- Dec 17, 2006
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Donated the $1300 last month (5 units of monthly profit - modest, but it's for fun so it was fun) - to the clinic I work at near by. I have done this for 5 straight months and have hit the profit. Only 59% last month, hoping to get it back up this month.
Dartmouth came in yesterday as a +12 point underdog yesterday.
Looking forward to the month of February - month closes on March 10th:
FEBRUARY 11TH TOP PLAY
Rhode Island/Duquesne Under 178.5 - The line continues to rise so waiting to get the best line or will settle for this
No, I'm not crazy.
But, I thought about this and I do like Umass a good bit today, but laid off as I will take this total. Lord knows this another total and I've been moosed ever so nicely with all totals, but each game is a new game and each total is a new total.
In fact, I have resorted to this total as I really don't like any of the sides today although do like the Clippers a bit in the NBA and the Bulls/Suns line has dropped so much that I don't like the value there anymore depending on Nash's status.
Let's get back to this line - the line opened up at 169 and has moved a full 10 points.
That's a lot of movement on the line to say the least. But you know what? I think the game ends somewhere around 90-75 as regardless of the outcome of this game, I like the under.
Follow me here:
If Rhode Island wins - by the way the movement is going in favor of Rhode Island so I wouldn't be suprised if Rhode Island won this game today, as Rhode Island is a very good team that could pull of the upset.
However, the fact they are a top 125 team knows that they will come into this game with a defensive plan and won't simply lay down and have a shoot out with Duquesne.
After all, this team has all the following points - speaking of Rhode Island - on the road - 45 against Fordham, 55 at Umass and totals of 160 against George Washington, 147 against Umass and 167 against St. Bonny.
Furthermore, whenever a public hounds a game or a team, we know how it works out, it busts. The public is all over this over and this is mainly a fade play as well as if everyone's mother and ancestry is behind a play, it fails.
Well, this total is essentially an NBA total now it is so huge. No, I don't have any trends in my favor as this is a hunch but sometimes that's what it's about, going with a hunch and the fact that when a total is this high - an NBA total where it takes 4 quarters to achieve, this is 2 halves, albeit 20 minute halves to achieve this total.
In short, if Rhode Island has any chance to stay in this ball game, it will be via their defense and only through their defense. If Duquesne wins this game, then it will be that Rhode Island could not keep up offensively in a 86-70 format and quite possibly this game goes under b/c Rhode Island does not have the offensive powerhouse.
So, they will look to slow it down a bit in this ballgame. If Rhode Island does win this ball game, I can't expect them to play the same ballgame style as Duquesne and it will be a 84-80 final for Rhode Island.
Either way, for all of these circumstances, the only one that works against me is if Rhode Island goes toe to toe with Duquesne and loses - and even if tha that happens, this team is a top 100 team that will have a gameplan to put a stop to Duquesne or at least give them different looks.
Is this ballsy sure, but then again, each day is different and it presents new opportunities, so I'll roll with my under as I will make a team shoot lights out to beat me - in fact, make both teams to shoot lights out which is hard to do.
By the way, choosing this total is different as I didn't like any of the sides and then resorted to the total which makes me feel at ease with the total, would have rode FSU but saw an injury to a fella who was scoring double-digits so I laid off.
Under 178.5
Dartmouth came in yesterday as a +12 point underdog yesterday.
Looking forward to the month of February - month closes on March 10th:
FEBRUARY 11TH TOP PLAY
Rhode Island/Duquesne Under 178.5 - The line continues to rise so waiting to get the best line or will settle for this
No, I'm not crazy.
But, I thought about this and I do like Umass a good bit today, but laid off as I will take this total. Lord knows this another total and I've been moosed ever so nicely with all totals, but each game is a new game and each total is a new total.
In fact, I have resorted to this total as I really don't like any of the sides today although do like the Clippers a bit in the NBA and the Bulls/Suns line has dropped so much that I don't like the value there anymore depending on Nash's status.
Let's get back to this line - the line opened up at 169 and has moved a full 10 points.
That's a lot of movement on the line to say the least. But you know what? I think the game ends somewhere around 90-75 as regardless of the outcome of this game, I like the under.
Follow me here:
If Rhode Island wins - by the way the movement is going in favor of Rhode Island so I wouldn't be suprised if Rhode Island won this game today, as Rhode Island is a very good team that could pull of the upset.
However, the fact they are a top 125 team knows that they will come into this game with a defensive plan and won't simply lay down and have a shoot out with Duquesne.
After all, this team has all the following points - speaking of Rhode Island - on the road - 45 against Fordham, 55 at Umass and totals of 160 against George Washington, 147 against Umass and 167 against St. Bonny.
Furthermore, whenever a public hounds a game or a team, we know how it works out, it busts. The public is all over this over and this is mainly a fade play as well as if everyone's mother and ancestry is behind a play, it fails.
Well, this total is essentially an NBA total now it is so huge. No, I don't have any trends in my favor as this is a hunch but sometimes that's what it's about, going with a hunch and the fact that when a total is this high - an NBA total where it takes 4 quarters to achieve, this is 2 halves, albeit 20 minute halves to achieve this total.
In short, if Rhode Island has any chance to stay in this ball game, it will be via their defense and only through their defense. If Duquesne wins this game, then it will be that Rhode Island could not keep up offensively in a 86-70 format and quite possibly this game goes under b/c Rhode Island does not have the offensive powerhouse.
So, they will look to slow it down a bit in this ballgame. If Rhode Island does win this ball game, I can't expect them to play the same ballgame style as Duquesne and it will be a 84-80 final for Rhode Island.
Either way, for all of these circumstances, the only one that works against me is if Rhode Island goes toe to toe with Duquesne and loses - and even if tha that happens, this team is a top 100 team that will have a gameplan to put a stop to Duquesne or at least give them different looks.
Is this ballsy sure, but then again, each day is different and it presents new opportunities, so I'll roll with my under as I will make a team shoot lights out to beat me - in fact, make both teams to shoot lights out which is hard to do.
By the way, choosing this total is different as I didn't like any of the sides and then resorted to the total which makes me feel at ease with the total, would have rode FSU but saw an injury to a fella who was scoring double-digits so I laid off.
Under 178.5