UL-Monroe came in as a 15.5 dog yesterday that could have won outright but a win is a win.
Today:
PORTLAND STATE +7 (1.5 Units) (will buy the hook or catch it if rises)
Honorable Mention:
Georgetown -7.5
I like Portland State to win outright or fall within the cover. In my stats, I have Portland State falling short by 3 points but they lost to this Montana team at home by 6 back on December 28th. Now, they get to return the favor.
In fact, Montana went into that game as a 4 point underdog only to win outright. Now, they are going to be laying 6+ points to this team in what is a 10.5 point shift for a home court advantage - I think not.
Keep in mind that Portland State was up on this team 45-42 at the half only to get outscored 38-29 in the second half.
Of late, both teams have played on equal level. However, Portland State I have as a top 175 team and Montana I have as a top 175 team as well - two equal teams that face off with one of the teams as an underdog catching points.
Many people didn't think that Portland State has the capacity to hit the road and beat Idaho State a top 150 team and they did winning as a 6.5 underdog.
Now, they are getting the same value on the road here against Montana with revenge in mind too. In fact, they jumped on Idaho State early in that ballgame only to have Idaho State make a comeback but Portland State this time has learned to put the ballgame away.
This team was at Northern Arizona a while back and lost by 7 but they returned the favor and beat them at home by 5 points.
Who says they can't exact revenge again today?
How did Montana do against Idaho State - a team that Portland State just beat by a bucket on the road? The lost to them by 10 at home.
Let's look at some more similar teams they have played:
Portland State beat Montana State by 11 at home, Montana beat them by 12 at home. Portland State lost to Sac State on the road by 4, Montana lost to Sac State on the road by 8. As mentioned Portland State beat Northern Arizona by 5 at home, Montana beat Norther Arizona by 3 on the road.
Also, in the last 10 games, Portland State has never been an underdog given this many points in this series - never. And, I just can't over the fact that at home Portland State is favored by 4, only to be dogged by 6.5 points which I will take to 7 and thus, a 11 point turnaround in spread for a team that can win outright tonight just based on equal talent and revenge.
I thought about a possible first half play, but I will gladly take the 7 point spread and hold out in what should be a tight and exciting game but I think Portland State hangs tough as they are 7-3 ATS when facing a spread of 0.5-6.5 dogs and the Grizzlies have lost their last 6 games as favorites. I was so tempted to take Georgetown today as I think they dominate St. Johns and win by double-digits but I will lay off as it such a marquee game and the sole reason I lay off is that St. Johns did defeat Notre Dame and given their performance against Syracuse, it makes me hold off.
However, I think GTown rolls today. Regardless, I like the stats and background on this game and will ride the Vikings.
That's what I got for today - good luck on whatever you play as playing one game a day is brutally tough and takes tough discipline, but hey got to go with what brought ya :SIB
Today:
PORTLAND STATE +7 (1.5 Units) (will buy the hook or catch it if rises)
Honorable Mention:
Georgetown -7.5
I like Portland State to win outright or fall within the cover. In my stats, I have Portland State falling short by 3 points but they lost to this Montana team at home by 6 back on December 28th. Now, they get to return the favor.
In fact, Montana went into that game as a 4 point underdog only to win outright. Now, they are going to be laying 6+ points to this team in what is a 10.5 point shift for a home court advantage - I think not.
Keep in mind that Portland State was up on this team 45-42 at the half only to get outscored 38-29 in the second half.
Of late, both teams have played on equal level. However, Portland State I have as a top 175 team and Montana I have as a top 175 team as well - two equal teams that face off with one of the teams as an underdog catching points.
Many people didn't think that Portland State has the capacity to hit the road and beat Idaho State a top 150 team and they did winning as a 6.5 underdog.
Now, they are getting the same value on the road here against Montana with revenge in mind too. In fact, they jumped on Idaho State early in that ballgame only to have Idaho State make a comeback but Portland State this time has learned to put the ballgame away.
This team was at Northern Arizona a while back and lost by 7 but they returned the favor and beat them at home by 5 points.
Who says they can't exact revenge again today?
How did Montana do against Idaho State - a team that Portland State just beat by a bucket on the road? The lost to them by 10 at home.
Let's look at some more similar teams they have played:
Portland State beat Montana State by 11 at home, Montana beat them by 12 at home. Portland State lost to Sac State on the road by 4, Montana lost to Sac State on the road by 8. As mentioned Portland State beat Northern Arizona by 5 at home, Montana beat Norther Arizona by 3 on the road.
Also, in the last 10 games, Portland State has never been an underdog given this many points in this series - never. And, I just can't over the fact that at home Portland State is favored by 4, only to be dogged by 6.5 points which I will take to 7 and thus, a 11 point turnaround in spread for a team that can win outright tonight just based on equal talent and revenge.
I thought about a possible first half play, but I will gladly take the 7 point spread and hold out in what should be a tight and exciting game but I think Portland State hangs tough as they are 7-3 ATS when facing a spread of 0.5-6.5 dogs and the Grizzlies have lost their last 6 games as favorites. I was so tempted to take Georgetown today as I think they dominate St. Johns and win by double-digits but I will lay off as it such a marquee game and the sole reason I lay off is that St. Johns did defeat Notre Dame and given their performance against Syracuse, it makes me hold off.
However, I think GTown rolls today. Regardless, I like the stats and background on this game and will ride the Vikings.
That's what I got for today - good luck on whatever you play as playing one game a day is brutally tough and takes tough discipline, but hey got to go with what brought ya :SIB
