will shoot much better this game. boston actually had some o rebounds against detroit if the can shoot a little better this game flys over. i am not a boston fan. but i do like them in this spot. i think detroit like la last night will come out flat, play little d,and lose 98-89
I'm kinda seeing a pattern here. If the home team wins game one, look for them to come out flat in game 2. Even if they don't come out flat, look for the road team to play near their peak because they really need the game. Either take the dog and the points, or in this case with a small number, take the m line. Is that the general idea you start with and then work the numbers to confirm or go against it? Just curious.....I think that's probably a sound way to approach the playoffs in general. Am I off base here?
yes nighthorse that is some what on how i cap the intensity ledger on a game unless there is huge talent dispairity-or if a team has a habit of showing up no matter what the situation-also the line itself matters. but yes in the playoffs the situational or intensity edge makes up about 20% of my capping rating system. i also look at individual match-uos,tempo, coaching, interior d,rebounding but intensity tendecies do play a major role in all of my bb capping college and nba. trends play the smallest role in my capping-do not get me wrong trends are great tool but is not a large part of my rating system. hopefully i am answering your ? gl
That pretty much answers it, and more. Thanks for the insights. I'm all messed up on Detroit after the Toronto series. They played so poorly in Toronto. My perceptions about them couldn't have been more off for those two games. Didn't really care for their performance in game 5 either. Then they play a pretty solid game against Boston. I'm goin with ya on Boston, but small. I'm just a nervous nellie on this one. Go Celts!
