Line movement is not actual $$ being bet on this game. I truly believe this is a false line move. I think Vegas is trying to set the ultimate trap. I have no $$ bet on this game and no emotional ties. It's not a big deal for -1 to +1. I have followed this closely and about 3/4 time its a bullshit ploy to get you to over think the game. If tons of $$ were coming in on Bama it would be 2.5 or 3. If i bet LSU -1 or +1 only chance to cash is winning the game. Be weary:0corn
I am guessing Alabama
- Thread starter Macgruder23
- Start date
Thats actually quite interesting. I originally liked LSU slightly (maybe cuz I hate Saban) but have heard from a few people whom I respect in the sports betting world that there are some very sharp people backing Bama here.
I'm sure both teams will come to play but LSU better not try to duplicate one of their recent 1st half horseshit performances. Because unlike Georgia and Arkansas, Bama could step on their throat after a rough start.
I'm sure both teams will come to play but LSU better not try to duplicate one of their recent 1st half horseshit performances. Because unlike Georgia and Arkansas, Bama could step on their throat after a rough start.
What difference whose favored by 1? There is none! If actual $$ were moving this line it would move. Its a theory, not a science but I really pay attention to this kind of move. I like to study lines. I guess that makes me a nerd.
Not sure if you misunderstood what I said. I think your theory is pretty interesting and certainly could be a common tule used by books in a spot like this.
Okay now I'm not sure! Line up to 2.5 in some spots!The trap has either worked to perfection or I am foolishly missing something. Went back and looked at a few things.
Opening line 11/5/2011
Alabama-4 43.5
Closing line either 5/5.5/6 and 41.5/42
Louisiana State +6.0 2712 57.59% Alabama -6.0 1997 42.41%
The so called sharps were wrong in November as they steamed this line up to 6 where I check my consensus %. Is this line getting hammered by the same people who were wrong 60+ days ago? I'm believing it is. Who likes to admit they were wrong?I know I hate it. I believe I am betting the better team and now getting points and the so called experts that were wrong in November are allowing their ego to influence their play. My cardinal rule is if I was wrong the 1st matchup then I'm either betting the same way or not betting at all! Good luck in whatever you decide. Should be a close game!
LSU 20-16
