I must be lost: Nets/Hawks (1/6/03)

lostinamerica

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I've marveled at the play of Jason Kidd since his days at Cal, which makes me kind of a Nets fan.

I don't cap or wager basketball, although I place some bets for a friend who does, and I did some modestly profitable college coattailing at MJ's last February and March, and then hopped on the Gary Williams led Maryland bus down the stretch.

Anyway, I came across this write-up at whocovxxx.com and thought it was interesting, regardless of how it plays out:

New Jersey Nets @ Atlanta Hawks
Sometimes, in the NBA, laying road chalk makes perfect sense. This is one of those times. The New Jersey Nets are the hottest team in the league right now, winners of 9 straight games and 14 out of 16. They are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 contests, playing head and shoulders above any other team in the Eastern Conference. Kenyon Martin has begun to live up to the promise he showed as a former #1 pick in the draft, with four straight double doubles and an imposing inside presence that few teams can match. Richard Jefferson has been an upgrade at the SF position; Lucious Harris has stepped up at SG in place of the injured Kerry Kittles, and the Jason Collins/Aaron Williams duo has made the absence of Dikembe Mutumbo easier to bear. Jason Kidd is the master at controlling tempo, and when he is in great rhythm, like he is now, the Nets are a very difficult team to beat. And the Hawks don?t match up well against New Jersey. With starting PG Emmanuel Davis lost for the year to injury, Ira Newble and Mike Wilks have split time at the point. Neither can handle Kidd, even on an off night. The Hawks have been stumbling for weeks now, losers of 10 of their last 12 both SU and ATS, playing selfish, uninspired basketball. Glenn Robinson has brought his losing attitude over from Milwaukee, and Shareef Abdur Rahim and Jason Terry have yet to show they can win anywhere in the NBA. There?s not much depth on this club, and not much confidence either. As long as current form holds, the Nets should roll in this one. Recommendation: New Jersey Nets -5.5

I'll be playing it small (-4') since I posted it.

GL
 

SixFive

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seems like a good play on the surface, but unless his fortunes have changed of late, Ted Sevransky that runs that site is just flat brutal. You'd do well fading him over the long haul. GL!
 

MrChristo

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Interesting to note that NJ are getting about 75% of the $$, yet the line holds firm on -5.

HHHHMMMMMMmmmmmmmmm.

Having said that, Atlanta are scary!
 

Omar the $$ Kid

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Looks like the most obvious play on the board, as Frenchy would say "Too good to be true, too good to be true" I think Hawks somehow pull one out of their asses and win outright tonight;)
 

MrChristo

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Did some digging....

Did some digging....

Nets are 1-5 SU (Av. loss 5.3) away -> away 1 day rest as fav!

Atlanta are still scary tho' :D
 

gsp

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I have looked at this game all day. It looks like a set-up to me. Before the coaching change, this line would have been about 2. The problem with Atl is that they have no leader. Glen Robinson always looks good on the stat sheet but like at Mil is the cause of many mistakes that don't show up in the stats. Atl is not a slow-down team and if the coach realizes that, they might win a game or two. The thing that is keeping me off NJ tonight is that I think Atl will try to run. Good luck on your play.
 

lostinamerica

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6-5: Thanks for the heads up.

I know what you're saying. I'm kind of a fan of Ted's column that comes out around Wednesday in which he analyzes how he was absolutely on the right side of so many losers.

Guys: Thanks for all the perspectives. I'd be the last one to know what kind of value is or isn't to be found in an NBA line.

The quality of the cappers and analysis on the MJ forums influences my own capping (or on occasion earns my coattail money) far more than any other resource. That's why I'm here. That, and to pass along any info that I think might have some value. But if I have an angle or a breakdown on an event that satisfies my threshhold for a play, I only get myself in trouble if I start questioning whether too many people or the wrong people are seeing it the same way.

Crash and burn. Or not.

GL
 
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